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The Impressive Production of Andy Greene

One of the biggest and most pleasant surprises of this 2009-10 season is the rise of Andy Greene, legitimate top-4 NHL defenseman.  He was signed this summer to a fair and modest amount of money ($1.475 million) for a third-pairing defenseman, having played mainly on the third pairing last season.  He started the season as the team's 7th, as Cory Murphy got the team's first two games.  Greene was given a chance in the third period and he, perhaps inadvertently, made an important play in the dying seconds in Tampa Bay.  Somehow, he got the puck towards Travis Zajac to score a last-second equalizer, which guaranteed the Devils' first point of the 09-10 season; and gave the Devils a chance to win their first game of the season, which they did.

 

 

That was Andy Greene's first point of the 2009-10 season.  In retrospect, it should have been a sign of things to come.  Not only has he impressed Devils fans by taking control of the team's #1 defenseman spot after Paul Martin's injury - myself included - but he's been clutch with his production.

Star-divide


GP G A P +/- PIM PPG SHG GWG ATOI SOG PCT
2009 - Andy Greene 32 5 16 21 11 4 4 0 3 23:53 36 13.9

After Monday's now famous victory in Pittsburgh, Greene has 21 points in 32 games - or 0.65625 points per game. Assuming he plays the rest of the season (79 games as Greene sat for 3 games), Greene is on pace for exactly 51.84375 points, or 51 if you'd like to approximate.  That is simply impressive by itself.  That would be the highest mark by a Devils defenseman since Brian Rafalski's 55 point season in 2006-07 and only the second time since the lockout since a Devil blueliner reached that plateau.

I discovered all this when ILWT user dsarch asked me how Andy Greene's assists broke down.  Just out of curiosity as to whether Greene is picking up assists from the run of play, or directly setting up many of these goals. Well, Greene's 16 assists break down to 11 primary assists and 5 secondary assists.  And one of those secondary assists are definitely an important part of the set-up for the goal; like his assist on Dean McAmmond's goal against Atlanta.  (Click the link, watch the video of that goal, and see for yourself.)

But that's not the most impressive part about it.  Check out this chart of Greene's points game-by-game.

Andy_greene_12-22-09_point_chart_medium

To summarize, Greene has 3 game winning goals, 6 assists on game winning goals, and 11 power play points (4 goals, 7 assists, third behind Nicklas Bergfors and Zach Parise in power play scoring).  The Devils have a remarkable 15-2 record when Greene does get a point, and 19 points across those 15 games.  No wonder some Devils fans think Greene equals wins, no matter how coincidental the situation may be.  Greene isn't just involved in eating a lot of minutes or picking up points at an incredible rate, he's getting goals and assists off of man advantages and the eventual winning goal. Quite simply, he's getting important points.  And the only players who get so many important, meaningful points are important players.

I can't say for certain whether he'll keep up this rate of production, but it is most definitely impressive and I think this showcases.  All this from someone who didn't even start at the beginning of the season.  I think this is further proof of how important Andy Greene has been this season for the Devils - at both ends of the rink.

Feel free to discuss Andy Greene and his season further.  Do let me know if I made an error or if you'd like to add to that. Thanks to dsarch for giving me the initial idea to delve into Greene's stats so far this season.

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Excellent article, John. One should not underestimate how important Andy has been to this team this year. He was completely unnoticable leading up to this season, but was given a huge chance to show his potential with Paul Martin and Johnny Oduya being out with injuries for signicant amounts of time.

 And boy has he ever proven himself. Some people compare him to Brian Rafalski; short, quick, a true playmaker, and an excellent skater. I see all of those things. Besides the game against Tampa Bay (helping the Devils put up their first points of the season), his next best game was probably against Carolina when he scored two consecutive goals for the first time in his career.

He also has average a signifcant amount of time on the ice; in fact, more than any other player on the team. Besides Nicolas Bergfors, Andy Greene has been the best surprise of the year so far for the Devils.

"We aim above the mark to hit the mark." -- Ralph Waldo Emerson

by Tim G on Dec 23, 2009 11:51 AM EST reply actions  

I think we both agreed at the start of the season that Greene suffered from confidence problems last season from Sutter not having confidence in him. Sutter seemed to stress playing the man instead of the puck for Greene and I think that seriously affected his game.

However a lot of the improvment also came in Greene building up during the summer and working on power skating. He isn’t simply more confident but a better skater and a bigger body. This all contributes to his success this season.

So Greene’s accomplishments are not just a flash in the pan, he is a true example of how hard work can overcome your short-comings. Greene will continue to be a top 4 d-man and will probably challenge Martin for that #1 d spot sooner or later.

Lemaire has contributed too to his success. His insight in positioning and hockey sense helped someone who already had pretty good hockey sense. Andy’s hockey IQ is pretty high and it shows in his play. I think he’s now confident enough to play both the man and the puck depending on the situation and how many times have we seen him fighting on the boards with 2 attacking forwards and come out with the puck?

