2009-2010 Devils GVS and GVC

by FrankG929 on Jun 21, 2010 3:16 PM EDT

Tom Stivali put together a nice write-up on the value of recent Devils Free Agent activity. Reading about the Goals vs. Salary (GVS) data got me curious about the rest of the Devils team and how they performed. I read the article Tom pointed to that described the calculation and pulled the Devils information for 2009-2010 from Tom Awad's All Time GVT database (John discussed that here). The article with the calculation also indicated the GVS could be calculated against the salary cap number, so I did that as well, and called it GVC. Well, the tables below have both those calculations. I used the roster listed in SB Nation here and the players' 2009-10 GVT against their 2010-11 salary/cap info from capgeek's Devils data.

There were some differences in the data looking at it by GVS and by GVC. First here is the GVS data:

10-11 Salary	10-11 GVS	10-11 Cap Hit	10-11 GVC	GVT	Name
0.750	11.050	0.738	11.088	11.8	Andy Greene
5.000	9.400	3.125	15.025	22.9	Zach Parise
3.500	7.100	3.888	5.938	16.1	Travis Zajac
2.800	5.200	2.800	5.200	12.1	Jamie Langenbrunner
0.763	5.113	0.763	5.113	5.9	Mike Mottau
0.875	4.175	0.838	4.288	5.3	David Clarkson
5.200	3.300	5.200	3.300	17.4	Martin Brodeur
0.575	2.875	0.575	2.875	3.1	Martin Skoula
0.500	2.300	0.500	2.300	2.3	Dean McAmmond
0.500	2.300	0.500	2.300	2.3	Mark Fraser
1.000	1.500	1.000	1.500	3.0	Rob Niedermayer
6.389	1.432	6.389	1.432	19.1	Ilya Kovalchuk
0.625	1.225	0.613	1.263	1.6	Anssi Salmela
0.500	1.100	0.500	1.100	1.1	Yann Danis
0.610	0.370	0.850	-0.350	0.7	Vladimir Zharkov
0.575	-0.225	0.550	-0.150	0.0	Rod Pelley
0.523	-0.268	0.523	-0.268	-0.2	Patrick Davis
0.600	-0.400	0.822	-1.065	-0.1	Matthew Corrente
0.525	-0.975	0.525	-0.975	-0.9	P. Letourneau-Leblond
5.000	-1.000	6.000	-4.000	12.5	Patrik Elias
2.900	-1.300	2.900	-1.300	5.9	Bryce Salvador
0.500	-1.700	0.500	-1.700	-1.7	Andrew Peters
3.000	-2.800	3.000	-2.800	4.7	Colin White
3.400	-3.800	3.400	-3.800	4.9	Dainius Zubrus
4.500	-4.300	4.500	-4.300	7.7	Jason Arnott
5.000	-6.700	5.063	-6.888	6.8	Brian Rolston
2.500	-6.800	2.500	-6.800	-0.8	Jay Pandolfo
4.500	-7.200	3.833	-5.200	4.8	Paul Martin

I'd guess some of the names at the bottom of the list surprise some people. Martin is there mostly due to his injury. He improves to -2.7 GVS and -.7 GVC using his average seasonal GVT of 9.3.

Sorted by GVC:

10-11 Salary	10-11 GVS	10-11 Cap Hit	10-11 GVC	GVT	Name
5.000	9.400	3.125	15.025	22.9	Zach Parise
0.750	11.050	0.738	11.088	11.8	Andy Greene
3.500	7.100	3.888	5.938	16.1	Travis Zajac
2.800	5.200	2.800	5.200	12.1	Jamie Langenbrunner
0.763	5.113	0.763	5.113	5.9	Mike Mottau
0.875	4.175	0.838	4.288	5.3	David Clarkson
5.200	3.300	5.200	3.300	17.4	Martin Brodeur
0.575	2.875	0.575	2.875	3.1	Martin Skoula
0.500	2.300	0.500	2.300	2.3	Dean McAmmond
0.500	2.300	0.500	2.300	2.3	Mark Fraser
1.000	1.500	1.000	1.500	3.0	Rob Niedermayer
6.389	1.432	6.389	1.432	19.1	Ilya Kovalchuk
0.625	1.225	0.613	1.263	1.6	Anssi Salmela
0.500	1.100	0.500	1.100	1.1	Yann Danis
0.575	-0.225	0.550	-0.150	0.0	Rod Pelley
0.523	-0.268	0.523	-0.268	-0.2	Patrick Davis
0.610	0.370	0.850	-0.350	0.7	Vladimir Zharkov
0.525	-0.975	0.525	-0.975	-0.9	P. Letourneau-Leblond
0.600	-0.400	0.822	-1.065	-0.1	Matthew Corrente
2.900	-1.300	2.900	-1.300	5.9	Bryce Salvador
0.500	-1.700	0.500	-1.700	-1.7	Andrew Peters
3.000	-2.800	3.000	-2.800	4.7	Colin White
3.400	-3.800	3.400	-3.800	4.9	Dainius Zubrus
5.000	-1.000	6.000	-4.000	12.5	Patrik Elias
4.500	-4.300	4.500	-4.300	7.7	Jason Arnott
4.500	-7.200	3.833	-5.200	4.8	Paul Martin
2.500	-6.800	2.500	-6.800	-0.8	Jay Pandolfo
5.000	-6.700	5.063	-6.888	6.8	Brian Rolston

Again, as pointed out elsewhere, generally veteran players get hurt by this calculation because they're somewhat getting paid for past performance. It probably balances out since when players are younger, they're generally above 0 and therefore sort of gaining that performance advantage for the future. Maybe, as long as Mottau's salary doesn't increase radically, he wouldn't be a bad investment. If we have to bring back either McAmmond or Niedermayer, Dean gives us more value for the dollar. Players who spent time on multiple teams (Kovy, Salmela, Skoula) have their entire 09-10 season's GVT included.

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Comments

Mottau & McAmmond

Glad the numbers bear out what I was thinking in that Mike and Dean arent that bad. McAmmond certainly fits the role as 4th Line Center as far as Im concerned, and would sign for the minimum.
Mottau could be the 7th Defenseman on our team and Id be happy. Good work Frank

by Skuba7 on Jun 21, 2010 4:08 PM EDT reply actions

neidermayer or mcAmmond i would mind coming back to play on the 4th line and PK, i thought they did a good jobmay be old but can still play
kinda like marty-hes like wine, the older it is, the better :D

PS3: J-CAMPS

by J-camps on Jun 21, 2010 5:52 PM EDT reply actions