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Dont expect much come trade deadline


So with all the rumors flying around this time of year i wouldn't expect lou to be in om much of anything.  Here are the 5 reasons why i think lou will stay pat come the deadline.

5. Too many teams in the playoff race in both conferences: In the east only Toronto and Carolina have really elimanated themselves from the postseason and toronto is only 11 points out. While out west only Edmonton is starting to make plans for vacations come late april. Teams are less likley to give up on their seasons when they are that close.

4. Lack of big names: After Niedemayer and Kovalchuck there is a significant dip. Most seaons you could add souray to an elite player but he has been injury prone and his production is down. Besides that the decent names have either no trades or huge contracts

3.Lack of real talent to trade from devils end: Let's look at from a realistic standpoint. Elias, Brodeur, White, Rolston, Lagenbrunner, and Pandolfo all have no trades. Then you have Parise, Zajac, Greene, Oduya, Clarkson,Salvador,  and Martin players devils will not move. Who does that leave Mottau, Zubrus, Bergfors, Dannis, Fraser. Not a real impressive list.

2.Beware the Niclas Havelid tepmtation: After giving up a top defense prospect last season in Anssi Salmela for Havelid I can only hope lou would not make a similar mistake. As we have seen this year the devils farm team is stocked with good young players. To give up on any of those young for an over the hill middle of the road player would be a huge mistake. I mean would it really be wise to give up a player like Zharkov for someone like Ray whitney.

1. Don't mess with a good thing: The devils are atop the atlantic division while never having a full healthy squad all season. Now with Zubrus coming back and Clarkson and Martin a few weeks away, we could really have something special. And once Elias comes back from his concussion.... watch out the devils have the potential to have a very solid team, 4 lines that could score and do the job in their own end, no reason to make a move for the sake of making a move.

 



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Ooooh, an interesting and contrarian take. I like this. I wish the spelling and grammar were better, but it’s a start.

There’s a very valid reasoning behind all this too – why move depth for the future if one is confident the future will generate solid players. There’s not much value in making a move to make a move, after all.

Devils in my heart! Devils in my mind! Devils in my eyes! Devils until I die!
In Lou We Trust - The Devils SBN Blog

by John Fischer on Jan 25, 2010 11:31 PM EST reply actions  

#2 Could NOT be stressed enough

I trusted Lou in doing the right thing with this one at the time. Never expected to be an egg to the face. Of course, I’ll trust him still in that he won’t fall for that one twice.

The 2010 New York Mets: Maybe it's the Phillies' turn to have 95% of its roster on the DL

P.S. Rangers Suck! Flyers Swallow!

by R_Adragna on Jan 26, 2010 12:13 AM EST reply actions  

The thing is,

at the time, most hockey people were praising the move. Just because it didn’t work out doesn’t neccessarily mean it wasn’t the right move at the time.

by Mandmeisterx on Jan 26, 2010 6:45 AM EST up reply actions  

This is all true, but the bottom line with the Devils and the trade deadline is to expect the unexpected. Sometimes it’s pretty much impossible to guess what Lou is going to do (see: 2008, Cam Janssen for Bryce Salvador) but more often than not it doesn’t come back to bite us like Havelid did.

Players Currently in My Doghouse: Mike Mottau, Andrew Peters

by thejerseydevil on Jan 26, 2010 8:10 AM EST reply actions  

i also think that salvador trade was just as bad as the havelid trade. we lost one of the games best fighter and hitter. and if you look at our roster now we have nobody who can stand up and fight efficently when for example dion phaneuf takes a run at parise and colin white has to drop the mitts. the only person who can hold their own is clarkson and even he has become alittle bit of a goal scorer.

by jonnynovs on Feb 2, 2010 11:05 PM EST up reply actions  

I’ll take a solid defenseman over a uni-task fighter any day. Janssen was fun to watch, but if, especially on a team struggling to score, you’re wasting roster spots with tough guys who couldn’t hit the broad side of a barn with anything but their fists, then you’re not doing yourself any favors. *cough*Peters*cough*Leblond*cough*

Salvador drops the mitts too, btw. That trade was as close to turning nothing into something as I’ve ever seen.

by elesias on Feb 3, 2010 9:43 AM EST up reply actions  

Oduya?

