FanPost

Brian Rolston "Does" Hit the Net Fairly Often and Other Shot-Based Info

Editor's Note: The stats within are only for 5-on-5 hockey from the 2009-10 season. Yep, even strength only, as that's all the info Behind the Net has, which is nothing to sneeze at given that the majority of hockey is played at ES. Still, it's interesting information to chew on and Frank did a good job putting it together.

In the Martin v. Tallinder FanPost, Murdoc and I had a short discussion about Brian Rolston's ability to hit the net. Seems I was a bit, well, wrong, when I implied that Murdoc (or any one of us bloggers for that matter) would be able to hit the net better than Brian. Behind The Net has data based on shot type for all the players. I used a subset of that data to determine who is best at hitting the net. Using the Total portion, I added columns that calculated and ranked the percentage of missed shots out of all shots taken. The results were surprising, and not just for Mr. Rolston. I can use this data to conclusively predict that Dainius Zubrus will be among the next Devil players traded. You'll see why I say that when you see the table, which I've subtly modified to include a few recent ex-Devils.

I used 20 games and 10 minutes per games as my cut-off. Primarily because I wanted to see where Paul Martin fit in and also because of where someone else appeared in the table. So, here are the current and some recent ex-Devils. I also ranked defensemen separately from forwards. There are 344 forwards and 225 defensemen that made the cut, so you have a frame of reference when looking at the bottom feeders, so to speak.

TOI/60 - Time On Ice in minutes. G - Goals. SH - Shots on goal saved by goaltender. MS - Missed net.
DIST - Average shooting distance. SPCT - shooting percentage (European-style, includes missed shots.)
Total also includes backhands, deflections and wrap-arounds and will not match the sum of the other three categories.

NAME

POS

TEAM

GP

TOI/60

G

SH

MS

DIST

SPCT

MS/ATT

MS Rank

NICKLASBERGFORS

C

ATL

81

12.74

11

156

31

31.5

5.6

16.58%

1

MATTHALISCHUK

C

NSH

20

10.18

1

20

4

26.4

4

16.67%

2

DAINIUSZUBRUS

C

N.J

51

13.6

9

66

18

27

9.7

21.43%

19

BRIANROLSTON

C

N.J

80

13.27

13

155

47

36.4

6

23.27%

51

JAYPANDOLFO

LW

N.J

52

11.81

4

59

19

32.5

4.9

24.36%

66

TRAVISZAJAC

C

N.J

82

14.88

19

138

45

31.1

9.4

24.59%

74

ROBNIEDERMAYER

C

N.J

71

13.49

9

64

21

27.9

9.6

24.71%

78

ZACHPARISE

LW

N.J

81

15.44

27

234

77

31.7

8

24.76%

79

JASONARNOTT

C

N.J

63

14.67

13

137

47

30.9

6.6

25.54%

92

ILYAKOVALCHUK

RW

N.J

76

15.73

29

153

60

33

12

28.17%

166

PATRIKELIAS

LW

N.J

58

13.52

15

88

35

31.4

10.9

28.46%

184

JAMIELANGENBRUNNER

RW

N.J

81

14.58

11

143

57

36.5

5.2

28.50%

187

DEANMCAMMOND

LW

N.J

62

10.9

6

70

28

29.5

5.8

28.57%

190

DAVIDCLARKSON

RW

N.J

46

12.03

8

77

35

33.7

6.7

31.25%

260

VLADIMIRZHARKOV

RW

N.J

40

10.16

0

48

27

35.9

0

36.00%

326

ANSSISALMELA

D

N.J

38

12.67

1

35

15

53.6

2

30.00%

59

MIKEMOTTAU

D

N.J

79

18.52

2

50

22

48.8

2.7

30.56%

68

PAULMARTIN

D

N.J

22

16.86

1

17

8

48.5

3.8

32.00%

87

BRYCESALVADOR

D

N.J

79

16.4

4

41

20

57.5

6.2

32.79%

97

JOHNODUYA

D

ATL

67

16.69

3

50

26

50.7

3.8

34.21%

114

ANTONVOLCHENKOV

D

N.J

64

16.38

4

57

32

51.6

4.3

35.96%

140

MARTINSKOULA

D

N.J

52

15.49

2

28

16

54.6

4.3

36.36%

149

COLINWHITE

D

N.J

81

16.91

2

43

25

59.9

2.9

36.76%

156

HENRIKTALLINDER

D

N.J

82

16.47

4

43

30

44.9

5.2

41.10%

198

ANDYGREENE

D

N.J

78

18.44

2

55

40

52.3

2.1

42.11%

201

MARKFRASER

D

N.J

61

12.14

3

21

22

56.7

6.5

51.16%

222

As far as highly rated Devil or ex-Devils forwards go; Nicklas Bergfors led the league in shot accuracy (measured in this way) last year. Surprisingly, Matt Halischuk was second overall in the league out of players who played 10 minutes per game for at least 20 games. Next on the list of best Devil forwards was Dainius Zubrus. Since it would seem the Devils are trading forwards based on their ability to hit the net, Dainius is likely on the short list. But as far as Devil forwards go, Brian Rolston is next on the list and amongst the top 15% of forwards in the league. If you include defensemen, he ranks just outside the top 11%. Surprise, surprise.

