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New Jersey Devils Shutout by Washington Capitals 3-0, First Shutout Loss in 2011

The New Jersey Devils have been terrible at scoring goals this season.  This is not news.  The Devils have averaged  They were bad under John MacLean and, while improved, not all that great under Jacques Lemaire.   Even as recently as this past Monday, the team had the worst shooting percentage in the league despite it improving over the last two times I looked at it.  Despite having some great nights in terms of getting shots and controlling puck possession, the Devils are just not a prolific goal-scoring team this season.  The myriad of one-goal games they were involved in for most of the last month and a half emphasizes this.

When you put it that way, it's some kind of a feat that the Washington Capitals became the first team to shutout the Devils in 2011.  The last time the Devils were shutout in a loss, it was on November 26, 2010 in a 2-0 loss to the Islanders.   (Related Aside: Incidentally, the 3-goal loss was the first time Devils lost by 3 or more goals since the 6-3 defeat in Carolina's house on January 1, 2011.)

Still, a 3-0 loss is nothing to be pleased over.  Don't mistake my tone for acceptance or contentment. I'm disappointed with the loss.  Who wouldn't be?  The Devils were coming off a loss where the goalie stood on his head, they were to play a recently hot team in front of a hot sell out crowd at the Rock, and the  night itself - Retro Night - was heavily promoted. Of course a goose-egg result would be disappointing.

However, this game was much like Thursday's 3-1 loss to Ottawa.  I'm half-tempted to just say "Read that recap again, replace all the Sens references to Caps references - most notably Curtis McElhinney's name with Michal Neuvirth's," and this recap is done.  I won't do that, but the Devils did not play a horrible game.  I'll explain further after the jump. For a Capitals' based take on tonight's game, please check out this recap by Kareem E. at Japers' Rink.

Star-divide

The Stats: The NHL.com game summary; the NHL.com event summary; the Time on Ice Corsi Chart; the Time on Ice Head to Head Ice Time Chart.

The Game Highlights: I hope you like Michal Neuvirth saves because there sure are a lot of them in this highlight video from NHL.com.

An Underrated Positive: Before delving into the major points of tonight's game, let me congratulate the Devils on taking no penalties tonight.  This was important because seeing Ovechkin on a unit where they have an extra man is frightening enough even if their 16.7% conversion rate isn't all that good.   To not let them have an advantage is the best penalty kill.

Now that I got that out of the way, let's hit a main point:

No Excuses, Neuvirth Was Superb: Fully consistent to what I said about Curtis McElhinney last night, Michal Neuvirth played a great game. He faced 33 shots on net, he faced various kinds of shots ranging from multiple one-timers in the high slot to short shots down low to deflection attempts to shots from bad angles to shots from the points to an Ilya Kovalchuk breakaway.   Neuvirth stopped them all and didn't panic when the Devils repeatedly overwhelmed the Capitals defense.  

I know it sucks that the Devils have run into a goaltender who brought his A+ game yet again, but that's how it is.  Goaltending talent is a buyer's market for a reason.  There's a glut of talent available and so very few teams have horrid goaltending.  Even then, in the population size of one game, even a no-namer or a guy who's been bad can pull off a great night.  It sucks, but it happens and there's not really much more to explain than that.

I would avoid making excuses like the Devils didn't have the right quality of their shots (whatever that means - and if you can prove that on a larger scale, there's $150 waiting for you), or the Devils didn't crash the net enough, that Neuvirth saw everything, or the Caps wanted to get heavily out shot  knowing their goalie can bail them out and fall into some kind of trap.  They are essentially rationalizations.  They may make you feel good about what happened, but it's not really provable and it's not really truthful.

What is truth is that Neuvirth played a fantastic game in spite of the guys in front of him.  You want to fault someone for the loss, the first, second, and third choices are Michal Neuvirth - which is a compliment to how he did tonight.