If the right deal can be had, I think Oduya very well could be moved.

1. He’s signed for two more years at a relatively affordable cap hit, and he’s young enough to have value with other teams.

2. The money saved from having his salary off the books could then be put towards re-signing Paul Martin, and keeping guys like Niedermayer, Danis, Mottau, and/or McAmmond if Lou so chooses.

3. Fraser is the most obvious choice to come out of the lineup when Martin comes back, but he’s played fairly well, so it may prove worthwhile to keep Fraser in the lineup and trade Oduya for a piece that could help elsewhere in the lineup.

4. The blueline looks like it could be getting pretty crowded with Martin coming back, and Corrente, and Eckford knocking on the door. If they trade Oduya this season, then next year they could field a D of Martin, Salvador, Greene, White, Fraser, and one of the kids (if they’re ready) or Mottau re-signed on a short term deal.

by HockeyWeasel on Jan 26, 2010 1:57 PM EST reply actions  

but...

I agree with your reasons, but really have just one main concern about the current devils squad.

Definitely, when Elias/Clarkson/Zubrus are back, the four lines are going to be disgustingly powerful (or atleast have the ability to be.. whether they choose to or not, thats up to them). The main problem, are the blueliners. Let’s face it… besides Martin and very few others, our defense corps are nonames. Sure, they’ve managed to hold up their own for the most part this season (even with Martin and Oduya going out for extended periods of time), but I fear the playoffs and the breakdowns that happen there. I can see Lou fishing around for a high calibre, powerful, experienced blueliner (lets hope its Scotty) around the deadline, and would definitely understand/support that decision (hell, I’d support Lou if he told me to stab myself with a knife)

by Jago on Jan 26, 2010 2:23 PM EST reply actions  

This:

Sure, they’ve managed to hold up their own for the most part this season (even with Martin and Oduya going out for extended periods of time)

refutes this:

The main problem, are the blueliners. Let’s face it… besides Martin and very few others, our defense corps are nonames.

They’re statistically one of the best defenses in the league so I don’t see how being a “no name” defense matters one bit. Their recent struggles are due to those injuries you mention (and the under-performance of Oduya), as there are 4 guys playing big minutes and at least 1 (Fraser) not trusted enough to take more of the load (which makes me wonder if his adequacy is a function of his limited ice time or whether he should be getting more, but I digress).

I’m not saying the defense couldn’t benefit from a stud defenseman, as even when Martin comes back the team won’t really have a true number one, but it’s silly to say the defense is a problem when they’ve done more than hold their own.

by elesias on Jan 26, 2010 5:42 PM EST up reply actions  

see: Mottau yesternight

The Devils could really use a stud in front of Marty. Someone that can actually help on the powerplay. Someone that won’t fall apart in the playoffs. Someone that doesn’t assist on three Senator goals.

When three goals are allowed, it’s very hard for the Devils to come back and win it. As you said in your other post, the Devils have never been about offense. They’ve been about limiting the damage, not adding to it.

by Jago on Jan 27, 2010 1:05 PM EST up reply actions  

I’m no Mottau defender, and if I were GM and had an opportunity to trade him for something the team needed, I would… but the fact is, he’s been in the lineup of a top 5 defense the entire year.

He’s had some bad games, and when he does, they’re doozies, but he’s also had some stretches of very strong play. I maintain my assertion that it is Martin’s absence, and the absence of a trusted 3rd pairing that has led to the top 4 Defensemen being consistently overplayed and thus worn down.

Last night wasn’t all on Mottau, the entire team looked like crap.

by elesias on Jan 27, 2010 5:34 PM EST up reply actions  

Big Picture

There really are two distinctively different issues.

