Free Agent Defensemen & the Devils: No One New
Today, I conclude this feature on free agent defensemen. I feel that the majority of viable signings in terms of "names," roles, and salary for a top pairing or a top 4 defenseman - be they an offensive or a defensive defenseman. If you want to suggest or talk about possible centers to sign, make them in the comments of this FanPost (not here) or reply/direct message me on Twitter. So far the response is a little tepid (Blair Betts?), so I hope some of you have some good angles as far as who would be a good fit. I will give you all a big hint: no Chris Grattons.
However, there is one possibility that remains - and one that always remains: doing nothing but keeping Oduya.
For today's closer look, the assumption is that the Devils will re-sign Johnny Oduya on defense and that will be it. (Note: I am also assuming that if Oduya is not re-signed, someone new must be signed because, oh, Oduya would leave a big, 20-minute hole on defense.) After all, the other top 5 defensemen are already signed for next season. According to NHL Numbers, Paul Martin, Jay Leach, and Mike Mottau have one year left on their deals; and Colin White and Bryce Salvador are signed through 2012-13. The Devils can sign Oduya and go into 2009-10 with the same top 6 they had from last season. Any other spots on the blueline will only be taken from within.
Let's look at how well the Devils' defense performed as a team last season. The Devils let up an average of 29.5 shots per game, which was 12th best in the league - the middle of a glut of teams ranging from 9th to 16th where the average shots allowed was between 29 and 30 per game. That's certainly not bad. In terms of how the Devils do on even strength, their goals for/against ratio is 1.25, the second best in the league. In conjunction with the Devils letting up an average 2.52 goals per game, the fourth best average in the league; I think it's fair to suggest that the Devils defense is effective to a point. The Devils may not be shutting down teams with ruthless aggression, but they aren't easy to beat. (Of course, the goaltending factors into the goals against, but I am speaking in terms of team defense, after all.)
In terms of roles, the Devils defense is led by Paul Martin, who had a strong season and deserved to be getting the majority of the minutes. While Martin averaged 24:22 per game last season, what is interesting how the minutes were divided up among the rest of the defense. Oduya got 20:52 per game, Salvador got 19:28 per game, White got 19:01 per game, Mottau got 17:47 per game, and Greene got . Martin was the only one who got significantly more minutes than the rest where as lot of the workload was shared among the rest. It strengthens the notion, in my mind, that the Devils' defense was truly a sum of it's parts. And another season of the same parts could lead to an even better season what with everyone already established in these roles. The coaches and players can just focus on improving the performance instead of mixing things up.
In terms of what to improve, two areas stick out. First, the Devils' penalty killing was definitely not so effective at a 79.9% rate. That was the 20th best rate in the league, tied with Colorado. While they stepped it up in the playoffs - and still manages the best postseason rate of 93.1% (though you can thank Carolina's awful, awful man advantage play for that), this is simply not a good rate for a PK. Especially with the team doing so well on even strength. You can argue that John Madden and Jay Pandolfo coming down from awesome 2007-08 seasons had a factor in that, but the Devils simply need to do a better job at this.
Second, out of the 238 goals the Devils scored in 2008-09, all nine defensemen who have played at least one game for the Devils combined for 21 goals. Paul Martin led the defense with 33 points, which places him seventh on the team between Dainius Zubrus and David Clarkson in terms of points. I honestly don't know how this compares with other teams; but you would think a blueline can contribute more than 8.8% of the team's goals. Correct my on my math if I'm wrong, but in terms of shots on net, 554 came from Devils defensemen out of the 2738 total that the Devils took, or approximately 20.2%. The defensemen are just not producing, which is odd because it's a common play for the puck to be fed to the point for an open shot.
None of the top 6 have that proverbial, heavy, low shot from the point that can lead to those goals, they don't have a very accurate shot either. None of them could be considered as good offensive defensemen. Quite frankly, that explains why Sutter usually went with four forwards on the power play. In terms of types of defensemen, the Devils don't have a defenseman with solid offensive skills. Only guys with flashes of it. That's why I felt, and I suppose why most of you felt, an offensive defenseman would improve the team. Another significant portion of readers felt that a defensive defenseman would be best, I suppose to bolster the good 12th best shots against average back into the top 10 or so as well as help out on the PK.