Devils Dominated in Shots & Possession:  I'm familiar with the concept of score effects and with the Capitals leading throughout the game, it really should be no surprise that the Devils outshot their opposition.  However, the Devils did it by a margin of 2.75 to 1.  The total shot count was 33 to 12.  The total number of attempts was 50-21. New Jersey.  It was 30-11 at even strength, which is both a testament to how the Devils played at 5-on-5 and how miserable they were at 5-on-4 (more on that later).   There was no question as to who controlled the puck and the majority of the play.

Here's an example of the Devils' dominance with the puck at both ends of the rink.  The Devils held Alexander Ovechkin to no shots on net tonight.  That's right.  The league leader in shots with 332 was held to a big, fat 0 in the SOG category.  He made one attempt and missed the net.   The only Cap who had several shots on net was Mike Knuble.  Given that Washington, as a team, averages 31.2 shots per game, keeping them to 12 is simply wonderful.

And then there's the Corsi.  The Devils finished the night at a +23 in Corsi.  That's fantastic.  Unlike the Ottawa game, the Devils weren't blocked a whole lot and their Fenwick was even better at +25.  Everyone on New Jersey was positive (+1 to +16). Everyone on Washington was negative (-3 to -12).  Again, there was no question as to who controlled the puck and the majority of the play.

Like the Ottawa game, one Devil line really sparkled.  It was the Zajac line last night, tonight it was the Elias line. Brian Rolston led all skaters with a +16 in Corsi to go with his 5 shots on net, 2 attempts blocked, and 3 misses. Patrik Elias put up 3 shots on net and even won over 50% of his draws (9-for-16) and finished with a +14. Dainius Zubrus powered his way through to a +11 with 3 shots on net and 2 misses of his own.  And they were trashing Washington's top line the most out of the matchups they saw.   The line of Alex Ovechkin (-8), Marcus Johansson (-9), and Mike Knuble (-9) was often where you would want that line to be: in their own end defending.  I'm sure the Caps' opposition will want to review this game on tape to see what the Devils did to contain the Capitals for the better part of 60 minutes.

One more thing about the Washington line that the Elias line dominated.  Those three put together 5 shots on net (comparison purpose: the Elias line combined for 11) more than any other unit by Washington tonight.  That really speaks poorly to what the other 9 forwards did on offense.  Even worse about the defense, though 33 shots on net says it all. Especially since the Zajac line and the Josefson line didn't really have great nights - yet both still finished positive in Corsi.

The Three Errors:  If you were to tell me before tonight's game that the Devils would put up over 30 shots on net, hold the Capitals to less than 15, and dominate possession, then I would have been real happy. That's what you would want a team to do to win - control the puck, fire away, and so the goals - and the victory - will come more often than not.  So the Devils dominated in Corsi, dominated in shots, didn't take any penalties, and still lost by a decisive-looking score 3-0. What happened?  Let's summarize all three goals against:

The first one came at the end of a long shift by the Capitals.  The Johansson line was out there with Dennis Wideman and Jeff Schultz, keeping the puck alive for a while.  This was the first serious attack by the Capitals of the game and it felt like a doozy.  Changing of points, winning pucks along the boards, and denying attempted clearances.  They didn't attempt too many shots, just a few misses and only one shot on net at the time.  Yet, they eventually found what they were looking for, not long after part of the Elias line (Elias, Rolston) got on the ice.   From behind the net, Knuble found Schultz wide open in the right circle for a one-timer.  Who was supposed to be there? David Clarkson, I guess, by position - though he was on Ovechkin prior. Anyway, Schultz was free blasted it high and it went off Martin Brodeur's glove and in.  Perhaps Brodeur should have had that one, but at the same time, the Devils got totally worked over by the Johansson line and the inability to stop them almost made the goal seem like an inevitability.  I feared that line would make New Jersey's night a long one.

Then the Capitals were held to no shots on net until the second period.  The scorer wasn't being stingy, the Caps just didn't go forward all that much.

