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Around SBN: Events Cause Mariners To Lose To Rangers

Broken Play by New Jersey Devils Wins Sloppy 1-0 Game Against the Dallas Stars

Raise your hand if you got lucky tonight.  As you were.  (Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images)

After the 4-1 win over Carolina, the New Jersey Devils traveled to Dallas on Sunday in advance of tonight's game against the Stars.  However, the Devils would not get a rest. Head coach Jacques Lemaire did hold a practice on Sunday. Then he held another one on Monday. Then he had a morning skate on Tuesday.   As Rich Chere reported before tonight's game, Lemaire wasn't happy and he let the players know about it. 

"You've got to be blind not to see it. They couldn't make a pass. They couldn't do nothing,"

This was most definitely the case in tonight's 1-0 win over the Dallas Stars.  While the shot total remained low, 23-19 in favor of NJ, the Stars certainly looked like the superior team for most of the game.  A good way to check for that is their puck movement. Dallas was able to make crisp passes, put them on target, and do so going forward.  That's why they were able to move through the neutral zone so easily and get as many shot attempts as they did When the Devils attempted to move the puck, it tended to bounce if not outright miss, which tended to handcuff the target to control it. That slowed the Devils down and helped make a stingy performance by the Dallas defense look even better.

However, the Devils were no slouches in their own end, racking up blocks, getting in Stars' faces in their own end. Perhaps the Devils had a own-blueline trap going, because they were more successful there than in the neutral zone.

The Devils pulled off the win because Johan Hedberg was great when Dallas did get a one of a few great opportunities to score, the Devils tightened up in the third period, and they got a fortunate deflection by Nick Palmieri from an Ilya Kovalchuk shot that broke his stick on their fourth power play of the night.  A literal broken play led to a fitting goal for a night of ugly hockey.  As a fitting ending, the Stars pulled their goalie with a minute left, got held outside of the Devils' zone for most of it, and iced the puck twice at the end of the game to truly end it.

While they got the win tonight, Lemaire doesn't have much of a reason to be happy and I don't blame him. I have a few more thoughts on tonight's game after the jump.  For a take on this game from a Stars perspective, please check out Defending Big D.

Star-divide

The Stats of Tonight's Game: The NHL.com game summary; the NHL.com event summary; the Time on Ice Even Strength Corsi Chart; the Time on Ice Head to Head Ice Time Chart.

The Game Highlight Video: I'm going to be frank. There's not a lot and there really shouldn't be.

It Was a Bad Game. Why?:  This should be the big question the Devils faithful and the media will be asking.  After 7 straight wins, how come they played so badly? 

Let's go over the badness first. The Devils were poor on the breakout and their passing general left a lot to be desired. The Devils shot themselves in the foot with a too many men on the ice call, Patrik Elias high-sticking Mark Fistric, and Mark Fayne tripping Jamie Benn.  OK, the Fayne call was weak, but the other two could have been avoided.  They had four power plays but really only looked good for about half of the PP time they got (7:17, 4 opportunities, 7 shots on net). The Devils didn't look to initiate a lot of the play until the third period where they got 3 of their 4 power plays; and they were more than a little lucky on some of the shots Dallas got.   In terms of Corsi, the Devils were negative across the board with a few exceptions and the team finished at -10.  The Stars had the puck in shooting positions more often and so they attempted more shots at even strength.

I think these are some of the reasons as to why Lemaire was/is/should be angry about tonight.  Dallas was the better team despite losing.  So why did the Devils falter?

If you didn't like the idea of Lemaire running practices in between games, then you'll look to that and begin to question whether Lemaire's working them too hard.  If you felt this was a trap game, something I suggested in the preview, then perhaps it's nothing more than the Devils escaping against a desperate team on their home ice.  If you feel it was just an off night for both sides (how else did Dallas botch so many chances), then it could be that.  Personally, I think we're seeing what happened to San Jose a few weeks ago. They were on a long winning streak, but went into New Jersey after winning a game despite their performance. While the Sharks did well in NJ, they didn't get the result.  Basically, all good things must come to an end and I think we may have saw the first signs of that.

Whatever the reason, the Devils should not accept this kind performance just because they won. They won't win many more games if they do.  If they want something to work on, make it passing.  With more accurate puck movement comes more opportunities for offense - more like what we have seen for most of the last two weeks.

These Guys Weren't Bad At All:  You got to give it up for Johan Hedberg and Kari Lehtonen.  Moose had the more difficult time despite facing fewer shots, but he was more than up to the task.  He denied Jamie Benn in the slot, Jamie Langenbrunner on some loose pucks, and  He also may have gotten some help on Brian Sutherby's rebound from Anton Volchenkov on the goal line along with Brendan Morrow putting a shot way wide on a 2-on-1 during a power play.   Plus, he only was scary once when he left his net.  Good night for Moose, he earned his shutout.

