Devils Scoring Chance Summary for Game 1 and Game 2

by C.J. Richey on Oct 10, 2011 8:23 PM EDT in Devils Scoring Chances

Welcome to the first scoring chance post of the year. Before I get into anything I want to suggest checking out my intro to scoring chances post right here. It should help you in understanding everything that you will see below. Also I should note that I am kind of stingy when it comes to chances. I used a pretty hard line when it came to the scoring area, so even if a shot was slightly out I still didn't count it.

Despite losing in their first game of the year the Devils actually did a pretty good job of limiting the Flyers scoring chances. They led 9-6 in chances after two periods but then fell apart in the third getting out chanced 6-0. Ilya Kovalchuk had a poor night going -4 at even strength and also giving up 2 chances while on the PP. Adam Larsson led the way for the defensemen going +3 at even strength and Petr Sykora managed to finish the night at +5.

Patrik Elias led the team with 3 scoring chances but only managed to get one on net. Zach Parise had 2 chances on net and Kovalchuk led the team with 2 chance assists. Continue after the jump for all the tables and graphs.

Broad Street Hockey's take on the game.

Team	Period	Time	Note	Devils						Opponents
OPP	1	19:18	Briere from Timonen, Miss	8	16	24	28	30		21	25	30	44	48	93	5v4
NJD	1	17:24	Parise	6	9	15	26	29	30	17	20	28	30	41	68	5v5
OPP	1	14:46	Briere off Mezaros rebound	5	6	8	12	17	30	6	17	30	41	48	93	5v5
NJD	1	12:20	Elias from Kovalchuk, Miss	5	9	17	23	26	30	14	20	27	30	44		5v4
NJD	1	12:16	Elias from Larsson, Miss	5	9	17	23	26	30	14	20	27	30	44		5v4
NJD	1	9:40	Sykora from Parise	5	6	9	15	26	30	19	20	21	24	30	44	5v5
OPP	1	7:55	Giroux from Van Riemsdyk, Goal	7	8	12	17	29	30	6	21	25	28	30	68	5v5
NJD	1	5:49	Elias	5	6	9	15	26	30	5	15	27	30	36	44	5v5
OPP	1	0:12	Nodl Breakaway	8	12	15	17	29	30	15	24	25	30	41		5v4
OPP	2	16:48	Couturier Breakaway	9	17	23	26	29	30	14	20	27	30	44		5v4
NJD	2	4:41	Larsson from Kovalchuk	5	6	15	17	30		5	28	30	41	68		4v4
OPP	2	2:01	Van Riemsdyk partial breakaway	5	6	8	17	23	30	21	25	28	30	41	68	5v5
NJD	2	1:35	Palmieri	5	8	12	17	24	30	21	25	28	30	41	68	5v5
NJD	2	0:05	Parise deflection from Sykora	7	9	15	26	29	30	6	17	25	30	48	93	5v5
NJD	2	0:03	Sykora from Tallinder rebound, Miss	7	9	15	26	29	30	6	17	25	30	48	93	5v5
OPP	3	18:51	Voracek from Briere	7	14	15	17	28	30	17	20	25	30	48	93	5v5
OPP	3	17:20	Read from Hartnell, Goal	5	6	11	12	17	30	5	14	19	24	30	44	5v5
OPP	3	16:38	Meszaros from Giroux, Miss	8	16	24	28	30		17	20	28	30	41	68	5v4
OPP	3	15:10	Simmonds from Meszaros rebound, Goal	12	17	24	26	28	30	17	20	28	30	41	68	5v5
OPP	3	12:40	Voracek from Timonen	6	9	16	24	30		17	25	28	30	44	93	5v4
OPP	3	3:21	Simmonds from Meszaros rebound	8	14	24	28	30		17	20	28	30	41	68	5v4