But in the second, the Johansson line struck again against the full Elias line.  Zubrus' clearing attempt gets blocked at the point and it's dumped in to keep the Johansson line on the attack. Ovechkin gets it on the side boards and he's pressured. While all 5 Devils are in that corner, John Carlson jumps up to the left circle.  Ovechkin makes a perfect cross-ice pass to him and the Devils are scrambling. Yes, at 5-on-5, the Devils were flanked. I'm not sure why Brian Rolston wasn't looking on that side since that was his spot.  Anyway, Brodeur slides over in time to make Carlson think again about the shot, but Carlson sees Knuble at the crease.  Mark Fayne can't get to the right side of Knuble in time to stop the easy re-direction of Carlson's pass for the goal behind Brodeur.  

The third goal was off the rush on a counter-attack by, you guessed it, the Johansson line.  The whole rush happens because Zubrus falls on an attempt to keep the attack going and so the Caps were off to the races with one pass up ice to Mr. Ovechkin.  Ovechkin is flying up the wing, leading the 3-on-2, and he's covered well.  Yet, he sees another Capital wide open on the weak side: Knuble.   Given that it was a rush, I guess he couldn't be covered.  Ovechkin slides the pass perfectly between the sticks of Anssi Salmela (who was in position) and Rolston (who was just getting back) to Knuble who one-times it past a sliding Brodeur.

One awesome shift where NJ was dominated, in a period where the Capitals only had one awesome shift.  One defensive breakdown in a period where the Capitals actually stopped a clearance.  One counter-attacking 3-on-2 rush in a period where the Capitals got only one odd-man rush.  Brodeur maybe should have had the first one, but he had no chance on the other two.   Amazing how the Johansson line was pinned back so much and Ovechkin was held to no shots on net - exactly what one would want to accomplish in a game against the Capitals - and yet they still put up all of the production in tonight's game.   Enough to make Tom Gulitti write that the Elias lost that matchup, despite Corsi and Fenwick telling the completely opposite story.  Though I will agree with Elias' statement that the mistakes killed them in particular.

Basically, the Capitals got a few chances and scored.  The Devils got a few more (by way of just having way more shots) and didn't.   A big score, even if the play on the ice didn't reflect that.

What Was Truly Horrible:  So far, I've been recapping this game with the main point that the Devils didn't mess themselves on the ice.  There is one big exception: the power play. The Devils got 3 power plays, all on legit calls. Kovalchuk was tripped by Karl Alzner; Wideman intentionally moved the net, and Matt Hendrick's stick hit Rod Pelley's face and drew blood.  With the Devils being down on the score, the fans wanted to see the Devils at 5-on-4.  And why not? They were beating the Caps at 5-on-5. Surely, a man advantage would allow them to really put the screws to the visitors and make a game of it.

Yet, out of 8 minutes, the Devils got a mere 3 shots on net.  The power play units did well in Ottawa but they played like they had a brainfreeze tonight.  I don't get how they were so in sync in getting the puck forward, but at 5-on-4, they just derped all over the place with the puck.  Full credit to the Capitals' PK units.  Their penalty killers were aggressive on the points, often forcing Kovalchuk, Rolston, or Salmela to attempt a difficult pass or shot - only for it to lead to a clearance.  This was incredibly frustrating to watch.  The first one didn't go so well, but the Devils attempted to do the same things on the second and third one.  There were no noticeable adjustments by the coaches on the power play.  Just attempting more of the same, leaving the pointmen to do all the work,  and the down low forwards not moving much.  It kept failing to get an open shot on net, when the Devils were able to set up at all. 

Given that the four minute power play was miserable on top of a 2-0 deficit, it is no wonder the Devils were booed off the ice in the second period.   The Devils had 8 minutes of PP time wasted, which is unacceptable.  If you want to say the Devils were horrible tonight, this was the only aspect that they truly were.  Given that the Devils did so well at evens, it's not right to say the power play failures lost New Jersey the game.  It would be right to say that they hurt the overall effort to win.

If Kovalchuk was "Tight," What Was Zajac and Palmieri Tonight?: The word for Kovalchuk after tonight's game is "tight," per this post game post by Rich Chere at NJ.com. He was visibly frustrated, the apex of which happened after Neuvirth denied Kovalchuk on a breakaway with a big glove save.    His Corsi wasn't much to write home about at +2, so perhaps there's something to him not having a great game.  On the other hand, he got 5 shots on net, had 2 attempts blocked, hit the post once, and missed twice.  I'm not sure what "tight" means, but the guy was making the effort. 