1- Does Lou think we need a piece that will help us in the palyoffs? If so he will make the deal he thinks appropriate. There are many deadline trades that have worked for us, not to minimize any of them but I think the Ben Hankinson/Alexander Semak trade for Danton Cole and Shawn Chambers was a huge trade for us. Semak was pretty much done by then, and Hankinson was a role player. Danton Cole never made it, but Shawn Chambers was tremendous for us.. Of course my favorite trade of all time was Sylvain Turgeron to theHabs for you know who… Who is that piece? I would suggest a puck moving center could be on the radar, and likewise a puck moving defensmen. I have finally forgiven Niedermeyer, but at what price? Fraser and a pick? i’m not sure that does it.

2- The big picture is what do we do with Corrente and Eckford. These guys could be on our blue line for a long time and are both ready to take that role next year. We also have a few other future blueliners in the system and Fraser has played well. So who stays and who goes. Oduya has been lackluster this year, so would I send him to Anahiem for Niedermeyer? yes I would, but that won’t be enough.

Here are the facts. White/Salvador/ Greene are not going anywhere. White has a ntc, so we are stuck with him at a price higher then his current production level. We need room for Corrente and Eckford, and Fraser has proven himself so far. So who is the odd man out. I’ll be shocked if Mottau is here next year, if he is it will be with an understanding that his role will be diminished and he will be the #7 d man.
 
Yes, I am pointing the trade finger directly at Paul Martin. Not because I dont like him, Not because he hasnt played well for us, but purely upon the emergence of Andy Greene and the fact that Martin is UFA after this season. His salary is 4.5 million with a cap hit of 3.8. He is definitely going to want a raise next year, 20% raise is 5.4 million. That is elite defensemen money, and money I think we can use better elsewhere. This isn’t a good comparison year for Martin, but last year he played 73 games and his numbers look like this among defensemen.
scoring-46th
+/- 12th
Hits-88th
TOI-43rd

Respectable numbers, but is that a 5.5 million dollar defensemen?

by pepe22 on Jan 26, 2010 2:53 PM EST reply actions  

'Devil's Advocate'

Let me-point by point-go over these points:

5. While there are a large grouping of teams (6 seed through the 13th seed) in the East & West that don’t have much separation, a lot of those teams have pending free agents that they will not want to lose for nothing in the offseason. Teams will start to assert themselves more in the next few weeks and more sellers besides the teams that you mentioned should develop. There is also the possibility of a mutually beneficially deal that the Devils can make with a team trying to contend. While those deals are rare, there is still a possibility. If we dealt Bergfors for a young offensive minded defenseman wouldn’t that be a good trade?

4. Lou has never been a big game hunter, so I wouldn’t expect him to go after the big names. In Devils history they have made some big moves at the deadline, but history has also shown us you can win it all by acquiring a player like Neal Broten. If we traded with the Avalanche for Brett Clark to toughen up the D a bit would that be a big name? No, but he would help improve our defense and make Oduya/Mottau have to up their game for playing time which would make the team D that much better.

3. I don’t see why (in the right deal) Clarkson or Bergfors wouldn’t be available and the Devils have assets in the minors and abroad to trade. While I wouldn’t want to deal a Tedenby or Josefsson or a future pick they are all assets that can be moved. In fact I would deal a guy like Henrique who I think has inflated numbers playing on a line with Hall and whose value in a trade might not be higher.

2. I understand your point about Havelid but we have to make sure we don’t overrate our own players. Anssi Salmela is not a big loss at all or a top prospect. Also, if we had the opportunity to add a second line center for Zharkov I think you jump on that. We know what we are getting with Whitney. Zharkov is still a work in progress. That said, I hope we don’t trade Zharkov because I love the way he plays the game.

1. The returning players will help, but right now I don’t think the Devils have the offensive firepower to score with the Caps/Pens in a 7 game series. If we can make a move to put us over the top, I say do it. I would hate to get to the conference finals and not be able to advance because of trading a guy like Zharkov or Eckford.

Just my 1.5 cents.

by Tom Stivali on Jan 26, 2010 4:51 PM EST reply actions  

The returning players will help, but right now I don’t think the Devils have the offensive firepower to score with the Caps/Pens in a 7 game series.

Trying to match the firepower of offensively oriented teams is a fools errand and not at all what Devils hockey has ever been about. It’s all about limiting the damage and scoring at least one more than they do.

