2010 UFA Centers by Faceoff Percentage and Usage - Devils Could Benefit from Market at Draws
The New Jersey Devils currently have one true center under contract for the 2010-11 season in Travis Zajac, according to the current chart at CapGeek. Sure, they have wingers who can and have played center in Patrik Elias, Dainius Zubrus, and Rod Pelley. However, last summer, just before the season began, the Devils signed Rob Niedermayer (original thoughts here) and Dean McAmmond to provide additional cover. And only Niedermayer stayed at center all season long along with Zajac.
With Niedermayer and McAmmond are both pending unrestricted free agents (UFAs) this summer, the Devils will need to address the center situation. Even if they commit Elias, Zubrus, and/or Pelley to center, the Devils will still need at least one center for the bottom two lines. Sure, the Devils have young prospects in Jacob Josefson and Adam Henrique in the system, but they may not be ready for the NHL game yet. Ben Walter and Tim Sestito has had cups of coffee in the NHL, but they are also free agents and who knows if they'll stick around.
My point is that while this summer's group of impending UFA centers may not teeming with scoring talent, they are still worth looking at to fill the team's needs. Who among them can do the job as a defensive center? Who among them could handle a scoring line role along with a checking one? How have they all done in the past season?
These and more questions will be answered in the next few days. I've taken everyone's suggestions from this post along with the suggested centers made by Derek Zona in this post at Red Light District and some other UFA centers listed to be available at at NHL Numbers for additional context (e.g. Vaclav Prospal, a.k.a. Vinny Prospal). As with these example posts on Paul Martin, Ilya Kovalchuk, and Brian Rolston, I'll focus on the centers' on-ice and on-ice impact stats from Behind the Net, their goals versus threshold values, and other stats from the 2009-10 season.
Today, though, I will determine who really played the center position last season, who excelled at faceoffs, and then categorize the UFA centers by how much they played. The next few posts will be split up by playing time. Please read on after the jump to see how it all broke down
The 23 (out of 27) UFA Centers
What I've done is take the 5-on-5 numbers from Behind the Net, sort out all of the centers who have played at least 30 games and a time on ice per 60 (TOI/60) of at least 10. This way all centers who have played significant minutes up and down the lineup are sorted out. Don't worry, this not only includes all the suggested centers but also Niedermayer and McAmmond for comparison purposes.
Today, I've taken that list of UFA centers, organized their ages and 09-10 salary (in millions) from NHL Numbers, and taken their total faceoff count and faceoff winning percentage from NHL.com.
Out of all 27 centers, 8 of them played significant minutes at even strength (13+ TOI/60); 10 played secondary minutes (11-12 TOI/60); and 9 played depth minutes (less than 11 TOI/60). In future posts, this is how I will break them up for comparison purposes.
Now, four of these centers are in italics. Notice that everyone on this list has taken at least 400 draws last season except for Doug Weight, Jason Williams, Mike Comrie, and Chris Higgins. While they may be listed as centers, they didn't take nearly as many draws as you would expect. Whereas everyone else has averaged at least 7 draws a game - these four didn't come close. If they were really centers last season, they would have taken more faceoffs in my view.
Therefore, I'm not going to include those four in future posts. They may be useful forwards, but they weren't centers last season and so I'm not interested in them at the moment.
Lastly, I'd like to point out who really stood out in terms of faceoffs. Check out that second group with three centers who took more than 1,000 draws last season for possible defensive centers. John Madden, at age 38, didn't take weak minutes in Chicago. He was starting in the defensive zone 155 more times than the offensive zone, and he was taking tons of draws - and winning 53% of them. Don't think that turning 39 would dissuade the Devils, given recent past center signings of Niedermayer, McAmmond, and Bobby Holik in the prior summer. Matt Cullen wasn't as successful as Madden, but 51% for someone who took 1,100 faceoffs is still nothing to sneeze at - he's definitely worth a closer look. As does Islander spark-plug Richard Park, who may be a far better bargain than both as he wasn't taking $2+ million to do what he does on the bottom two lines and the PK units.