That's a lot more than what can be said about his linemates. Travis Zajac and Nick Palmieri also finished at +2 Corsi. Yet, Zajac got no shots on goal, only one attempt blocked; and Palmieri only had one shot - a really good one, a one-timer in the high slot - on net.   It appears to me that while Kovalchuk wasn't in Beast Mode, he was making the most of what was line accomplished against Nicklas Backstrom, Alexander Semin, and Marco Sturm.    Chere's post includes Lemaire saying that he felt Kovalchuk "wants to do too much;" but given how Zajac and Palmieri played tonight, can you really fault him for that?  I, personally, do not know.

This Has Nothing to Do With a Larger Point But I Want to Point This Out Because It Amused Me: In the first period, Brian Rolston out-hustled three Capitals for a puck in the neutral zone, re-gained the puck when Jeff Schultz got in front of him to try and knock it away (he failed), and put a low shot on Neuvirth.  A 38-year old Brian Rolston out-hustled three Capitals and got past Schultz, who was the only one to catch up to him and try and do something about it.   Maybe he should be "Wheels" in the next Detective Zach Parise commercial that will never be made.

Atmosphere: The sellout crowd was hot and expected something great.  They made their voice heard for the first 40 minutes from cheering strong shifts by NJ to booing the team at the end of the second during the third wasted PP of the night.  They didn't get deflated until Knuble's second goal in the third period, which was understandable since it made it 3-0.  And so they were disappointed except for the few hundred (maybe a thousand? I may be really off) Capitals fans at the game.

No Time for Reflection: After all, the road awaits. The Devils have four games on the road, starting with Columbus on Sunday evening.  It will be the last road trip the Devils take this season.   Like the fans, the players have reason to wonder wonder why they can't beat the goaltender as much as they want to.  Unlike them, they can't dwell on it lest they psyche themselves out. 

Personally, they should try to keep doing what they have done in the last two games. Own the puck, out-shoot the opposition, and continue to attack be it at the start of the game, at the beginning of periods, the end of periods, and after goals against.  Outside of that, adjust the power play when the opposition clearly knows what the gameplan is. They aren't going to get goals by getting beaten on by the opposition, and they aren't going to get many by being outplayed.  Washington did the latter tonight, but that's not sustainable or desirable.  Just read  Kareem E's recap at Japers' Rink if you don't want to take my word for it.  Eventually, they'll run into some goalies who aren't blazing hot when they suit up against New Jersey and then superior possession and shooting will turn into goals.  The Devils aren't going to suddenly turn into, say, Philadelphia when it comes to goal scoring, but it will be a lot less frustrating to witness.

That's my take.  What did you take away from tonight's game? If you feel that the Devils were terrible, then please explain how that is beyond "they lost 3-0." What do you think the Devils need to do for Sunday's game after this one beyond just scoring?  Please leave your answers and other thoughts on tonight's game in the comments. Thanks to all of the commenters in the Gamethread, and thank you for reading.

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Re: Kovalchuk -

Corsi doesn’t tell half the story here, he was not good. The issue is that he is basically the puck carrier on that line, and if he’s having a bad night, usually the line will too. There’s only so much they can do if he’s sucking. Which he was, shots be damned.

by Triumph44 on Mar 19, 2011 12:41 AM EDT reply actions  

The Caps color guy was frequently pointing out things like “Kovalchuk tried to be too pretty” or “Kovalchuk made a bad decision.” That was all on the PP, though. At ES, at least, he was playing against Carlson, Alzner, Backstrom, and Semin. That’s a brutal matchup.

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by red army line on Mar 19, 2011 3:58 AM EDT up reply actions  

A brutal matchup he still came out positive against. It’s not like Backstrom and Semin did much of anything for themselves against NJ.