I feel a little bad for Lehtonen.  He had an otherwise fine night and was beaten by a deflection right in front of him. Trevor Daley was on Palmieri as best as he could.  That's not a bad goal allowed on either party.  Other than that, Lehtonen moved very well in his net and saw most of the Devils' shots. Granted, that's a bit of an indictment on the attacking performance, but the goalie can only make the stops on the shots he gets.  And Lehtonen made them. Both goalies did well.

This Also Wasn't Bad Against What Was Really Awful: The Devils' penalty killers have prevented goals scored on 18 straight kills.  That's really impressive.  What's more is that they held Dallas to a measly 1 shot on net across 8 minutes of power play time. Either the scorer in Dallas is incredibly picky about shots or the Stars were just a cold mess on the man advantage. 

Based on what I saw, it's the latter. Seriously, it was significantly worse than the Devils' power plays tonight. At least they got possession and got some shots before the eventual goal.  They resembled a man advantage at times. The Stars just went "derp" when they went up against 4 Devils skaters on the ice.   Dumping it in didn't work, carrying it in didn't work, nothing seemed to work. The Stars managed an odd-man rush on their first PP when the Devils got caught changing and they missed the net.  They seemingly had a brain freeze for those 8 minutes.  I'm still baffled by what I saw in retrospect. I know they are missing Brad Richards.  It definitely showed on the power play.  Even without him, 1 shot on goal in 8 minutes is a terrible output.  Kudos to the Devils PK units against the seemingly horrible Dallas PP units.

The Streak is Alive...Somehow!:  Ilya Kovalchuk's shot where his stick broke was deflected into the net by Palmieri, so that extends the point streak for Kovalchuk.

However, he and his line had a poor night. Palmieri's goal was the only shot he had on net, though he had an incredible miss (over the net) in the second period that was set-up by, who else, Kovalchuk.  Travis Zajac had a good night in terms of killing penalties, a great night at the dot by going 10-for-13, and a miserable one on offense with 1 shot on net in 20:58 of work.   Kovalchuk was at least attempting to push ahead on that line, but to little avail with only 2 shots on net. 

In terms of possession, they were brutalized by the line of Morrow, Mike Ribiero, and Jamie Langenbrunner. Kovalchuk and Palmieri were a -11 and Zajac was a -10.  They also drew a top pairing of Stephane Robidas and Alex Goligoski, who did well against them in the run of play.  Their Corsi was through the roof: Robidas had a +15 and Goligoski had a

The Newest Star: Though, it wasn't the perfect debut for Goligoski in Dallas.  Sure, when he was on the ice, good things tended to happen for Dallas early and often.  He sprung Scott Ott for a one-on-one with the goaltender that he blew.  His breakout passes were strong all game long. He only got credited for one shot on net, but it created a nice rebound that Langenbrunner put right into Hedberg.

However, Goligoski took two minors: tripping Kovalchuk in the first period and high-sticking Vladimir Zharkov right off a faceoff in the third period.  The Devils scored on the latter one and I have a feeling Stars fans are going to feel a bit miffed about that. They shouldn't. He had a good 23:34 tonight and came out incredibly well against a top line. The only time he looked lost was when Kovalchuk tried to blow by him, but that should be forgivable in that it's Ilya Kovalchuk. It's not like Adam Mair torched him.

Actually, These Guys Didn't Eat It Tonight: The line of Brian Rolston, Patrik Elias, and Dainius Zubrus was the best one for New Jersey at evens. They were the only Devils to finish positive tonight, while causing the only negative Corsi defensemen on Dallas. Mark Crawford mixed up his match-ups between the Karlis Skrastins-Fisric pairing and the Trevor Daley-Jeff Woywitka pairing.

Rolston in particular had a nice offensive night in a Devils performance devoid of it for stretches at a time.  He had 5 shots on net, 3 blocked, and 2 misses. Rolston along with Elias (2 SOG, 2 blocked, 2 misses, drew a hook from Steve Ott) finished a +7, while Dainius Zubrus ended at +5. Zubrus didn't get anything on the board, but he did go 7-for-10 on faceoffs.  Big Z can feel good about that.   As further evidence of how good they were, Lemaire put them out on the ice for the final minute of the game.  They didn't get the empty netter, but they actually got stops in the neutral zone for the first time all game.

The Ex: Langenbrunner had a good game. There, I said it.  As noted earlier, his line pinned Kovalchuk's quite a few times.  The former Devils captain got 2 shots on net and missed 3 times, while finishing at +8 Corsi - the best among Dallas forwards this evening.  He didn't do too much on Dallas' 4 power plays, but neither did most of the Stars.

