What Should Devils Fans Expect: Rod Pelley
Rod Pelley went from Lowell . After appearing for 58 games in 2007-08, looking OK on the fourth line for the most part; he spent the entire 2008-09 season in Lowell. And after the initial free agent frenzy on July 1, Lou said to Rich Chere that room needed to be made for Pelley.
"It will be status quo to see where our budget is," Lamoriello revealed. "We have to make room for Rod Pelley and a couple of others. And we have to get more ice time for David Clarkson."
But here's where the pressure comes in, as also reported by Chere later that night:
"In John's case a change might be good," Lamoriello suggested. "We really have to get a little younger in certain areas. Rod Pelley is ready to take John's role. We had to look at the dollars to sign John." [Emphasis mine - JF]
Truth be told, I really wish Lou didn't say that - at least not to the media. John Madden was beloved in New Jersey as an ace checking center, playing with heart, tenacity, and a fire inside. Of all the UFAs to have left New Jersey, I think Madden left the biggest hole. Yes, the Devils now only have 3 centers with NHL experience of some sort, which should guarantee's Pelley's spot on the 2009-10 roster. However, those are some big skates to fill in.
Now, if Lou thinks he's ready, then fair enough. I didn't follow Pelley in Lowell. All I know is that after a 2006-07 season where was called up for 9 games and a 2007-08 season where got an extended stay of 58 games, he wasn't brought up once. I'm a little confused by that, but again, I didn't follow Pelley in Lowell. Maybe he used that time to improve his game to the point where the Devils organization feels confident that he can take the next step up. I certainly hope that is the case.
Stepping back a bit, let's look at how he did in 2007-08. Pelley mainly got fourth line duty, playing an average of 9:18 a night, scoring a grand total of 2 goals off of 59 shots on net and 4 assists in 58 games. Pelley did take the fourth most faceoffs on the team that season, 321; he won 150 for a winning percentage of 46.7%. From what I saw of him then, I could tell that he was really developing into a defensive center. Looking back at Behind the Net's even strength on-ice/off-ice stats from that season, here's some stats about Pelley's limited role with the Devils in 07-08: (Note: don't mind the position at BtN, he was a center back then and will be one now.):
- Pelley faced a quality of competition rated at -0.11 and had a quality of teammates rated at -0.16. This shouldn't be a surprise as he was on the fourth line; not facing top players and definitely not with the best Devils on his side.
- Offense ceased when Pelley hit the ice, again, a result of him playing on the fourth line. The shots for per 60 dropped from 25.8 to 22.4 when Pelley got onto the ice; and the goals for per 60 fell from 2.43 to 0.87 when Pelley got off the bench. With a CORSI of -3.9 and his meager point totals (6 points back in 07-08 with New Jersey, 15-23-38 in Lowell last season), I think it's safe to say that Pelley will not be an offensive force.
- While the shots against per 60 went up from 22.4 to 24.3 when Pelley was on the ice; the goals against per 60 dropped from 2.21 to 1.44. This suggests that while the opposition may be getting more shots, they aren't necessarily high quality shots. A good sign for a checking center, but I wouldn't read much into it given the weak levels of competition faced on the fourth line.
- In terms of penalty killing, Pelley did play 21.2% of his ice time on the penalty kill. While he wasn't a mainstay, he did end up averaging 1:55 per game shorthanded. According to Behind the Net's shorthanded stats from that season, Pelley was on the ice for 8 power play goals against. However, when he was on the ice, the goals against per 60 was 4.29; an improvement from the 5.97 goals against per 60 when he wasn't on the ice. Not that Pelley equaled big stops on the PK every time he was out there (he would have gotten a lot more time if that were the case), he wasn't a waste shorthanded.