Triumph: Look, I don’t disagree that Kovalchuk didn’t have a good night – but he was miles ahead of his linemates in terms of contributing to the game. That’s my point.

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by John Fischer on Mar 19, 2011 11:35 AM EDT up reply actions  

Triumph: Look, I don’t disagree that Kovalchuk didn’t have a good night – but he was miles ahead of his linemates in terms of contributing to the game. That’s my point.

no, he really was not. he got 5 shots but was a giant negative in all other aspects. bad defense, constant turnovers, no idea where the puck should go. he’ll have nights like this but it really makes it difficult for the rest of the team because the whole offense goes through him.

kovalchuk came out positive because he had a 90% (or 81%) zone start. i don’t really think anything about his performance last night is commendable. zajac and palmieri were quietly ineffective; kovalchuk was loudly so.

by Triumph44 on Mar 19, 2011 11:47 AM EDT up reply actions  

no, he really was not. he got 5 shots but was a giant negative in all other aspects. bad defense, constant turnovers, no idea where the puck should go. he’ll have nights like this but it really makes it difficult for the rest of the team because the whole offense goes through him.

First, the whole offense doesn’t go through Kovalchuk. Against the Caps, the lionshare of it was provided by the Elias line.

Second, bad defense? No idea where the puck should go? Are you serious? The Zajac line saw the Backstrom line the most. That supposedly brutal matchup saw Sturm end the night with one attempt blocked, Backstrom with one shot on net, and Semin with one shot on net, one attempt blocked, and one missed. 5 total attempts from the three Caps. For such supposedly bad defending and being a turnover machine, the Caps surely did incredibly little with it. Getting back to that Backstrom line, Kovalchuk alone put up more attempts (10) than those three combined (5). Kovalchuk knew full where the puck should go, it was Palmieri and Zajac who were lacking in that regard.

I’d think Boudreau would implore any Cap line to go at Kovalchuk if he was so leaky going backward considering the Johansson line was getting mauled by the Elias line and the other forwards did so little in attack. Yet, Kovalchuk was on the ice for a grand total of 4 shots against across the whole game at evens. This is not congruent with bad defending?

I’ll agree that Kovalchuk wasn’t great; but this is an exaggeration. How in the world can Kovalchuk out-shoot and out-attempt a line and then come around to say he was “loudly ineffective” overall? The numbers simply do not add up, and I’m pretty sure they don’t lie

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by John Fischer on Mar 19, 2011 12:54 PM EDT up reply actions  

First, the whole offense doesn’t go through Kovalchuk. Against the Caps, the lionshare of it was provided by the Elias line.

the power play goes through kovalchuk, as does the top offensive line. when kovalchuk is off his game, this makes it very hard on the offense.

Second, bad defense? No idea where the puck should go? Are you serious? The Zajac line saw the Backstrom line the most. That supposedly brutal matchup saw Sturm end the night with one attempt blocked, Backstrom with one shot on net, and Semin with one shot on net, one attempt blocked, and one missed. 5 total attempts from the three Caps. For such supposedly bad defending and being a turnover machine, the Caps surely did incredibly little with it.

they did do very little with it, you are correct. the devils managed to keep the puck out of their end most of the night. i am going off the one shift where the puck did get in the devils’ end and kovalchuk was doing his statue defense.

Getting back to that Backstrom line, Kovalchuk alone put up more attempts (10) than those three combined (5). Kovalchuk knew full where the puck should go, it was Palmieri and Zajac who were lacking in that regard.

There’s an old logic question – you come into a rural town and desire a haircut. there’s not a barbershop for miles around. there’s two barbers there – one has a terrible haircut, and the other one has an excellent haircut. which one do you choose? you take the guy who has a terrible haircut, because the barbers would obviously cut each other’s hair, and the other barber has a fine haircut. i hope this helps to illustrate the epistemological conundrum posed by shot attempts in a single game (or even over a whole season, but i think the effect is much smaller there). in this analogy, the other devils are all the guys with terrible haircuts – kovalchuk was set up on numerous occasions, it’s true, but he also turned the puck over a ton. shot attempts alone don’t necessarily show how good a particular player is on a given night.