The Brightest Star: Jamie Benn returned from a shoulder injury tonight and he shone on the ice. He had 3 shots on net (including a wide open shot in the slot in the first period), threw some hits, put the puck over the net when he had the upper half free in the first period, got an offensive zone faceoff late off a lob, and drew a penalty among his 20:25 of ice time, which included both power play and penalty killing time.   The only area Benn didn't do so well at was faceoffs, going 3-for-8; but Mark Crawford made the right move

Tedenby Did Actually Play Tonight: Believe it or not, he had more power play time (3:48) than even strength time (3:16). The PP time was enough to get him more than Zharkov, who did quite a bit in his 6:56 of ice time: 2 shots on net, solid penalty killing, and drew a high sticking penalty.  Given that the fourth line was a waste - unless you think the non-call on Adam Mair being cut by Tomas Vincour's stick led to a "make up call" - I'm not sure why those two didn't get more minutes. Especially after it was apparent that Kovalchuk wasn't going to be entering Beast Mode tonight.

Quick Words about a 1-2-2: I know Dallas only got 19 shots on net, but if the Devils trapped tonight, then they made the wrong choice to do so.  From what I saw, Dallas had no issues getting through the neutral zone. The only clamping down the Devils were doing was at their blueline and in space before then.  Even that wasn't true all game long.

Lastly:  I want to give a shoutout to Andy Greene. He played the most minutes among all Devils defenseman with 22:40, including 3:59 on the PK.  Greene eventually drew the Morrow-Ribiero-Langenbrunner line along with some of line centered by Steve Ott (He played over 20 minutes, seriously) which had Benn on it. Another night of tough competition and he came out at only -1 in Corsi. That's really good.   Granted his breakout passes weren't much better than anyone else's on New Jersey, but he deserves credit for being the big minute man and not drowning.

That's my take, now I want to read yours. What did you think of tonight's game, other than that it was difficult to watch at times? What's the one thing you want to see the Devils work on the most before the game against Tampa Bay? Please leave your answers and other thoughts on tonight's game in the comments. Thank you to all the commenters in the Gamethread and thank you for reading.

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Since Fischer won't mention it..

9 points out with a game at hand. The 3 point game between the Rags and Canes was a bit disconcerting but the team continues to win games where the offense isn’t there. Canes continue to fall off the face of the earth and if they can’t beat a Rangers team that put in that performance than I don’t see any reason they won’t continue their free-fall. Hopefully Buffalo can’t find a way to rebound their 3 game losing streak. Gotta hope Lemaire regroups the team and they can continue through Florida. Beat the lightning at least once in the Floridian tripple-header and take the game with the Panthers and then it’s down to 4 teams and hopefully at most 7 points. Mission impossible lives to see another day.

by xmarcs on Feb 23, 2011 12:47 AM EST reply actions  

the biggest comeback to make playoffs was what ? 12 points ?
the Devils already came back 18 points. they can do 9 more points no problem :)
I know thats not really comparable, but its fun to find weird facts to try to get John to finally get on the “believers’ wagon” :)

by Devils_from_Seattle on Feb 23, 2011 2:15 AM EST up reply actions  

Chere says they were

29 points out of a playoff spot.

I have respect for most sports fans with 2 exceptions: NY Ranger fans who grew up in New Jersey, and Dallas Cowboy fans who can't name the capital of Texas.

by Cherno77 on Feb 23, 2011 8:07 AM EST up reply actions  

Hold your horses

They’ve made up 18 or 20 points, depending on your reference. That’s just wonderful. At the same time, they’ve only jumped two teams in the standings, one of which is in absolute free-fall and fire sale mode since the calendar turned (the other — the Isles — merely suck and even then are still on the Devils’ heels).

The extraordinarily low odds of making the playoffs is not the point differential between New Jersey and Carolina. Rather, the extraordinarily low odds of making the playoffs is tied to the need for the Devils to jump five teams in the next couple of weeks. When one considers the volume of three-point games in today’s NHL, that’s a tall task.

When the Devils get themselves into 10th place, there’s a legitimate argument that says “maybe they can make the playoffs”. Until then, you either need to stay ridiculously hot — not likely, as the list of teams that sustain .800+ hockey for half a season or better is extremely short — or you need those teams in front of you to start collapsing. Perhaps you can count on one of them, maybe even two…. but asking five teams to face-fault at the same time is a long shot. If you’re going to have that sort of luck, you’re better off buying Powerball tickets or betting everything on a spin of the roulette wheel.

by acasser on Feb 23, 2011 10:08 AM EST up reply actions  

Good points. I think in the Western Conference there’s maybe a five-way tie for 10th place – ignoring games-in-hand – with a relative split amongst teams from 7th to 10th place of 6-8 points. So, it’s a very close pack of contenders.

For Jerz and the East, things are not so compact. To move upwards dramatically now requires a simultaneous downward-slide of teams 7 thru 11. Possible? Yes. Some of those team have been below .500. For instance, it looks like CAR and NYR are playing like crud. An injury like Gaborik’s could even push them into the abyss. If Staal or Ward got hurt, Carolina would take a hit.

But whatever the reason, there are definitely some factors out-of-our-control that simply have to fall together. A 28 point recovery is not as impressive if every team between 7th and 12th place except the Devils plays like crud. But, such a recovery + 10 points + a playoff birth would be the greatest-of-all-time aka GOAT!!!!, with or without a Stanley Cup.