Not that the non-1000+ drawers aren't impressive. I was a fan of signing Manny Malhotra last summer and I hope this past season's numbers will justify continued fandom. A 62.5% faceoff winning percentage definitely makes me smile. All 6 "significant minutes" centers had good faceoff percentages, nothing great but not bad. None would be liabilities at the dot. Down among the depth minute centers, Scott Nichol really stood out with 800+ faceoffs and a winning percentage above 60%. That's more draws than Patrick Marleau, clearly he was trusted in his role in San Jose.
Overall, what strikes me is that only Dean McAmmond and Rickard Wallin really have noticeably low winning percentages. At least Tomas Plekanec, Olli Jokinen, Glen Metropolit, and Matthew Lombardi were not too far under 50%, much less hanging around the 45% mark. Most of the UFAs are coming off seasons where they did better than 50% on faceoffs, which I think is quite good. Should the Devils go into the market for a center, it wouldn't be a surprise if they win more faceoffs in 10-11.
Granted, faceoff totals and percentages aren't everything about a player; but they do provide insight into really was a center in the past season and whether the player can help his team get more possessions off faceoffs. Not that faceoff dominance wins games, but getting the puck more often is always welcome. It's not sexy, it's not usually celebrated, but it's an important part of the game. Don't underestimate it.
Tomorrow, I'll begin by looking at each group more in-depth from this past season and if necessary, in prior seasons.
Now it's your turn. Who on this list excites you? Who's faceoff numbers impressed you? Who surprised you? Vinny Prospal (he may be a winger/center, but his numbers surprised me a bit) certainly did. How about the ages and salaries, did they cause you to think a little bit differently about a player? Do you agree with the classification of these centers? Let me know what you think in the comments.
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I think the Devils ought to take the opportunity to get top faceoff guys that are relatively young and reasonably priced. While Marleau isn’t that old, he presents pretty much the same problem as Kovalchuk, lotsa money. Lombardi is close to 50%, not too too expensive, and surely less than Plekanac will command, whose faceoff percentage is the lowest of the real top TOI centers. I kind of agree with you John in that Manny Malhotra might be a good choice. Finally, if they’re not bringing back Niedermayer and McAmmond, then I think Jim Slater is the guy for the #3 spot. Let’s please leave Elias on the wing.
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I’ve always liked Richard Park.
Sure he’s smallish, and he doesn’t have the best scoring touch… but he’s got that, for lack of a better word, Parisean (of the Zach kind, not the French kind) work ethic.
Tenacious little bugger, and by my eye tests, defensively responsible (will await the data before making final judgment). Just always struck me as a guy that would fit in well on the Devils.
Depending on how free agency pans out, I’d really like for Lou to kick the tires on him for the fourth line.
"There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics." -Mark Twain (?)
Honestly
I have really no idea who Lou is going to sign this summer. Every time I think I ave an idea, the guy does a 180 on me sins someone that no one was expecting. However, we definitely need some veteran depth at center. We finally have some coming up through the system but as Mr. Fischer stated, they may not be ready for the big show. I am praying that they are because I love to see home grown talent get developed by the Devils and then get the reward of playing on the big club.
However, on Josefson. Wasn’t it mentioned that is current contract doesn’t let him go to the AHL? In other words, if he doesn’t make the NHL, he can go back to Sweden?
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Thanks for these articles. It helps to keep us fans going during the lean months of of the off season.
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given what i’ve read about henrique and josefson and their stats in their various leagues, i think it’s silly to sign a 3rd line center long-term when one (or both) should be ready by 2011. one of them may even be ready this season. with the devils finally moving away from the concept of their 3rd line being a ‘checking’ line, it’s not vital that the devils get one of these great faceoff types/defensive sorts. and i think elias or zubrus can center the 2nd line – that there’s too many teams who need a center and are going to fight over what is basically plekanec, marleau, and table scraps. signing malhotra or belanger or moore to a 3 year/5.5 to 6ish million dollar deal feels like a waste of money, and it can’t take priority over signing either kovalchuk or martin.
i like the idea of signing richard park – he’s still got wheels, even if his hands are still bad. i’m not sure that pelley can handle 4th line center.