’ll agree that Kovalchuk wasn’t great; but this is an exaggeration. How in the world can Kovalchuk out-shoot and out-attempt a line and then come around to say he was "loudly ineffective" overall? The numbers simply do not add up, and I’m pretty sure they don’t lie

if you want to go by numbers, adjusted corsi wise, kovalchuk is a large negative last night. he was a +3 corsi with a -9 zone start. that translates to a -6 corsi, if i recall correctly. so that’s how i can make that claim. the power play was terrible, and much of that was caused by rolston and kovalchuk’s inability to set each other up. he doesn’t shoulder the entire blame, but he was just not good last night. blaming his linemates seems to me preposterous because of the effect i noted above – how do we know from those numbers that kovalchuk isn’t just a barber with a great haircut? his passes seemed to me to be off all night.

by Triumph44 on Mar 19, 2011 1:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

kovalchuk is a large negative last night. he was a +3 corsi with a -9 zone start. that translates to a -6 corsi, if i recall correctly.

-4.2. It’s 0.8 Corsi per extra offensive zone start

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by George E. Ays on Mar 19, 2011 4:30 PM EDT up reply actions  

-4.2. It’s 0.8 Corsi per extra offensive zone start

source? i thought it was -1.1 corsi, -.0.8 fenwick. but i haven’t been able to find the original source for that.

by Triumph44 on Mar 19, 2011 4:58 PM EDT up reply actions  

Source

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by George E. Ays on Mar 19, 2011 5:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

One thing I want to add…Backstrom was fantastic in the dot, so that adjustment probably underrates Kovalchuk. It’d be spot on if Kovy’s on-ice FO% was 50%, but I think it was lower.

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by red army line on Mar 20, 2011 4:47 AM EDT up reply actions  

Triumph, the one thing you're missing

(and, it seems, others are missing as well) is that the positioning of his linemates in the offensive was terrible. As I’m sure you’ve noticed, Kovalchuk likes to carry the puck over the blue line, stutter step, stop, and then make a pass from the top of the zone across the blue line to a streaking linemate. This is a VERY effective strategy, and part of Kovalchuk’s effort to become a better all-around player.

Now, allow me to explain why this play is so effective (and I know because it was explained to me on my high school team, where I played with a couple of kids named the Daniels twins who were drafted by San Jose in 2007, I believe):

you have a guy like Kovalchuk bearing down on two defenders. Knowing Kovalchuk’s speed, shooting ability, and puckhandling skills, the defensemen have literally no choice but to back off at the blue line, at the very least (this is a smart play by defenders; you DO NOT meet a guy like Kovy at the blue line). Now that the local defender is pushed back, Kovy has enough time to stop and make that pass. So what’s the problem? The problem comes when there is no linemate streaking down the other side for this play. I know you’ve seen this play made every game recently. The problem is, when Kovy makes the stop at the top of the blueline, looks for the pass, and nobody is there, it leaves the local defender (who just backed off) enough time to recover, poke the puck away from Kovy, and make it look like his fault for turning the puck over. In reality, it was Zajac/Palmieri’s fault for not being there for the obvious, constantly used, and very easily expected play.

I hope that makes sense.

So, did Kovy have a great game? No, but his LINEMATES significantly affect the way we perceive his play. Kovy still went to the corners and dug out the puck. He still tried to make the plays. When nobody was around, he tried to shoot. There’s only so much the man can do, but when his linemates don’t show up, it does indeed make him look bad.

by Dr. Witticism on Mar 19, 2011 6:05 PM EDT up reply actions  

Just to clarify

This post was both a general response to your posts AND a response to these two quotes of yours:

[he] was a giant negative in all other aspects. bad defense, constant turnovers, no idea where the puck should go. he’ll have nights like this but it really makes it difficult for the rest of the team because the whole offense goes through him.

and more importantly:

The issue is that he is basically the puck carrier on that line, and if he’s having a bad night, usually the line will too.