They’ve done pretty well so far at winning against those teams with that formula, but that’s not to say they shouldn’t add a sniper if they can wrangle a good deal for one.

by elesias on Jan 26, 2010 5:48 PM EST up reply actions  

Salmela-Havelid

Salmela wasn’t a “top defensive prospect.” We saaw what the kid could do up here and in Lowell and Lou made a very good decision on not retaining him. He’s played just 27 games at abotu 13 minutes per game in Atlanta.

Also Havelid wasn’t as bad as people made him out to be, he was just easy to blame because he was out there for the tying goal. The truth was last year, no one was playing really, really well at the end of the season.

For this year, hopefully Lou can get one upgrade back on d. I don’t mind Salvador, White, Oduya, Greene or Martin right now, but Mottau’s dip in form this year has hurt us. Fraser isn’t up to it yet to play at that level, but come playoffs when we regularly play against the top forwards in the league, we need to have 6 defenders who the coach trusts against all opponents.

by dsarch on Jan 27, 2010 9:04 AM EST reply actions  

Disagree with your points...

5. Some analysts are saying there might be 2 trade deadlines this year effectively because there is a trading freeze during the olympic break. So teams may be motivated to make some trades before the olympics begin and then again on March 3rd. As a result, there are two times when teams have to make a decision on whether or not they should trade up in hopes of becoming a contender. Keep in mind also that even teams that are on the bubble could decide to trade down and pick up draft picks because its not worth giving away draft picks unless it gives them a shot at winning the Cup, not just making the playoffs.
4. The Devils rarely go after the “big names” and quite frankly do not need to acquire an elite player. For example, the Devils got Bryce Salvador and he’s become a big part of their defense, but this does not mean he’s an all-star by any means. The Devils could try to get Scott Neidermayer, but there are plenty of other options that could improve the team that are not considered to be all-stars (and as a result, won’t cost the Devils a lot in the deal)
3. Of your list of guys who could be traded, Zubrus, Fraser, and Bergfors might all draw some interest, particularly Bergfors, who is not far behind the top scoring rookies in the league. Additionally, the players you listed as keepers that the Devils will not trade could be gone for various reasons. Martin is a UFA after this season and hasn’t played since October. With the emergence of Andy Greene this year, he or Oduya could become expendable if the Devils pick up another defenseman. Finally, the Devils could trade Clarkson or Zajac even if Lou feels they need to change things up at forward because right now they are having all sorts of problems generating any kind of offense.
4. The Havelid deal didn’t work out, I agree, but as the person before me mentioned, Salmela has not had a good year for Atlanta, playing in just over half of their games, missing the rest as a healthy scratch usually. What this shows me is that Salmela benefited tremendously from being in the Devils system, and playing for a team that plays terrible defensively, he does nothing to improve the group. I guess I don’t necessarily see the major loss in giving him up.
1. While the Devils are riding their success up until a few weeks ago, recently, they have had all sorts of problems. Scoring has been a major issue. Sure, there are a lot of injuries on the team, but these injuries have been occurring throughout the entire season and haven’t stopped them until now. Additionally, the Devils have been playing the entire season without their best defenseman since October and have had to rely on Brodeur so much. While Marty has stepped up to the challenge for the most part, we have all seen Marty falter in the playoffs because he was over played throughout the regular season. I know he’s the best goalie that ever played, but he is also older and cannot play 75 regular season games and go to the olympics and still expect him to stay sharp for the playoffs. The Devils need to give Danis more opportunities, but it would also help if the Devils could strengthen their defense as well.

by NJPenguins08 on Jan 27, 2010 10:46 AM EST reply actions  

Wait...

Since when was Salmela top prospect??? the Devils gave up in him for a reason.

Also I guarantee you all of these players are not off limits on a trade if it’s a cup contender making deal: Greene, Oduya, Clarkson, Martin, Mottau, Bergfors, Halischuk, Vasyunov, Zharkov, Corrente & Eckford.

And that looks like great trade bait in my opinion.

by Zelepukin on Jan 28, 2010 3:08 PM EST reply actions  

That’s a good list. I don’t think Oduya’s all that valuable with that large contract he now has, and I doubt Mottau could command much interest; but yeah, all options are available if it’s for a move to put the Devils over the top.