#	Player	EV			PP			SH
5	A. LARSSON	15:14	6	3	6:20	2	0	0:12	0	0
6	A. GREENE	13:25	4	3	0:45	0	0	4:38	0	1
7	H. TALLINDER	12:50	2	2	0:07	0	0	4:19	0	0
8	D. ZUBRUS	12:10	0	3	2:15	0	1	4:37	0	2
9	Z. PARISE	7:54	5	0	5:12	2	1	5:11	0	1
11	B. MILLS	7:03	0	1	0:00	0	0	3:34	0	0
12	N. PALMIERI	9:38	1	4	2:51	0	1	0:20	0	0
14	A. HENRIQUE	8:56	0	1	0:00	0	0	3:46	0	1
15	P. SYKORA	9:19	6	1	3:00	0	1	0:00	0	0
16	J. JOSEFSON	10:45	0	1	0:57	0	0	6:30	0	2
17	I. KOVALCHUK	14:00	2	6	8:24	2	2	1:06	0	0
21	M. TEDENBY	8:25	0	0	0:58	0	0	0:00	0	0
22	E. BOULTON	4:53	0	0	0:00	0	0	0:00	0	0
23	D. CLARKSON	9:51	0	1	4:09	2	1	0:00	0	0
24	B. SALVADOR	11:48	1	2	0:00	0	0	9:10	0	3
26	P. ELIAS	8:05	5	1	4:58	2	1	3:18	0	0
28	A. VOLCHENKOV	8:40	0	2	0:00	0	0	7:24	0	3
29	M. FAYNE	12:33	3	1	2:04	0	2	2:39	0	0
30	M. BRODEUR	37:25	7	6	8:24	2	2	14:11	0	3

Period	Totals		EV		PP		5v3 PP		SH		5v3 SH
1	5	4	3	2	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	0
2	4	2	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0
3	0	6	0	3	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Totals	9	12	7	6	2	4	0	0	0	2	0	0

This is the head to head chart for the game. This shows the even strength head to head comparisons for each player. It shows how the Elias' line was pretty successful against basically the whole Flyer lineup, while the Zubrus' line was pretty horrible. Boxes without a number means that that player didn't have chance for or against, boxes with a zero means that they ended up even.

#	Player	Chances	Chance On Goal	Chance Assist
5	Larsson	1	1	1
6	Greene	0	0	0
7	Tallinder	0	0	1
8	Zubrus	0	0	0
9	Parise	2	2	0
11	Mills	0	0	0
12	Palmieri	1	1	0
14	Henrique	0	0	0
15	Sykora	2	1	1
16	Josefson	0	0	0
17	Kovalchuk	0	0	2
21	Tedenby	0	0	0
22	Boulton	0	0	0
23	Clarkson	0	0	0
24	Salvador	0	0	0
26	Elias	3	1	0
28	Volchenkov	0	0	0
29	Fayne	0	0	0

The Devils 2nd game was very similar chance wise after 2 periods compared to game 1. They were tied with Carolina with 8 chances apiece heading into the 3rd but this time the Devils had a strong 3rd, out chancing the Hurricanes 4-1. Ilya Kovalchuk made up for his lackluster opening night leading the forwards with a +3 at even strength. He also led the team in chances and chances on goal. The Elias line was a little less successful this game only managing 1 ES chance but it resulted in the Devils first goal of the year.

Larsson had another good game leading the defensmen with a +3 and had 2 chance assists. Mark Fayne also had a strong night with a +3 and got a chance on goal.

Team	Period	Time	Note	NJD						Opponent
NJD	1	17:45	Tedenby from Volchenkov	1	8	21	23	24	28	13	15	30	36	44	51	5v5
NJD	1	17:11	Henrique deflection from Tallinder	1	7	11	14	22	29	19	22	25	28	30	37	5v5
NJD	1	16:01	Parise tip from Elias, Goal	1	5	6	9	15	26	16	30	44	51	53	59	5v5
CAR	1	15:32	Staal from Jokinen	1	8	11	24	28		12	25	30	36	51	53	4v5
CAR	1	14:48	Skinner from Pitkanen	1	8	11	24	28		12	25	30	36	51	53	4v5
CAR	1	13:51	Ruutu from Allen	1	7	8	14	29		6	15	16	28	30	53	4v5
CAR	1	9:44	Skinner from Staal	1	7	9	15	26	29	12	25	28	30	53	59	5v5
NJD	1	7:35	Elias from Larsson	1	5	9	17	23	26	5	6	16	30	39		5v4
CAR	2	18:10	Larose	1	7	9	15	26	29	12	30	44	51	53	59	5v5
CAR	2	16:27	Jokinen from Faulk	1	7	9	11	29		12	28	30	36	44	53	4v5
CAR	2	16:11	Staal from Pitkanen	1	7	9	26	29		12	28	30	36	44	53	4v5
CAR	2	11:04	Ponikarovsky deflection from Gleason, Goal	1	5	6	12	14	22	5	6	16	23	30	39	5v5
NJD	2	10:24	Fayne from Kovalchuk, Goal	1	7	12	16	17	29	12	25	28	30	53	59	5v5
NJD	2	2:42	Parise from Elias, Miss	1	5	8	9	17	26	5	6	12	30	36		5v4
NJD	2	1:19	Elias from Larsson, Miss	1	5	9	17	23	26	5	6	16	30			5v3
NJD	2	0:36	Kovalchuk, Miss	1	5	9	17	23	26	12	30	39	44	51		5v4
CAR	3	16:32	Staal	1	7	9	12	29		12	23	25	30	36	51	4v5
NJD	3	14:30	Zubrus	1	5	6	8	21	23	5	6	13	15	30	36	5v5
NJD	3	13:55	Kovalchuk	1	5	12	16	17	29	12	13	15	25	28	30	5v5
NJD	3	13:54	Kovalchuk, Goal	1	5	12	16	17	29	12	13	15	25	28	30	5v5
NJD	3	13:08	Mills, Miss	1	7	11	14	22	29	19	22	30	37	44	51	5v5