Hell, even without a playoff birth, it’s still amazing and will do a lot to help the franchise, ticket sales, and the team spirits.

by Alan Wright on Feb 23, 2011 7:30 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

To move upwards dramatically now requires a simultaneous downward-slide of teams 7 thru 11.

No. It doesn’t. If the Devils make up 10 points on Carolina and Carolina still plays reasonably close to how they have the rest of the season, the other teams would have to be HOTTER than Carolina to stay competitive. You can’t catch up to an average team if you’re in a “downward-slide.”

If Carolina performs at their current rate (.533) for the rest of the season, they’ll end up with 88 points.

In order for Buffalo to reach 89 points, they’d have to be 14-9-1 (.604) or any equivalent record netting 29 points.
In order for Atlanta to reach 89 points, they’d have to be 14-7-1 (.659) or any equivalent record netting 29 points.
In order for Toronto to reach 89 points, they’d have to be 15-7 (.682) or any equivalent record netting 30 points.
In order for Florida to reach 89 points, they’d have to be 16-7 (.696) or any equivalent record netting 32 points.

If the Devils remain pretty hot (16-5-1, .750) they have 89 points and almost definitely have passed all 4 of the teams between them and Carolina, if not Carolina as well. A downward slide is not necessary for 5 teams. Being consistent with the first 60 or so games requires a significantly WORSE record by the Devils than they have had so far in the second half.

Go Devils Playoff Death Watch
"Hope Is a Good Thing, Maybe the Best of Things, and No Good Thing Ever Dies." - Andy Dufresne – The Shawshank Redemption
Go Jets

by FrankG929 on Feb 23, 2011 7:48 PM EST up reply actions  

Oh, and that 88 points for Carolina is rounding up

A .524 record gets them to 87, 88 points means they’ve performed at a .548 rate for the rest of the season.

Go Devils Playoff Death Watch
"Hope Is a Good Thing, Maybe the Best of Things, and No Good Thing Ever Dies." - Andy Dufresne – The Shawshank Redemption
Go Jets

by FrankG929 on Feb 23, 2011 7:52 PM EST up reply actions  

I see what you mean. Perhaps I was being sloppy by not having the stats at the ready or showing much interest in them at the moment.

My point was that the Devils to move up in standings, another team will necessarily have to be pushed down, out of that position (a slide downwards) whether the other team maintains it’s current win-percentage or not. (By the way can you do calculations for Last 15 win percentages in terms of the momentum of the other squads? I don’t remember seeing that lately but maybe I saw it on the playoff death knell website).

If another team does have a cold streak (sliding downwards in terms of point-collection over time and their winning percentage), then the Devils are getting “help” from elsewhere in the league.

by Alan Wright on Feb 23, 2011 8:14 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

January 15 at a quick glance seems to be close to the point of about 15 games per team

7-15 team’s records since January 15 (meaning where they were after all games of 1/22)
Rangers – 6-9-1 (.406 – down .142 from current)
Carolina – 6-8-3 (.441 – down .092)
Buffalo – 8-5-1 (.607 – up .090)
Atlanta – 3-7-3 (.346 – down .154)
Toronto – 8-6-2 (.563 – up .071)
Devils – 14-1-1 (.906 – up a mile .439)
Islanders – 9-9-0 (.500 – up .066)
Ottawa – 2-9-3 (.250 – down .148)

4 teams playing worse, average of .134 worse.
3 teams playing better (other than the Devils), an average of .076 better.

Go Devils Playoff Death Watch
"Hope Is a Good Thing, Maybe the Best of Things, and No Good Thing Ever Dies." - Andy Dufresne – The Shawshank Redemption
Go Jets

by FrankG929 on Feb 23, 2011 8:35 PM EST up reply actions  

that 1/22 should have been 1/15. I was going to use 1/22, but there weren’t enough games by everybody to get close to the request.

Go Devils Playoff Death Watch
"Hope Is a Good Thing, Maybe the Best of Things, and No Good Thing Ever Dies." - Andy Dufresne – The Shawshank Redemption
Go Jets

by FrankG929 on Feb 23, 2011 8:36 PM EST up reply actions  

Ok. Thank you so much for that. I looked at Florida Panthers also, and I think they’re:

3-6-1 in their last 10 games (L10)
and
5-8-5 since January 15th (of which I think only two of those are regulation wins).

I don’t know what those percentages are exactly, but they don’t look very good to me.

If we extrapolate those L10 or Since Jan 15th win percentages through the end of season… perhaps we get a different picture of which teams can make it to 89 points.

by Alan Wright on Feb 23, 2011 10:27 PM EST up reply actions  

That is, because in the post at 7:48pm above this you noted that to get to 89 points, such-and-such teams have to play 14-7-1 (.659), etc.

But from the L10/ Since January 15th stats, only Buffalo is currently on pace with the 89 point stat you put out.