With regard to the first quote, I would say that Lemaire made a conscious choice not to have the offense go through Kovy tonight. Lemaire instead chose to make Kovy’s like more of a shutdown and counter-punch line with his matchups against the Backstrom line, which was a strategy that I think backfired badly and should have at least been changed mid-game.

Anyway, to the more important second quote….Yes, Kovy does indeed carry the puck in quite often for that line. Now, as I noted above, the most common strategy for this is the play I described. One should also note, however, that Palmieri sometimes performs a good dump-and-chase with Kovy, where Palmieri dumps it and goes in first, and then Kovy uses his size and strength to dig out the puck (aside: Kovy’s willingness to go in the corners and really work for the puck is yet another sign that he is trying to be a better player). Zajac is left out of this because he doesn’t seem to have the strength for this kind of play, and that’s fine because it’s usually good to have a guy streaking to the front of the net with this type of offensive zone penetration. My point is that Kovy doesn’t always carry the puck in, and when he does, his linemates must do two things:

1. Recognize what he is doing (occasionally he’ll try to beat a defender one on one, though he does this with less frequently, again a sign of a more well-rounded player).
2. React appropriately.

His linemates have a very significant effect on the perception of his play, but this effect is often quite subtle to the untrained eye. What I mean by “untrained eye” is not someone who doesn’t watch lots of hockey, but rather someone who had played at an extremely competitive level where you play with guys like Kovy and use plays just like these. I mean no disrespect to you or others when I say that.

by Dr. Witticism on Mar 19, 2011 6:18 PM EDT up reply actions  

Sorry

That second-to-last line should have said “…rather someone who HASN’T played at an extremely competitive level…”

Sorry about that everyone.

by Dr. Witticism on Mar 19, 2011 6:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

you have a guy like Kovalchuk bearing down on two defenders. Knowing Kovalchuk’s speed, shooting ability, and puckhandling skills, the defensemen have literally no choice but to back off at the blue line, at the very least (this is a smart play by defenders; you DO NOT meet a guy like Kovy at the blue line). Now that the local defender is pushed back, Kovy has enough time to stop and make that pass. So what’s the problem? The problem comes when there is no linemate streaking down the other side for this play. I know you’ve seen this play made every game recently. The problem is, when Kovy makes the stop at the top of the blueline, looks for the pass, and nobody is there, it leaves the local defender (who just backed off) enough time to recover, poke the puck away from Kovy, and make it look like his fault for turning the puck over. In reality, it was Zajac/Palmieri’s fault for not being there for the obvious, constantly used, and very easily expected play.

i know that this is kovalchuk’s go to play. so does the rest of the line, so does the rest of the league. there can be lots of other issues than just ‘his linemates not reading the play correctly.’ if kovalchuk doesn’t have ample speed, players will step up on him. it’s also very difficult to know when he will try to beat people 1 on 1 or when he will pass.

i also don’t think this should be the line’s go to play unless kovalchuk has adequate speed going over the blueline. it’s a very dangerous play if not executed correctly.

Zajac is left out of this because he doesn’t seem to have the strength for this kind of play

zajac is an excellent player along the boards. he’s left out probably because he is the center.

i’ll ignore the comments about having played at a high level – kovalchuk had a bad game last night. my point is that i can’t know whether or not his linemates had a bad game based on shot attempts alone.

by Triumph44 on Mar 19, 2011 6:32 PM EDT up reply actions  

You don’t have to ignore the comment about playing at a high level. If you did, I’m interested to know where. Not questioning your response, just showing genuine interest in where you played. It’s always nice to discuss these things with someone who has done them. If you’ve used this play in the past, I’m intrigued by your experience with it and how it works on the ice-level.