#	Player	EV			PP			SH
1	J. HEDBERG	43:52	8	3	6:36	3	0	8:32	0	6
5	A. LARSSON	18:30	4	1	5:32	3	0	0:18	0	0
6	A. GREENE	18:10	2	1	0:22	0	0	0:39	0	0
7	H. TALLINDER	14:15	3	2	0:45	0	0	4:06	0	4
8	D. ZUBRUS	10:23	2	0	1:28	1	0	3:52	0	3
9	Z. PARISE	14:48	1	2	5:14	3	0	3:03	0	3
11	B. MILLS	4:47	2	0	0:00	0	0	2:07	0	3
12	N. PALMIERI	11:48	3	1	1:22	0	0	0:33	0	1
14	A. HENRIQUE	6:08	2	1	0:00	0	0	1:29	0	1
15	P. SYKORA	14:18	1	2	1:29	0	0	0:00	0	0
16	J. JOSEFSON	12:26	3	0	0:00	0	0	3:03	0	0
17	I. KOVALCHUK	15:48	3	0	6:13	3	0	0:46	0	0
21	M. TEDENBY	9:06	2	0	0:00	0	0	0:00	0	0
22	E. BOULTON	5:27	2	1	0:00	0	0	0:00	0	0
23	D. CLARKSON	10:11	2	0	4:16	2	0	0:00	0	0
24	B. SALVADOR	11:16	1	0	0:00	0	0	3:52	0	2
26	P. ELIAS	15:24	1	2	5:14	3	0	2:11	0	1
28	A. VOLCHENKOV	10:57	1	0	0:00	0	0	4:21	0	2
29	M. FAYNE	14:07	5	2	0:42	0	0	3:48	0	4

Period	Totals		EV		PP		5v3 PP		SH		5v3 SH
1	4	4	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0
2	4	4	1	2	2	0	1	0	0	2	0	0
3	4	1	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0
4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Totals	12	9	8	3	3	0	1	0	0	6	0	0

#	Player	Chances	Chance On Goal	Chance Assist
5	Larsson	0	0	2
6	Greene	0	0	0
7	Tallinder	0	0	1
8	Zubrus	1	1	0
9	Parise	2	1	0
11	Mills	1	1	0
12	Palmieri	0	0	0
14	Henrique	0	0	0
15	Sykora	0	0	0
16	Josefson	0	0	0
17	Kovalchuk	3	2	1
21	Tedenby	1	1	0
22	Boulton	0	0	0
23	Clarkson	0	0	0
24	Salvador	0	0	0
26	Elias	2	1	2
28	Volchenkov	0	0	1
29	Fayne	1	1	0

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Comments

So cool. I can’t wait till we can start analyzing all these numbers once we get a solid sample size.

by dkball7 on Oct 10, 2011 9:12 PM EDT reply actions

Here’s my take on the PHI-NJD game.

We got fairly similar chances, I tend to be more generous than other recorders. By the end of the game I was surprised the Devils actually managed to keep it that close because they sure seemed like they were being dominated throughout the game.

Tracking the Flyers scoring chances at Broad Street Hockey

by ToddtheFox on Oct 10, 2011 9:14 PM EDT reply actions

Corey (who does the Canes chances at Shutdown Line) hasn’t posted his yet. I’ll link it when it gets up.

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That's it. I'm sending you to El Paso to live with your real parents.

by Kevin Sellathamby on Oct 10, 2011 9:16 PM EDT reply actions

Awesome, Awesome, Awesome – Did I mention this is awesome?

Being used to Corsi – I have to understand this is a way of measuring the quality of one’s possession. As you said in your first post:

Corsi approximates puck possession; if you have a high Corsi that means you are attempting more shots than your opponent, which means you have the puck more often and in an attacking position. Scoring chances measure how well a player is utilizing that puck possession and if they are getting off quality shots.