Buffalo needs to play: 14-9-1 (.604) or any equivalent record netting 29 points.

Buffalo has been playing: Buffalo – 8-5-1 (.607 – up .090).

Let’s hope the negative results continue for those teams in front of the Devils. If it does, hell, maybe the Sabres and Devils will pick up a spot and the Rangers and Hurricanes would be out. That would be amazing.

by Alan Wright on Feb 23, 2011 10:35 PM EST up reply actions  

yeah, I missed Florida

5-8-5 is .417

Go Devils Playoff Death Watch
"Hope Is a Good Thing, Maybe the Best of Things, and No Good Thing Ever Dies." - Andy Dufresne – The Shawshank Redemption
Go Jets

by FrankG929 on Feb 23, 2011 10:38 PM EST up reply actions  

That’s what happens when you’re that far out.. you can make up 19 points and not pass anyone. They’re right there now though.. they just need to keep playing this way. Unlikely yes.. but there’s a hell of a lot of hope.

by xmarcs on Feb 24, 2011 12:35 AM EST up reply actions  

You do realize that considering their place in the league (26th overall) that the Devils have a better chance to win the lottery for the first pick (10.1%) than make the playoffs (1.1% today according to Sportsclub.com).

Listen, I am all for hoping the team makes the playoffs, but if it was the team that showed up last night in Dallas who exactly would they be able to beat?

In Lou We Trust: SBN Blog of the New Jersey Devils

by Tom Stivali on Feb 23, 2011 7:57 AM EST up reply actions  

Tampa

Tom,

I agree they were horrid last night, but karma is something huh? Broken stick goals. That happens with momentum.

The best case scenario happens now. They get 2 days off. A short flight. They play a Tampa team that is really good, but has lost 3 in a row. Oh yeah, the Lightning play the West’s version of the Devils tonight, the Phoenix Coyotes (who just beat Philly last night).

Remember the Devils got Dallas without Richards and with Goligoski unable to practice and get adapted to their system (he had two penalties last night).

Karma is something. Watch them roll into Florida on Sunday after the Panthers give up half of their offensive attack.

We Believe.

I have respect for most sports fans with 2 exceptions: NY Ranger fans who grew up in New Jersey, and Dallas Cowboy fans who can't name the capital of Texas.

by Cherno77 on Feb 23, 2011 8:10 AM EST up reply actions  

I meant

After Florida decides it’s “fire sale” time and trades away half their O.

I have respect for most sports fans with 2 exceptions: NY Ranger fans who grew up in New Jersey, and Dallas Cowboy fans who can't name the capital of Texas.

by Cherno77 on Feb 23, 2011 8:11 AM EST up reply actions  

Karma? I think you mean luck.

Devils in my heart! Devils in my mind! Devils in my eyes! Devils until I die!
In Lou We Trust - The New Jersey Devils SBN Blog

by John Fischer on Feb 23, 2011 8:19 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

What you say is karma is really just ‘luck of the draw’.

I have no problem with people believing. It’s part of being a fan and following sports. I like to deal with realities too, and the reality is that it is still very unlikely the Devils fulfill this run to the playoffs. Too much of it is out of their control.

My concern is that Lou Lamoriello is going to be shortsighted and hold on to guys like Arnott and Greene instead of using them for picks/prospects.

In Lou We Trust: SBN Blog of the New Jersey Devils

by Tom Stivali on Feb 23, 2011 8:19 AM EST up reply actions  

Tom’s karma just ran over your dogma.

by elesias on Feb 23, 2011 8:27 AM EST up reply actions  

Karma - luck

Karma is the believe that the actions that you’re doing influence other positive events around you in the future. So does the Devils current streak made Richards get a concussion? I think we can all say certainly not. Does the fact they played a team that lost 4 and now (likely) will play another team that lost 4 in a row count as karma? Is that a coincidence? Or plain old luck? Hmmm. Depends on your spiritual side and I think most westerners (myself included) throw around the word karma too loosely. But I can say that a lot of the HS coaches I’ve been around buy into it. They look at the schedule, see breaks and this hardens the resolve that you’ve got other intangibles working in your favor. And some call it karma.

Could those intangibles be luck too? Yes and after all that, I probably agree with you all. But I’ll take my karma with a side of luck and an order or miracle whip to go.

I have respect for most sports fans with 2 exceptions: NY Ranger fans who grew up in New Jersey, and Dallas Cowboy fans who can't name the capital of Texas.

by Cherno77 on Feb 23, 2011 12:05 PM EST up reply actions  

Don't forget the kool-aid!