Now, looking at a few other Devils; On defense, Anssi Salmela and, wait for it, Mike Mottau are the top two, both ranking in the top third of the league. If Andy Greene is to step into Paul Martin's skates as the #1 offensive defenseman, he has to practice his shooting. 10% more of his shots missed the net than did Martin's. I wouldn't be too concerned at Zach Parise's almost 25% rate. Other top forwards who rank below him include, Vincent Lacavalier (25.99%, 106th among forwards), Mike Knuble (who led the league in shooting percentage out of "full-time" players, 26.28%, 114th), Sidney Crosby (26.96%, 127th), the much drooled over Tomas Plekanec (27.27, 143rd), and Alexander Ovechkin (31.11%, 257th). Oh, and the player with over 20 goals rated the lowest? Daniel Sedin, 34.31%, 314th. And our "buddy" down the turnpike, Jeff Carter, was next worst of 20 goal scorers, 33.70% and 305th. And going back to Parise; the only 20 goal scorers with a better shot accuracy were Henrik Sedin (21.97%, 29th), Matt Moulson (23.12%, 49th) and Rick Nash, (24.62%, 75th).

So when asked to determine which Sedin twin is which, have them each take 30 shots on net, the one that misses 10 or more is Daniel. Just for kicks, here are the league's 20 goal scorers:

NAME

POS

TEAM

GP

TOI/60

G

SH

MS

DIST

SPCT

MS/ATT

MS Rank

HENRIKSEDIN

C

VAN

82

14.79

22

103

29

23

14.3

21.97%

29

MATTMOULSON

LW

NYI

82

13.27

22

133

40

33.6

11.3

23.12%

49

RICKNASH

RW

CBJ

76

14.8

20

147

48

31.3

9.3

24.62%

75

ZACHPARISE

LW

N.J

81

15.44

27

234

77

31.7

8

24.76%

79

MICHAELCAMMALLERI

C

MTL

65

15.72

20

141

47

32.5

9.6

25.00%

80

CHRISSTEWART

RW

COL

77

13.7

24

148

51

31.5

10.8

25.63%

96

ALEXBURROWS

RW

VAN

82

13.65

25

150

52

28.6

11

25.74%

99

JOEPAVELSKI

LW

S.J

67

13.43

21

147

51

26.7

9.6

25.76%

100

MIKAELSAMUELSSON

RW

VAN

74

13.58

21

143

50

34.7

9.8

25.91%

103

MIKEKNUBLE

RW

WSH

69

13.54

23

101

36

27.8

14.4

26.28%

114

COREYPERRY

RW

ANA

82

16.16

20

182

67

25.3

7.4

26.91%

125

SIDNEYCROSBY

C

PIT

81

14.99

34

168

62

29.3

12.9

26.96%

127

WOJTEKWOLSKI

LW

PHX

80

14.28

20

131

49

29.9

10

27.22%

142

STEVENSTAMKOS

C

T.B

82

13.71

23

138

52

29.6

10.8

27.37%

147

ILYAKOVALCHUK

RW

N.J

76

15.73

29

153

60

33

12

28.17%

166

JAMESNEAL

LW

DAL

78

13.89

22

128

51

30.5

10.9

28.49%

186

NICKLASBACKSTROM

C

WSH

82

14.97

21

143

57

33.3

9.5

28.50%

187

PHILKESSEL

LW

TOR

70

14.97

21

190

77

32.2

7.3

28.84%

202

PATRICKKANE

RW

CHI

82

15.01

21

176

72

26.7

7.8

29.03%

207

NIKLASHAGMAN

LW

CGY

82

13.04

21

156

64

29.3

8.7

29.09%

209

PATRICKMARLEAU

C

S.J

82

14.55

26

153

64

29.4

10.7

29.49%

219

MARIANGABORIK

LW

NYR

76

15.78

27

155

65

23

10.9

29.55%

221

JAMIEBENN

LW

DAL

82

12.36

20

126

54

29.9

10

30.00%

232

LOUIERIKSSON

LW

DAL

82

14.33

20

134

58

26.9

9.4

30.21%

238

ALEXOVECHKIN

LW

WSH

72

16

36

217

98

35.3

10.3

31.11%

257

ALEXANDERSEMIN

LW

WSH

73

14.18

30

171

78

34.6

10.8

31.33%

261

DUSTINPENNER

LW

EDM

82

13.39

23

121

58

25.8

11.4

32.40%

284

JUSSIJOKINEN

LW

CAR

81

12.84

20

87

42

31.9

13.4

32.56%

286

JAROMEIGINLA

RW

CGY

82

16.35

22

163

82

35.7

8.2

33.47%

300

BOBBYRYAN

RW

ANA

81

14.96

24

161

81

28.9

9

33.47%

301

JEFFCARTER

C

PHI

74

13.53

20

183

93

30.3

6.8

33.70%

305

DANIELSEDIN

LW

VAN

63

14.61

21

134

70

29.2

9.3

34.31%

314

All FanPosts and FanShots are the respective work of the author and not representative of the writers or other users of In Lou We Trust.

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