Home Team Advantage and Power Play

Recently it seems like there has been a lot of controversy with the Devils and apparently blind refs.  Do refs actually screw over the Devils?  My first thought on this was that in games such as the flyer's game, theres home team advantage.  Refs don't want to be mugged after the game (especially likely considering its in Philly), and they might decide to give the home side some advantage.  Therefore, if we look at the ratio of how many power plays at home a team earns vs home many away, we might have a better idea of how much this is a factor:

Method:  Average ratio of home pp/ away pp were taken for each year from lockout onwards and those ratios were averaged.


Of note:

Top 5: St Louis, Anaheim, Columbus Blue Jackets, LA Kings, San Jose Sharks

Bottom 5: Atlanta(Jets), NJ, Toronto, NYI, Edmonton.

Additionally:  All teams on average are able to draw more penalties at home than away.

Caveats:  This is not a great way to determine home/road bias.  As you see from the large amount of Standard Deviation, most of the difference between these numbers would not be considered statistically significant.  I certainly expect Triumph44 to rip this apart.  Therefore the question to him(or her) and everyone else is what might be a better way?  I would like to see penalties taken home/away, but or any other site I saw had that and I'm too lazy to figure out a way to extract it from box scores.


Several posts questioned  how the Devs might draw more penalties and common sense seems to say taking more leads to more drawn:  Is this true?


Certainly seems like it.  However the R2 value makes this unclear as to whether or not this is actually true.  Again, what do you guys think and what might be a better way of looking at it?  Thanks everyone.  If you would like the excel worksheets I'm working from, let me know and I'll find a place to upload it.

All FanPosts and FanShots are the respective work of the author and not representative of the writers or other users of In Lou We Trust.

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