FanPost

Martin Brodeur's "Adjusted" Save Percentage (and the Rest of the League Leaders)


As I indicated in my discussion 2009-2010 Shot Data From Around the League, Martin Brodeur's save percentage would see a positive impact based on the seemed tendency of Devils official scorers at the Rock to under-count shots. I went ahead and copied some of the goaltender league leader data from www.nhl.com into the spreadsheet I created for that post. And as expected, there was a significant change, actually even more than I guesstimated in that post. I took the goaltending leaders, sorted them by shots against and saved the first page of data.

The table is sorted by Sv%. I added columns for the adjustment in saves, save percentage, new ranking, and change from the "standard" rank.

Rank

 Player

 Team

 GP

 GS

 SA

 Sv

 Sv%

Adj Saves

Adj Sv%

Adj Rank

Change

1

Tuukka Rask

BOS

45

39

1221

1137

0.931

-16.7

0.930

1

0

2

Ryan Miller

BUF

69

68

2098

1948

0.929

4.9

0.929

2

0

3

Tomas Vokoun

FLA

63

62

2081

1924

0.925

-16.0

0.924

4

-1

4

Jimmy Howard

DET

63

61

1849

1708

0.924

36.4

0.925

3

1

5

Jaroslav Halak

MTL

45

43

1386

1281

0.924

-47.2

0.922

8

-3

6

Evgeni Nabokov

SJS

71

71

2168

1998

0.922

-62.4

0.919

10

-4

7

Henrik Lundqvist

NYR

73

72

2109

1942

0.921

-34.3

0.920

9

-2

8

Miikka Kiprusoff

CGY

73

72

2035

1872

0.92

57.9

0.922

7

1

9

Ilya Bryzgalov

PHX

69

69

1961

1805

0.92

70.6

0.923

5

4

10

Jonas Hiller

ANA

59

58

1860

1708

0.918

-63.7

0.915

13

-3

11

Craig Anderson

COL

71

71

2233

2047

0.917

-80.6

0.914

15

-4

12

Martin Brodeur

NJD

77

76

2004

1836

0.916

165.8

0.923

6

6

13

Cam Ward

CAR

47

45

1409

1290

0.916

15.3

0.916

12

1

14

Johan Hedberg

ATL

47

42

1355

1240

0.915

1.5

0.915

14

0

15

Tim Thomas

BOS

43

43

1221

1117

0.915

-18.4

0.914

16

-1

16

Roberto Luongo

VAN

68

67

1915

1748

0.913

140.5

0.919

11

5

17

Chris Mason

STL

61

61

1699

1551

0.913

-5.3

0.913

17

0

18

Marty Turco

DAL

53

52

1605

1465

0.913

-57.1

0.910

19

-1

19

Carey Price

MTL

41

39

1244

1135

0.912

-42.9

0.909

22

-3

20

Pekka Rinne

NSH

58

54

1541

1404

0.911

-27.7

0.909

20

0

21

Jose Theodore

WSH

47

43

1352

1231

0.911

-29.9

0.908

23

-2

22

Brian Elliott

OTT

55

48

1424

1294

0.909

36.2

0.911

18

4

23

Antero Niittymaki

TBL

49

46

1388

1261

0.909

-30.9

0.906

26

-3

24

Jonathan Quick

LAK

72

72

1927

1747

0.907

58.7

0.909

21

3

25

Dwayne Roloson

NYI

50

49

1555

1410

0.907

-41.3

0.904

28

-3

26

Ondrej Pavelec

ATL

42

40

1353

1226

0.906

1.4

0.906

27

-1

27

Marc-Andre Fleury

PIT

67

66

1772

1604

0.905

41.8

0.907

24

3

28

Niklas Backstrom

MIN

60

58

1632

1474

0.903

62.2

0.907

25

3

29

Steve Mason

CBJ

58

55

1653

1490

0.901

-33.6

0.899

30

-1

30

Jeff Deslauriers

EDM

48

48

1529

1377

0.901

16.9

0.902

29

1

Obviously there's correlation with the shot data. It would seem they are most accurate counting shots in Atlanta, or at least closest to the league average. Nabokov in San Jose and Anderson in Colorado would see the largest loss of positions at 4. Behind Brodeur, Vancouver's Luongo at 5 spots makes up the next most ground, followed by Elliott in Ottawa at 4. The numbers aren't going to be exact because I simply used 1/2 the number of starts to determine the impact of the shot counting variance. I'd guess there probably wouldn't be more than a 5% difference if I were to search the number of home games vs. road games for each goalie.

All FanPosts and FanShots are the respective work of the author and not representative of the writers or other users of In Lou We Trust.

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