Yet, I feel like the current blueline - provided Oduya comes back - is not a detriment to the team. Oh, I believe it can be improved and should be; but if it doesn't happen, it doesn't happen.
As far as prospects go, there is Lowell, the Devils' AHL affilliate. Jared Ramsden at Hockey's Future has a solid review of the prospects down in Lowell from this past season and there are few defenders you may see in New Jersey in the future. Mark Fraser has been in minor pro hockey for two full seasons now and even got a small call up in 2006-07 for 7 games. He's a defensive defenseman, gritty, and big at 6'3", 220 lbs. He may not become a top 4 defender, but he could be useful on the third pairing. Tyler Eckford is another name to consider. He's more of a two-way defenseman and just lit it up in his final season at University of Alaska-Fairbanks with 8 goals and 31 assists in 37 games. He just finished his first season of professional hockey and Ramsden is still high on the player.
But the most likely player you may see next season is Matthew Corrente. The Devils' first round pick from 2006 was in competition with Anssi Salmela in preseason last September. From what I saw of him in exhibition, he was alright but didn't wow me all that much. The New Jersey organization felt that way as well and sent Corrente back to Lowell for his first season of professional hockey, where he could get minutes and properly develop. According to what Ramsden wrote, that may have proven to be a wise decision:
Along with being a physical and nasty presence on the blueline, he also displays the ability to carry the puck up the ice and put a few points on the board. He might be best served to play another full season in the minors, but after making such a smooth adjustment to the pro game, he might not need much more time there and could very well challenge for a spot on New Jersey's blueline this fall.
He was given the opportunity to challenge for a spot last season and if he has done as well as Ramsden notes, there's no reason to believe he won't get that opportunity again. It's not like Andy Greene and Jay Leach are irreplaceable players.
Hopefully, with this sort of an ending to this feature, I hope I explained that I think that the Devils' defense isn't terrible or a major issue preventing from the team to succeed. Keeping Oduya and using the rest of the available cap space would be a justifiable decision. As far any new blood coming up on defense, Corrente, Eckford, and Fraser (in that order) may make some noise in preseason. Like Salmela, it could be enough to get some games in on that third pairing. I personally want to see the Devils go out and sign someone to improve the blueline, preferbly in terms of offense. Someone like Ohlund or Seidenberg or Aucoin or Bergeron or (if Lou hits a home run) Bouwmeester. But if not signing an extra defenseman gets one or two centers who can produce right away, then that may turn out to be a smarter decision. Just like the decision is up to the unrestricted free agent as to who to sign with, the decision is up to the Devils as to who to target. As always, I trust in Lou.
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9 times out of 10, lou brings a good deal. Rolston i dont think has found his place yet. Maybe he’ll do better playing on the 2nd line if gionta leaves? I mean, he had 30 goal seasons on scoring lines. maybe thats all he needs. Holik was a good player and i doubt anyone could predict the underwhelming season he had, although he picked it up towards the end to a point. i will not discuss havelid too much. We all thought a veteran defenseman would shore up any weakness in the devils at the time of signing, you all can admit it. Especially with the blocked shots he was putting up and such. i guess he just didnt mesh.
Centers
a quick scan of still available UFA centers and the ones that i think deserve a sniff are:
Mike Cammalleri
Henrik Sedin (doubtful)
Mike Comrie
Saku Koivu
slim pickings truthfully for centers and i have little faith in Betts & Pahlson amounting to much. And most of the “big” names available are pushing 40 or way past their prime.
Possible RFA to target via deals:
Kessel or Krejci ( I don’t think Boston can keep both)
Ruutu
Hudler
Grabovski
Looking at the UFA list It make me more certain that it’s time NJ to let Gio go, move Rolston to RW and go after someone like Mike Cammalleri whose flaws will sort themselves out if sandwiched between Rolston and Elias.
I also feel you missed one offensive Defensemen who deserves a look: Cory Murphy & actually retaining Havelid
Well, I did have a whole FanPost for this but nevermind, this is a good list of suggestions.