Self-praise is for losers. Be a winner. Stand for something. Always have class, and be humble.
-John Madden

by Willgfass on Feb 23, 2011 12:38 PM EST up reply actions  

and kool-aid too

I have respect for most sports fans with 2 exceptions: NY Ranger fans who grew up in New Jersey, and Dallas Cowboy fans who can't name the capital of Texas.

by Cherno77 on Feb 23, 2011 12:48 PM EST up reply actions  

Delicious, delicious kool-aid.

by nyynygnjd on Feb 23, 2011 12:54 PM EST up reply actions  

“Karmic Kumquat” flavored Kool-Aid, of course.

by elesias on Feb 23, 2011 1:18 PM EST up reply actions  

If “happenstance” (good bounces, broken stick goals, light schedule when it’s needed, other teams drooping when convenient) makes the Devils play with hope and confidence, then that’s enough.

Made such “happenstance” is a karmic reward for believing in oneself, or maybe it is a karmic reward for suffering in the past.

Or, since karma and chaos theory are so remote and complicated, maybe it’s just that “luck” comes to those who plan, prepare, train, and ready themselves to take advantage of opportunities when the opportunity is presented to them. That is, as opposed to missing the opportunity because of a lack of preparation, etc, only to blame factors beyond ones control, such as “luck” and “bad breaks.”

So, then. Which is it? Preparation makes the team better, so they can take advantage of the happenstance and opportunity in front of them? Or do luck and karma reward the team when they need it and deserve?

This is somewhat like asking whether God helps those who help themselves, or whether God just spreads goodness about, like the myth of Johnny Appleseed, waiting for it to sprout.

by Alan Wright on Feb 23, 2011 7:16 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

*Maybe such

by Alan Wright on Feb 23, 2011 7:18 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

26th overall doesn’t matter, because the Devils do not contend for playoff spots with this other teams. Also, the Devils cannot win the division title in any division of the Eastern Conference.

So, the only thing that matter is how or whether the Devs can catch playoff spots 4-8, especially 7 or 8. And that is 10-14 point pick-up as against other teams jockeying for those spots (5 or 6 teams) over the next 22 games. I think the Devs have already picked up more points in fewer games since New Years or the All-Star break.

So, the Devils dont have to be better than 26 teams. They have to surpass those 5-6 teams whom are in the running for 7-8th place, whomever the teams are. Since a third place team could slip to 7th or 8th – thus tightening the pack – obviously the Devils need dominance by the conference leaders to see that doesn’t happen and to see that they do push some teams out of “our” way.

by Alan Wright on Feb 23, 2011 7:41 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Not a pretty one to watch, but somehow we keep winning. It will catch up to us fast if we keep playing this way, though. We were fortunate to catch a weakened Dallas team in a funk.

1 GA in the last 3 games for Moose. He has been a fortress.

Now onto Tampa, against whom this epic streak began, so long ago.

1995 - 2000 - 2003

by bergenline on Feb 23, 2011 1:10 AM EST reply actions  

I’m not so sure that trapping was a mistake. Early in the game the defensemen were getting beat on bad pinches (first time that’s happened in a while) and Dallas was creating odd man rushes. Trapping prevented those at the very least. The Devils forwards also looked pretty sluggish and couldn’t keep up with the quick puck movement from Dallas so it was tough to set up the aggressive forecheck that’s worked recently.

I’m surprised to say it since he doesn’t get much done offensively but I’d rather call up Sestito again than keep playing Mair. Sestito was a great energy guy always throwing hits when he got the chance.

by crashlanding on Feb 23, 2011 2:09 AM EST reply actions  

This was a tough one to watch. Going into the game, I thought this might finally be the one that ends the streak, but they somehow pulled off a win with a pretty weak performance. I really liked Volchenkov tonight. He stood Benn up when he was carrying the puck into the Devils’ zone during a PP. And I don’t know how many people know that A-Train played goalie in his early days, but it came out at one key moment tonight.

Otherwise, Pelley had a couple of moments, and that’s about all I can say about the fourth line.

I’m surprised Jacques put Tedenby on that last PP, but I’m glad he did. The announcers gave him a lot of credit for setting up that goal, and rightfully so.

by brodeur on Feb 23, 2011 2:51 AM EST reply actions  

To quote Devils fan Greg Wyshynski: ’…DELUSIONS OF GRANDEUR!"

Let us hope you rise from the asylum to the clouds, Devils fans! This improbable run that it is still improbable yet not as much as it once was but still like less than 1% but freak yeah!; is pretty entertaining

"Skillet, we just spent $64,000 in that bar. So we're gonna have to get jobs to cover up the fact that we rob banks" -Mouse Fitzgerald

by joe579 on Feb 23, 2011 2:58 AM EST reply actions  

i didnt watched the game but...

maybe they though they’d have it easy with dallas? who knows? anyways, Mr. John Fischer, i wanna hear your opinion on this, all i heard all day, was about the “dramatic change of play since Langenbrunner was traded”, i mean did it really affected everything about the team?

by fender1987 on Feb 23, 2011 4:34 AM EST reply actions  

I think it’s more of a happy coincidence that the Devils started getting more than just 1 or 2 breaks a night and played much sharper in both ends after Langenbrunner got shipped out.

This isn’t to say the deal had no effect at all, but I wouldn’t go as far to say that’s a main reason why they have been so hot in the last month and a half.