Incidentally, I put together my categorized list of who can, can’t, and probably will/won’t be traded of the whole roster just on the front page. I like where the discussion has headed though.

Devils in my heart! Devils in my mind! Devils in my eyes! Devils until I die!
In Lou We Trust - The Devils SBN Blog

by John Fischer on Jan 28, 2010 8:39 PM EST up reply actions  

No cap room

I dont think they have the salary room to make a deal worth making. If they are going to resign Martin.

To pick up someone decent that they could resign. They are going to have to move salary with it. The only guys without no trade clauses (Other then Zajac and Parise, which they would never trade) are Salvador, Oduya and Martin. All make about 3mil a year.

Pandolfo and Rolstons salaries are really hurting there options. Both are being way over paid.

by NJDOhio on Jan 28, 2010 6:51 PM EST reply actions  

Cap Room

Our open cap number is 2.6 million which translates to a 7 million full salary. We could absorb most players in the league with that cap room.

If for instance we traded Paul Martin it would clear an additional 1.4 million giving us 4 million

Neidermeyer would be a 2.5 hit or Souray a 2 mil hit. so really Neidermeyr would be a .9 mil hit and Souray a .6 mil hit, if they were tarded for Martin (EXAMPLE ONLY)

And thats all assuming that it wouldnt take another player from within our cap to get them, which could clear more room.

I would be hesitant to give up to much for Neidermeyer because we dont know how much longer he will play, but Souray may be worth the shot if he can be landed without hitting our farm system to much.

Talk about a bad trade though, Vladamir Malakov for Sheldon Souray looked pretty good then, but doesnt look so good now. Hind sight being 20/20 and all.

by pepe22 on Jan 29, 2010 2:17 PM EST up reply actions  

Your going to need to explain how 2.6 mill translates into 7 Million?

Right now Neidermeyer is a 6.750 Million hit on Anaheims salary cap. For this year. Soury 5.4 Million.

How would that translate to 2.5 and 2 ??

by NJDOhio on Feb 1, 2010 6:07 PM EST up reply actions  

Well, their cap hits for the rest of the season would be about that much.

The full season cap hit takes place over the course of the whole season. If they get traded, then the team who gets the player is responsible for the rest of the cap hit that hasn’t been paid out yet.

Devils in my heart! Devils in my mind! Devils in my eyes! Devils until I die!
In Lou We Trust - The Devils SBN Blog

by John Fischer on Feb 1, 2010 6:13 PM EST up reply actions  

Well that makes sense now.

by NJDOhio on Feb 1, 2010 7:02 PM EST up reply actions  

Just a random thought, but what’re the chances Lou could finagle Kyle Okposo from the Islanders?

The guy would look awfully good in a Devils uni.

by elesias on Jan 30, 2010 2:58 PM EST reply actions  

Probably next to impossible, I would suspect Snow would get a lot of deserved heat for moving one of his best young assets. Okposo is clearly a part of the core the Islanders should be and are building around right now.

Devils in my heart! Devils in my mind! Devils in my eyes! Devils until I die!
In Lou We Trust - The Devils SBN Blog

by John Fischer on Jan 30, 2010 3:29 PM EST up reply actions  

That was my thinking, but every time I see him play he strikes me as exactly the kind of player Lou would go after.

I suppose if the pot were sweet enough it could be made to work, but you’re probably right that Snow wouldn’t move him… especially not to a divisional rival.

by elesias on Jan 30, 2010 3:42 PM EST up reply actions  

What about

Tomas Plekanac from Montreal? He’s having a great year and is a UFA this summer.

by NJPenguins08 on Feb 4, 2010 1:28 AM EST reply actions  

ha!

and you were saying! dont ever doubt Lou! yes its most likely a rental player,but Kovalchuk was the best available and we got him which we never do. Brilliant to take another shot at a Cup with Marty getn older but at the top of his game,thou not lately. lets get some of these injured players back and make a serious run at Cup! Lets Go DEVILS!!!!!

by CAPO27 on Feb 4, 2010 10:52 PM EST reply actions  

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