I’m not going to consider RFAs because A) the Devils don’t have gigantic piles of potential money (cap space) and draft picks to compensate and B) I don’t think these players are really worth the extra effort. If they aren’t qualified, though, then by all means, take a look; but while they are RFAs. Not to mention that Parise is due to be a RFA at the end of his contract and we don’t want that team the Devils offered an offer sheet to have a chance at RFA-revenge.
Havelid will play in Sweden next year, he’s not coming back. Cory Murphy is 31, just finished his second season in the NHL, and is coming off a broken foot. I don’t think he’s worth a look unless the Devils need sub-$1 million players to fill out the D.
Devils in my heart! Devils in my mind! Devils in my eyes! Devils until I die!
In Lou We Trust - The Devils SBN Blog
If Brent Sutter leaves and the Devils possibly get head coach Guy Carbonneau do you think Saku Koivu would want to come to New Jersey?? That idea just came into my mind. Even if Guy doesn’t accept I still think the Devils should consider Saku Koivu.
Gionta- Koivu- Elias Martin- Oduya
Shanahan- Madden- Rolston Bergeron- Salvador
other lines I don’t know about Greene- White
Does anyone else think Saku Koivu would be a good addition for Gionta’s sake and the Devils sake. Look at these numbers…
Saku has 16 goals, 34 assists, 50 points in 65 games!
He has 44 PIM, 5 PPG, 5 GWG, and 123 shots on goal.
He is 34 years old but a 2 or 3 year contract won’t hurt. 5 million sounds good.
He would be an awesome addition. Just think if he was in all 82 games!!!
Koivu, Seidenberg/Ohlund
I really hope the Devs can land either of these players, especially Koivu to get Elias more consistent scoring-wise. If we do lose Gionta, which we might, I agree that Rolston should be on that line and I believe it would be productive. 30-goal scorer in Minnesota is an accomplishment in and of itself. Assuming Oduya leaves, we’d really need to sign a couple of Dmen, preferably one who’s a shutdown defenseman and the other who has an offensive upside and doesn’t play lazy in his own end. What about backup goaltenders? I’d hope we re-sign Clemmensen mostly for the fact he’s known the system and played extremely well and practically guaranteed us a playoff spot in place of Marty. We definitely have options and I’d really like to see Shanny, Oduya, Madden and Clemmensen as top priorities.
Murphy
I totally disagree iwth you on Murphy John.
He’s a low risk/high reward candidate… so he’s 31 and coming off a broken foot? He’s also the sort of offensive defenseman who if stays healthy and surrounded by the right team WILL put up at least 40 pts and be an asset on the PP. Will all of that happen? Who knows… but he’s a guy who will probably not be getting more than a mill a year and I personally think 1t 1 mill he’s worth a look, especially if he Devils go nowhere with bergeron
At least 40 points?
You do realize that A) only 28 defensmen scored 40 or more points this past season and B) Murphy has only been in the NHL for two seasons and in that time he put up 17 points in 47 games in the first year; 16 in 32 games. While the points-per-game looks quite good and he did average just under 18 minutes doing so; if he had the talent to put up that many points, then when why was he going in between the minors and the NHL in that second year? Conditioning? Talented players aren’t even exposed to that kind of a risk.
Furthermore, it’s not just the broken foot – he has already sustained two injuries that kept him out for many games prior to the broken foot. All this within two seasons in the NHL.
I understand that the guy was very productive in Europe, but I really have my doubts based on what has happened so far. While he could very well be a low risk/high reward candidate, I’m not really seeing the value from this player right away. As it is, he’d likely fight his way up the Devils’ depth chart and with the #5 and #6 spots already capable of being filled in by Mottau, Greene, Salvador, and possibly Corrente, can Murphy jump over them? Maybe, but can even stay healthy enough to keep it and be of use?
Devils in my heart! Devils in my mind! Devils in my eyes! Devils until I die!
In Lou We Trust - The Devils SBN Blog
Going no where with Bergeron???
He has a great shot, he puts up points, he isn’t even 30 yet, and he is a top 2 or 3 defenseive pair. The guy you want is 31, he was injured, and is injury prone at his age. The Devils could teach Bergeron how to play D and get back on the plays. That is his only downside. And who knows more about defense then the Devils with Larry Robinson and Tommy Albelin?

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