Of course, much has changed since then. Pelley is now older, wiser, and (hopefully) more refined and skilled in his style of hockey. He pretty much has to get into the swing of things quickly on the New Jersey Devils in order for the team to keep performing well. While much of Brent Sutter's success last season had to do with the possession-style of offense he empahsized among his forwards, the Devils maintained themselves well with constant backchecking and assistance on defense from the forwards. Pelley will have to pick that up while re-establishing himself in the league and that's certainly a tall order. Especially if it's Madden's 16:25 per night that he's replacing.
A part of me is still hoping that the Devils will make a trade for another center - either on the second or third line - and allow Pelley to "ease" into the New Jersey roster on the fourth line. There, he wouldn't have to be worry about having to replace John Madden, just ensure the Devils coaches that he deserves to stay in the NHL. If he performs well, then he can be moved up later. Yet, as it currently stands, Pelley's the man and so we should focus on him.
Despite the spot he's going to fill in, I don't think it's fair to really expect a lot from him this season and so I won't. While he's not technically a rookie, he's still relatively new to the NHL and he's coming up after a full season spent in Lowell. It's like he is a rookie, in my view. He's a defensive forward so he isn't going to score a lot - that has to be considered as well. In terms of the latter, I would be more than pleased with any contribution he gives - perhaps 10 goals and 20 points at the most. On the defensive side, I'd like to see Pelley win close to half of his faceoffs, avoid taking penalties (less than 60, he had 78 with Lowell last season), and keep up with the opposition. It doesn't sound like much, but again, I'm keeping the expectations low since there isn't much to go on with Pelley. One thing is for sure, I certainly don't expect him to be the next Madden - it really is a lot to ask of a young player.
If it were up to me, the Devils need a fouth center anyway, I'd prefer to get someone more experienced as a stop-gap until Pelley really looks ready to take Madden's old spot. But it's not, it's up to Lou, and Lou feels otherwise, given his comment right on the evening of July 1.
Now it's time to have your say. What do you expect from Rod Pelley in 2009-10? Should we even expect much at all? Please keep comments about Pelley rather than coming up with trade ideas (especially stupid ones).
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Comments
At thi spoint i’m kind of curious why Lou isn’t considering Blair Betts.
Madden is gone.
Who know which Pandolfo will show up this season
And Pelley is basically a rookie and a huge unknown.
I agree with you that unless he comes out of the stables blazing, Pelley should be eased into Madden’s role. With Betts still out there available and us needing a 4th center and someone with defensive/Penalty killing skills I’m not sure why we’re not going after Betts. Maholtra I fully understand why we’re not touching… but not Betts.
I see where you’re going except…I see it inside-out? Betts is a fourth line PK specialist; Malhotra can actually run a third line?
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by John Fischer on Aug 10, 2009 9:14 PM EDT up reply actions
He wants how much money? He’s a defensive forward and made $1.5 million last season; he honestly can’t be asking for more than $3 million.
I think a lot of the delays on free agents is the player wants more than a one-year deal whereas a lot of teams, New Jersey included, are probably looking for a one-year cap hit.
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by John Fischer on Aug 10, 2009 10:06 PM EDT up reply actions
I’m pretty certain Malhorta was looking for around 3 million or so a year. There were numerus reports out about his contract talks and demands with the Jackets about he since he felt he deserved 2nd line center money. Weather or not at this point he’s still sticking to that who knows.
I think him and his agent would have figured that out by now, given Malhotra is still without contract.
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by John Fischer on Aug 10, 2009 11:04 PM EDT up reply actions
We only have two centers set at this time
The only two centers guaranteed a spot at this time are Zubrus and Zajac. Unfortunately the 3rd center on this team may very well end up being Rolston if none of the “potential centers” pan out. For the record I want Rolston on the wing, but I just have a hunch that if we don’t make any moves that we may see Rolston centering Elias and Bergfors and Zubrus back centering the fourth line.