By the way, I hope those Corsi scripts are up soon so we can combine both stats.

In terms of the first game, the Devils seem to take advantage of the very little possession they had. That’s probably the only positive out of that game. I was worried about how Salvador and Volchenkov would fair – that pairing seems to be shutting everything down minus that one gaffe in the first game. Nice job

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by Matthew Ventolo on Oct 10, 2011 9:19 PM EDT reply actions

The Corsi scripts are up. http://timeonice.com/shots1112.php?gamenumber=20020

Just change the game number.

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by George E. Ays on Oct 10, 2011 11:56 PM EDT up reply actions

Thanks for the heads up George – I checked at around 10 pm and saw they were up. Posted the links below.

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by Matthew Ventolo on Oct 11, 2011 12:06 AM EDT up reply actions

ILWT is teaching you Hockey !

"It's magic, it's tragic, it's a loss, it's a win"

by Elektrostal_Kid on Oct 10, 2011 9:20 PM EDT reply actions

I don’t remember Tallinder missing the net against Philly…Someone ?

"It's magic, it's tragic, it's a loss, it's a win"

by Elektrostal_Kid on Oct 10, 2011 9:26 PM EDT reply actions

It was a scoring chance assist for Tallinder. Sykora had the miss from him.

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by Matthew Ventolo on Oct 10, 2011 9:28 PM EDT up reply actions

Ok I see there, from rebound… but to me Tallinder’s shot was a real SC though….

"It's magic, it's tragic, it's a loss, it's a win"

by Elektrostal_Kid on Oct 10, 2011 9:29 PM EDT up reply actions

Take it up with C. J. haha.

He did say he was stingy with giving chances. The Flyers link from Todd has Tallinder with one with 4:41 left in the 1st.

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by Matthew Ventolo on Oct 10, 2011 9:32 PM EDT up reply actions

It was a sharp angle shot from outside the left circle if I remember correctly

by C.J. Richey on Oct 10, 2011 9:32 PM EDT up reply actions

ok no worries !

"It's magic, it's tragic, it's a loss, it's a win"

by Elektrostal_Kid on Oct 10, 2011 9:34 PM EDT up reply actions

http://video.nhl.com/videocenter/console?hlg=20112012,2,12&fr=false

It could go either way.

Tracking the Flyers scoring chances at Broad Street Hockey

by ToddtheFox on Oct 10, 2011 9:35 PM EDT up reply actions

Agh. You’ll have to find the Tallinder shot from that link.

Tracking the Flyers scoring chances at Broad Street Hockey

by ToddtheFox on Oct 10, 2011 9:35 PM EDT up reply actions

http://video.nhl.com/videocenter/console?hlg=20112012,2,12&fr=false

"It's magic, it's tragic, it's a loss, it's a win"

by Elektrostal_Kid on Oct 10, 2011 9:37 PM EDT up reply actions

god dammit, same mistake !

"It's magic, it's tragic, it's a loss, it's a win"

by Elektrostal_Kid on Oct 10, 2011 9:38 PM EDT up reply actions

Yeah it only goes to the highlights anyway.

I’m generous, CJ is stingy. It’ll all work out at the end as long as we’re consistent.

Tracking the Flyers scoring chances at Broad Street Hockey

by ToddtheFox on Oct 10, 2011 9:39 PM EDT up reply actions

very true

"It's magic, it's tragic, it's a loss, it's a win"

by Elektrostal_Kid on Oct 10, 2011 9:40 PM EDT up reply actions

C.J must be following suit on the Prudential Center scorers.

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by Matthew Ventolo on Oct 10, 2011 9:41 PM EDT up reply actions

…a pass from Kovy, same type as Fayne’s goal today..

"It's magic, it's tragic, it's a loss, it's a win"

by Elektrostal_Kid on Oct 10, 2011 9:28 PM EDT up reply actions

I remember now. Tallinder was ever so slightly behind the circle. It was close though. Almost exactly where Larose scored from today, which I didn’t count either.

by C.J. Richey on Oct 10, 2011 9:44 PM EDT up reply actions

It is you the boss ;)

"It's magic, it's tragic, it's a loss, it's a win"

by Elektrostal_Kid on Oct 10, 2011 9:54 PM EDT up reply actions

i was curious whether you would count larose’s goal as a scoring chance – i thought it was inside the circles, but it was close. whatever the case, the ‘canes really didn’t generate much at even strength.