Devils in my heart! Devils in my mind! Devils in my eyes! Devils until I die!
In Lou We Trust - The New Jersey Devils SBN Blog

by John Fischer on Feb 23, 2011 8:21 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

I moved into my new place on January 22nd, so I think it’s pretty clear that my new digs are the main reason for the team’s recent play.

by elesias on Feb 23, 2011 8:30 AM EST up reply actions  

Not only that, but your PDO and Corsi have been fantastic since moving into the new place. It’s not all luck.

In Lou We Trust: SBN Blog of the New Jersey Devils

by Tom Stivali on Feb 23, 2011 8:36 AM EST up reply actions  

Hmmm...interesting January 22nd you say? Let's do some research...

Other significant events that have fallen on Jan. 22 throughout history…

565 – Eutychius is deposed as Patriarch of Constantinople by John Scholasticus
1771 – Spain cedes Port Egmont in the Falkland Islands to the United Kingdom.
1879 – Anglo-Zulu War: Battle of Rorke’s Drift – 139 British soldiers successfully defend their garrison against an intense assault by four to five thousand Zulu warriors.
1917 – World War I: President Woodrow Wilson of the still-neutral United States calls for “peace without victory” in Europe.
1927 – First live radio commentary of a football match anywhere in the world, between Arsenal F.C. and Sheffield United at Highbury.
1941 – World War II: British and Commonwealth troops capture Tobruk from Italian forces during Operation Compass.
1957 – The New York City “Mad Bomber”, George P. Metesky, is arrested in Waterbury, Connecticut and is charged with planting more than 30 bombs.
1984 – The Apple Macintosh, the first consumer computer to popularize the computer mouse and the graphical user interface, is introduced during Super Bowl XVIII with its famous “1984” television commercial.
1990 – Robert Tappan Morris, Jr. is convicted of releasing the 1988 Internet Computer worm.
2002 – Kmart becomes the largest retailer in United States history to file for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection.

Well clearly after reviewing this list and punching some numbers I think it is safe to say that: by you moving into a new home on the 22nd of January you have definitely altered the future of the NJ Devils franchise.

I hope to join Claude Lemieux in Hell one day for a beer....

by HELLAWAITS on Feb 23, 2011 1:11 PM EST up reply actions  

Duh.

Try to keep up, HA.

BTW, the anniversary of Eutychus being deposed was exactly why we chose that day to move…

by elesias on Feb 23, 2011 1:21 PM EST up reply actions  

They do say it’s good luck to plan your moving dates around deposed Mesopotamian leaders of the first millennium.

by nyynygnjd on Feb 23, 2011 1:24 PM EST up reply actions  

HELLAWAITS: Great list!

nyynygnjd: Who is “they”?

by acasser on Feb 23, 2011 2:36 PM EST up reply actions  

Probably the same people that told Jamie about “it”

In Lou We Trust: SBN Blog of the New Jersey Devils
"Hockey is the only job I know where you get paid to have a nap on the day of the game." - Chico Resch

by Matthew Ventolo on Feb 23, 2011 3:12 PM EST up reply actions  

I got the “honor” of watching this one in HD, thank you Verizon for the HD Versus feed. Broadcast was by Dallas cover guys, obviously, they were in Dallas. So that was enjoyable. Not as big homers as a lot of other arenas, but it was still bad.

Just a couple of things…
1. to be beaten that bad on a team level in CORSI, and still outshoot your opponent by more than a couple shots is a pretty big testament to your D and the system.
2. It was an ugly game, and there’s no way JL goes easy on them after this one. They will be better, probably MUCH better in the next game because of how bad it was last night.
3. I expect Mair to be back on the scratch list. He’s usually solidly invisible, not doing anything great, but not doing anything really bad, but last night he was just not good. In the first and second period, I remember face-palming a few times at him. I don’t remember if he even played the third, so he either cleaned himself up or got benched. All the better in either case.
4. Volchenkov is a monster. I loved the full speed shoulder check on the double minor as Benn tried to split the D. And jumping into the goal when Moose was sprawling. Guess those goalie instincts never leave you.

Bad game. 2 points. Better than the 0 points they should have gotten. Moose gets these 2. I expect the next game to be a lot cleaner and a LOT more intense.

The question is not how far. The question is, do you possess the constitution, the depth of faith, to go as far as is needed? - Il Duce

by Murdoc on Feb 23, 2011 6:57 AM EST reply actions  

So, the discussion continues, who is goalie friday night?

by KovyisLove on Feb 23, 2011 8:27 AM EST reply actions  

I’d go with Volchenkov… he had a pretty good glove save

by Devils!!! on Feb 23, 2011 8:55 AM EST up reply actions  

oh but in all seriousness, I would start the Moose. It seems Brodeur has been getting re-injured a lot and I think its because Brodeur rushes himself into playing. Sprains only take one little tweek to reappear and I think Brodeur should rest a few more games while Hedberg is doing well

by Devils!!! on Feb 23, 2011 8:57 AM EST up reply actions  

I just watched the highlights

and holy cow.