I say “potential centers” because I don’t think Pelley is a shoe in by any stretch of the imagination. I heard what Lou said, but that wasn’t intended for us, it was a message to Pelley. Ceratinly he will have an opportunity, and maybe he even can play a Madden style, but the comments in John’s original post are dead on. He has fourth line minutes against weaker competition and was pretty good on the PK. His Lowell numbers 15/23/38 +5 are nothing to brag about at our level. At this juncture to compare him to Madden is an insult. He needs to earn that comparison, and he hasn’t as of yet. Madden played against the best players on the ice every night, played major pk minutes, and with the exception of last year he chipped in pretty good numbers for his role.
When Lou traded a pretty decent prospect for Ben Walter I would bet that thier converstaion sounded pretty much like what we heard him say about Pelley, and I suggest that Ben Walter has as much a chance of being a center on this team as Pelley and has been told that by Lou. Why didn’t we hear that from Lou in the paper? Because he wasn’t our prospect. Ben Walter has better AHL numbers compared to Pelley and a better prospect rating. He is 25, a little bigger, and has played some in the NHL. I am a little concerned why he has traveled from the Bruins to the Islanders to us, and I suspect we will find out.
I brought up Malholtra a while back, and he will not get a 3 million dollar offer.Jason Williams only signed for 1.5, and I would put him at center on our team right now over Pelley or Walter. Malholtra can be had for probably about the same money, maybe less. For what we are paying Zubrus, or Pandolfo, or what we paid Rupp, that doesnt sound to bad to me.
I would absolutely love Malhotra as a Devil for that little money, really.
But I still think Pelley has to be penciled in over Walters and whoever else if only because he has 67 games of experience in the NHL. Not a lot and there was an entire season between the two, but he’s got more of a inkling of what is necessary at this level than Walters might. Then again, if the Devils do get another center and it’s a fight for the fourth line center spot, then Walters’ chances could get better. Again, there’s a reason he’s been moved from organization to organization already. I still think Pelley has a spot on this team and it’s his to really lose.
Lastly, yes, Madden was disappointing and struggled to start last season in particular, but before then he played like a Monsterâ„¢. I will miss him most of all the guys who went elsewhere this summer.
Devils in my heart! Devils in my mind! Devils in my eyes! Devils until I die!
In Lou We Trust - The Devils SBN Blog
by John Fischer on Aug 10, 2009 11:35 PM EDT up reply actions
Betts vs Malholtra
I don"t see the comparison between these two players by the way? Why would we need another Pk specilaist? We have pretty good PK players as it is, and I would rather have Malholtras scoring over Betts defense.
It was pretty good in 07-08, a 82.3% success rate and 13th best in the NHL then. It definitely took a down turn last season, when the Devils’ PK finished with a 79.9% success rate, 20th in the NHL last season. Some of that may be attributable to Pandolfo and Madden not having complete/good seasons, but as a whole, the PK units could use some work.
That said, I’d prefer Malhotra over Betts.
Devils in my heart! Devils in my mind! Devils in my eyes! Devils until I die!
In Lou We Trust - The Devils SBN Blog
by John Fischer on Aug 10, 2009 11:52 PM EDT up reply actions
I will miss Madden also.
I agree about missing Madden and his loss being the biggest, but Chicago paid him pretty good and those numbers must have been tough to justify under the present cap.
If we didnt have Pando and Zubrus under contract and Lou got a do over i think he would have spent more on Madden and less on the other two. Chicago is only a one year deal, so maybe we will see him back.
Is Betts Even Healthy?
Has anyone seen or heard from Blair Betts since that vicious elbow he took from Brashear? I’m not trying to be funny. I don’t know if he’s 100% yet.
Good question
And unfortunately, I haven’t seen any answers yet. I’m hoping he is and that it’s not a reason he hasn’t been signed yet.
Devils in my heart! Devils in my mind! Devils in my eyes! Devils until I die!
In Lou We Trust - The Devils SBN Blog
by John Fischer on Aug 11, 2009 7:33 PM EDT up reply actions

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