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by Triumph44 on Oct 10, 2011 10:49 PM EDT up reply actions

I was wondering that as well. Is there anyway C.J. can take into account movement when counting scoring chances? For example, on that play, Larose was skating at high speed, making it much more difficult for the goaltender to get set and try and stop the shot. There’s a big difference between a shot taken from that spot at high speed like Larose did and a shot taken from the same spot with the shooter stationary. Just some food for thought.

by dkball7 on Oct 10, 2011 11:54 PM EDT up reply actions

Corsi scripts are up.

Devils Canes

Devils Flyers

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by Matthew Ventolo on Oct 10, 2011 9:52 PM EDT reply actions

Simmonds with the best Corsi at +10. He really did have a great game.

And Kovalchuk speeds away, great moves, busting through, DID YOU SEE THAT?

by KovyisLove on Oct 10, 2011 10:27 PM EDT up reply actions

Is there a tally being kept for the season? or is it just game by game?

by NJDOhio on Oct 10, 2011 11:35 PM EDT reply actions

Excellent work CJ

I’m not at all surprised to see that Ruutu-Jokinen-Stewart got rolled upon by, well, all of the Devils today. They were real nonfactors on the ice. The Kovalchuk-Josefson-Palmieri line really enjoyed their time against Pitkanen too.

On a more negative note, the power play has to do better than 5 chances over two games. Especially when the other team in both games gets a combined 8 on their PPs (6 by Carolina alone!).

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by John Fischer on Oct 10, 2011 11:35 PM EDT reply actions

i think scoring chances might miss the boat on the NJ power play overall, but we’ll see

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by Triumph44 on Oct 10, 2011 11:58 PM EDT up reply actions

How so?

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by George E. Ays on Oct 11, 2011 12:06 AM EDT up reply actions

they’re running an umbrella – i don’t know how many shots they’ll end up generating below the circles.

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by Triumph44 on Oct 11, 2011 9:09 AM EDT up reply actions

I don’t think that means the Devils are counting on point shots or shots from the wall to go in. They should still be trying to get shots from the area.

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by George E. Ays on Oct 11, 2011 11:41 AM EDT up reply actions

no, but i do think they are counting on kovalchuk shots going in from there + tips, screens, rebounds on other point shots. i guess that doesn’t make it that much different from other power plays, though.

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by Triumph44 on Oct 11, 2011 1:32 PM EDT up reply actions

Nice work CJ. This info is gold.

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by George E. Ays on Oct 10, 2011 11:57 PM EDT reply actions

Stay stingy CJ! I’m with you!

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by Derek Zona on Oct 11, 2011 12:19 AM EDT reply actions

Chances for everyone!

Tracking the Flyers scoring chances at Broad Street Hockey

by ToddtheFox on Oct 11, 2011 1:03 AM EDT up reply actions

Chances for some, miniature American flags for others.

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by George E. Ays on Oct 11, 2011 2:50 AM EDT up reply actions 2 recs

+1 vote

Status quo.

by nyynygnjd on Oct 11, 2011 5:24 PM EDT up reply actions

Looks Great! I'm glad ILWT found someone to do this!!

Looks Great! I’m glad ILWT found someone to do this!!

I think these stats will shed some light on which players are actually worth their salaries, and what leads to wins. I bet at the end of the season we will see a very high correlation between scoring chances and wins.

Just a little feedback:

Maybe include a stat on how often we convert our scoring chances, that way we can see from game to game whether we are steady in converting our scoring chances.

by Matt Evans SNC on Oct 12, 2011 11:09 AM EDT reply actions

Maybe include a stat on how often we convert our scoring chances, that way we can see from game to game whether we are steady in converting our scoring chances.

They’re called goals ;)

by elesias on Oct 12, 2011 11:22 AM EDT up reply actions 2 recs

I’ve been tracking chances for the Canes and my data agrees with yours for the most part. Carolina had an abysmal third period and it cost us big time. The Kovalchuk line destroyed our second line (who failed to generate one chance for at even strength) so that really killed us too.

Here’s my data if you want to compare.
http://shutdownline.com/hurricanes/scoring-chances/carolina-hurricanes-vs-new-jersey-devils-101011-scoring-chances.html

www.shutdownline.com

by MyFriendCorey on Oct 12, 2011 9:16 PM EDT reply actions

We had almost identical totals but a few different chances. It seems you were less generous with misses and I was less generous with the high slot shots.

by C.J. Richey on Oct 12, 2011 10:44 PM EDT up reply actions