I think he’ll be around for a long time.

by MoonDragn on Dec 23, 2009 12:14 PM EST reply actions  

I agree, Moondragn. And in addition to Lemaire, I think Stevens has really helped with all of the defensemen in general.

"We aim above the mark to hit the mark." -- Ralph Waldo Emerson

by Tim G on Dec 23, 2009 12:44 PM EST up reply actions  

Greene also leads the team in blocked shots with 57 and has only taken 2 minors this year.

by C.J.Richey121 on Dec 23, 2009 3:12 PM EST reply actions  

I also read on Puck Daddy

the other day, that of all D-men who average 15 min/game, Greene hasn’t the second best GA/60. I was kind of blown away by that.

by Mandmeisterx on Dec 23, 2009 7:56 PM EST reply actions  

Yep.

Behind the Net confirms: In even strength situations, Greene’s GA OFF/60 is 2.09, his GA ON/60 is 1.22, which is indeed second lowest in the league. As the Special One would say, “Very good, Greenie. Be champion.”

By the way, Vancouver’s Christian Erhoff is #1 with a GA ON/60 of 1.01 (GA OFF/60 is 2.70, so file that differential under W for WOW.)

Devils in my heart! Devils in my mind! Devils in my eyes! Devils until I die!
In Lou We Trust - The Devils SBN Blog

by John Fischer on Dec 23, 2009 8:14 PM EST up reply actions  

Actually I was impressed the little I saw him play last year believe it or not, obviously not expecting him to turn out this impressive.There was something;I didn’t know what, but he showed potential—- because of my personal analyis of him I believe this is no fluke and that he is truly the real thing.

by eppy on Dec 23, 2009 10:17 PM EST reply actions  

Kind of strange he starts performing AFTER he signs a contract…

Before the season I was kind of hoping that he would be playing left d. If I remember correctly, last year when he had those 6 points in 3/4 games before his injury he got them all playing from the left side. I remember he even broke his hand when someone took a shot from the left boards. When he started out on the right side I was kind of disappointed but I think the biggest change, in terms of his offensive production, is his ability to take the puck from the boards and fire on net. Last year people used to just assume he’d miss the net completely, but he’s definitely improved on hitting the net.

It’s a shame he didn’t take part in the Olympic drug testing because he’d be a worthy candidate.

by dsarch on Dec 23, 2009 11:10 PM EST reply actions  

by left boards i meant the goalie’s left in the zone.

by dsarch on Dec 23, 2009 11:11 PM EST up reply actions  

The Powerplay

You can almost directly contribute the success of the power play this year as opposed to the last few years to his emergence. Last year we had 3 ppg’s by defenders which he has already surpassed (although Bergfors also deserves some props for the pp as well).

by dsarch on Dec 23, 2009 11:39 PM EST up reply actions  

He’s on pace to beat out Martin’s career points in a season. If so he’ll be our most prolific scorer since Rafalski. Which is good, since I think the reason Lou signed Greene in the first place was for his scoring ability while he was in Miami.

by MoonDragn on Dec 24, 2009 8:15 AM EST reply actions  

Well, in Miami (of Ohio, not THE U), he contributed plenty of assists. Per HockeyDB:

2002-03 41 GP 4 G 19 A 23 Pts
2003-04 41 GP 7 G 19 A 26 Pts.
2004-05 38 GP 7 G 27 A 34 Pts.
2005-06 39 GP 9 G 22 A 31 Pts.

Definitely not bad and when he was signed, the thinking was that he’d be a two-way defenseman of sorts. But I don’t think anyone projected him playing out of his mind as a team’s #1 defenseman for 2 (and now it’s looking like 3) months.

Devils in my heart! Devils in my mind! Devils in my eyes! Devils until I die!
In Lou We Trust - The Devils SBN Blog

by John Fischer on Dec 24, 2009 8:42 PM EST up reply actions  

Happy for Andy

I am happy that Andy has gotten the chance to prove himself this year, since I am ALMOST related to him. He is my brother’s wife’s second cousin. Does that make me his second cousin-in-law, twice removed?(LOL) Moreover, my daughter attended Miami (Ohio)U. at the same time that Andy played there. I told her she should introduce herself to him as his almost cousin. After all, they did share cousins, my brother’s daughter and son. At any rate, I have been following his career since he played for the Red Hawks, and I am thriled that he is performing so well this year. Dare we utter the term All-Star???

by Bigguy28 on Dec 31, 2009 2:16 AM EST reply actions  

Not quite. There’s no All-Star game this season.

Devils in my heart! Devils in my mind! Devils in my eyes! Devils until I die!
In Lou We Trust - The Devils SBN Blog

by John Fischer on Jan 1, 2010 2:07 PM EST up reply actions  

Silly me

I forgot about the Olympics.

by Bigguy28 on Jan 5, 2010 1:31 AM EST reply actions  

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