I would rather see Park on the 4th line than Pelley right now.
"Hockey is a sport for white men. Basketball is a sport for black men. Golf is a sport for white men dressed like black pimps."- Tiger Woods
by RolliePollieKovy on May 29, 2010 10:22 AM EDT reply actions
Nice job
I have us signing either Malhotra or Belanger. I think Belanger fits our system better, being better defensively and bringing a better offensive game to the table, although Malhotra is better if we need a key draw, just as Team Canada and Patrice Bergeron how important that was in Vancouver. Then again, if cap becomes the question, maybe we take Malhotra, who knows.
Yankees in baseball, Giants in football and Devils in hockey. It's that simple. I have no off-season.
I would take Malholtra and Belanger for our 2nd and 3rd line duties and sign 2 defenseman. I mean Malholtra was only getting paid about 700,000. My guess he will get about 1 million somewhere. Belanger was getting 1.7 million. My guess about close to 2 million maybe 2.5 million. You can sign Martin. Let Kovy walk or trade his rights and sign him on July 1st. Ha ha yeah right. That will leave about close 7 million for defenseman and signing Eckford and the other rookies. Think of Tallinder for 3 million and Foster for maybe 2 million. You have 2 million for remainding signings. I only hope that Lou knows that.
"Hockey is a sport for white men. Basketball is a sport for black men. Golf is a sport for white men dressed like black pimps."- Tiger Woods
by RolliePollieKovy on May 29, 2010 12:12 PM EDT reply actions
Belanger can still bring some offense to the table. He did have 41 points last season. With Patty and maybe Clarkson he can score over 50 points. Malholtra is the ideal 3rd liner.
"Hockey is a sport for white men. Basketball is a sport for black men. Golf is a sport for white men dressed like black pimps."- Tiger Woods
by RolliePollieKovy on May 29, 2010 12:55 PM EDT reply actions
Malholtra is a more defensive center than Belanger. Who else is going to play the 2nd line center position?
"Hockey is a sport for white men. Basketball is a sport for black men. Golf is a sport for white men dressed like black pimps."- Tiger Woods
by RolliePollieKovy on May 29, 2010 1:20 PM EDT reply actions
I don’t know. Maybe these articles will continue and show off who could actually do it.
One may appear tonight, focusing on their GVT. I’ll give you a hint: If Belanger had the offense, he left it in Minnesota last season.
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by John Fischer on May 29, 2010 4:26 PM EDT up reply actions
2nd-line center
You could pencil Elias in at the center position on the second line — he’s adequate, even if he isn’t a natural center. It might be cheaper and easier to find a scoring winger to play alongside him, rather than looking for a true center.
As for Malhotra and Belanger, neither one brings enough offense to be a Top 6 forward. If you got sick and tired of seeing Brian Rolston log significant minutes in key offensive situations (and I know I did), you likely won’t be any happier with one of these two doing it.
But John he was with an offensive powerhouse with Washington halfway through the year and played with probably Walker and maybe Fehr. Belanger was playing with Havlat in Minnesota and then to go to Wash. and play with 3rd line forwards it is a change. I will be going over to the Wild blog and trying to get some insight on what Belanger really did behind the scenes. Hard to tell with him in Minnesota.
"Hockey is a sport for white men. Basketball is a sport for black men. Golf is a sport for white men dressed like black pimps."- Tiger Woods
by RolliePollieKovy on May 29, 2010 5:34 PM EDT reply actions
Belanger or the Caps Team?
I meant the team is an offensive powerhouse team.
"Hockey is a sport for white men. Basketball is a sport for black men. Golf is a sport for white men dressed like black pimps."- Tiger Woods
by RolliePollieKovy on May 29, 2010 6:52 PM EDT up reply actions
Center Position
This is an important position that the Devils have not addressed for several years and had wings trying to fill the job. Let’s hope that Lou finally finds a playmaking center to play along with Elias and what ever right wing plays on the second line. Zubrus is not a real center and his best position is playing along with Zajac & Parise.

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