That was amazing

Self-praise is for losers. Be a winner. Stand for something. Always have class, and be humble.
-John Madden

by Willgfass on Feb 23, 2011 9:35 AM EST up reply actions  

Rolston earning his money!

Nice to see Rolston playing to his potential….he has become the player we needed him to be!

by PeteQuinn on Feb 23, 2011 9:38 AM EST reply actions  

Versus

I am fortunate enough to be able to watch MSG+ in HD with my cable provider, so Versus games are usually not my favorite way to watch a Devs game. Last night especially the studio crew (read: Keith Jones) was very anti-Devils. You have all pointed out that last night was not the greatest game for either team. With both teams trapping their respective zones, the players looked like they were trying to skate through concrete. Jones made a point to say during the second intermission that the Devils system has been called “boring” by other people.

This common complaint from people that are not Devils fans is usually reassuring. It means the Devils are executing their system perfectly, and while it may seem boring to the fans of the teams being dominated, I have always found it entertaining. A good example is the Rangers game last week. Same score, MUCH different game. It might just be that I have been breed to love this type of hockey, but you can’t argue with the results.

You're playing worse and worse every day and right now you're playing like it's next month.
- Herb Brooks

by Michael Gianetti on Feb 23, 2011 9:45 AM EST via mobile reply actions  

Speaking as one who generally hates the Vs. crew, I had no problems with Jones last night. He was merely playing realistic foil to the insufferable Mike Milbury who, for reasons I’ll never be able to understand, someone thought could contribute to a discussion about a subject he has shown again and again to know very little about.

I did think that the entire Vs. crew spent a little too much time yammering on about the NZT and not bothering to note that the Devils have been remarkably adaptive in their recent run—playing the type of game required against each opponent they’ve faced—and don’t just sit back all game and wait for a mistake; but pointing out that other people call it boring isn’t exactly a lie or a revelation.

by elesias on Feb 23, 2011 10:17 AM EST up reply actions  

The trap....

Others must find the trap boring because it works and the Devils win by playing the trap. I’ll take a Devils win anyday, and I never found it boring to watch them win!

by PeteQuinn on Feb 23, 2011 12:50 PM EST reply actions  

I think this game could actually be really good for the team. I think it could be the same wake up call as a loss, yet they still managed to pull out the 2 points. They must all recognize how poorly they played in this game and how lucky they were to win it. I’m sure JL won’t let them forget it. Hopefully a much better effort is put forth in Tampa on Friday.

by nyynygnjd on Feb 23, 2011 1:03 PM EST reply actions  

Agreed, though I’m willing, if they turn it around again for the next game, to blame “it” Captain Crankypants.

Just being in the same building as him dragged the whole team down again…

by elesias on Feb 23, 2011 1:23 PM EST up reply actions  

The game felt like a loss to me even though they won. I hope that becomes the worst case scenario that the worst they can do is win a game with just one goal. Have they become so hot that even when they lose they win? I doubt that, but either way the devils need to step up the effort for the rest of this road trip if they want a realistic shot at closing the gap with the teams ahead of them. That game would have been pretty bad if Hedberg wasn’t amazing.

by whatjusthappened on Feb 23, 2011 1:29 PM EST reply actions  

Not to mention some timely goaltending by A-train

by nyynygnjd on Feb 23, 2011 1:32 PM EST up reply actions  

Odds of making it.

Has anyone else mentioned or checked out this website that calcs the odds of a team making the playoffs? (If its been posted before I apologize – I didn’t see it). Here’s a link to the NHL Eastern Conference. http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL/Eastern.html Pretty cool site. If you put your mouse on the Devils name in the left margin their lines on the graphs will highlight. Then if you click Devils you go to their page, which is really cool stuff to chew on.

Scroll down to the “What if” section. There they show what if the Devils finish with certain amount of points, what are the odds they will finish in each position in the Eastern Conference. Note that they need to get to 89 points just to get over 50% chance to make the playoffs – but the odds jump quickly to 89% if they can get to 91 points. But of course to get to 91 points they need to close out the year at 16-3-3 (or equivalent), which will take them to keep up what they’ve been doing for the rest of the season.

At the bottom it shows the total odds for the Devs currently to make the playoffs. 1.2%. That is about a 1 in 83 shot. Not great, but its been improving. If you look at their chart they were flat-lined at 0 percent for a long time! Just to get their odds off the floor has been amazing considering where they were at.

I noticed that these stats are based on other teams winning/losing at their current pace – up on the top left you will see a “method” – and weighted is currently selected. If you click to 50/50 the Devils odds will improve because this method assumes every remaining game to be a 50/50 proposition. I think the Weighted method is more accurate so I’m sticking with the 1.2% chance for now.

Let’s go Devils!!! I do believe!!!

by bchbuzzard on Feb 24, 2011 3:44 PM EST reply actions  

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