Now, the response…It’s ok if the rest of the league knows that this is his play because, as you noted, it works regardless as long as Kovy has enough speed built up (or if he’s going up against a non-veteran defenseman who is intimidated by his skills and backs off regardless of speed). Now here’s the best part about this play: Palmieri and Zajac don’t necessarily have to read the play to streak down the other side anyway; if Kovy doesn’t make the play, that player either goes to the net for the rebound or to the corner where Kovy can dump it to him. See, the player can streak down as if he is making this play regardless of whether the play is executed or not. One of the reasons it’s such a great play is that, if it’s not made, it still leaves several possibilities open. If you’re worried about having a forward stranded down low should Kovy turn the puck over up high and the play goes the other way, it’s only one forward. You still have the other linemate and Kovy up high, thus making it the same risk as a conservative one-forward forecheck.

Zajac is ok on the boards, but Palmieri and Kovy are better. When the line is cycling, he is fine. You’re probably at least partly right about him being the guy in front because he’s the center, but there’s no denying that his linemates are better at those 1-on-1 and 1-on-2 battles on the boards (I’m sorry, but Zajac cannot win a 1-on-2).

by Dr. Witticism on Mar 19, 2011 7:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

You don’t have to ignore the comment about playing at a high level. If you did, I’m interested to know where. Not questioning your response, just showing genuine interest in where you played. It’s always nice to discuss these things with someone who has done them. If you’ve used this play in the past, I’m intrigued by your experience with it and how it works on the ice-level.

My apologies – no, I never played competitive hockey. But I have discussed hockey on the internet for a long time, and it’s one thing I’ve learned to deflect. The argument usually goes like this: “Oh, but you never played hockey, Triumph. When I played, I believed this [insert stupid thing I believe]. You’ll never understand it because you never played, so [case closed, I win].” You’re not doing that, so I apologize for being a jerk. There are some things which I will struggle to understand or may never understand because of that, but I’d like to think I can.

If Kovy doesn’t make the play, that player either goes to the net for the rebound or to the corner where Kovy can dump it to him. See, the player can streak down as if he is making this play regardless of whether the play is executed or not.

The issue I have with this play is that it just doesn’t lead to that much success. I’d rather have Zajac carry the puck in and try to find Kovalchuk as a trailer then have Kovalchuk looking for trailers and holding the puck along the left wing boards as he does. This play can lead to big time scoring chances, don’t get me wrong, but a lot of times it just leads to nothing. This is true of most plays at even strength, but still, Kovalchuk’s lines (and Kovalchuk himself) have typically been poor at forechecking or generating pressure off of continued zone pressure. I’d like to see him dump the puck in more when he doesn’t have any speed going into the zone, but often he will try a 1 on 1 deke which has a very low chance of success, or a miracle pass. I see him do these things so often that I cannot blame the failures on his linemates.

Now the fault for not having speed going into the zone may lie with the defense or the center.

by Triumph44 on Mar 20, 2011 1:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

Because the caps didn’t play well either but kovalchuk could not avoid mistakes last night.

by KovyisLove on Mar 19, 2011 4:33 PM EDT up reply actions  

Kovy Playing Tight

What disturbed me most in Kovalchuk’s game tonght was the number of times he passed the puck without looking where Cap players were. Many of those passes were intercepted. He also threw passes to unoccupied point positions during power plays nullifying the attack. I don’t know if playing against Ovechkin was on his mind or not, but many of his passes looked like brain cramps.

by Barry G on Mar 19, 2011 12:44 AM EDT reply actions  

I was at the game, in the nose bleed section. and while I could not tell who it was… The image of a Devil falling on his rear while trying to take a shot is still very much burned into my mind. Granted it was an error… But Triumph44 is right, shots on goal be damned… It’s not the quantity but the quality of things. And our quality for shots was not good enough. To me, it just looked like many of the shots were hurried or the decision to shoot or pass took to long.

by Devil man on Mar 19, 2011 12:56 AM EDT reply actions  

JJ… it was embarrasing

by KovyisLove on Mar 19, 2011 8:14 AM EDT up reply actions  

It reminded me of the first game of the year when Greene fell over the blue line in OT.

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by slackdog_rm on Mar 19, 2011 11:36 AM EDT up reply actions  

On shot quality...

I took a look through the Shot Quality contest materials. I like their break-down with shot distance, rebounds, PK, etc., but I think it lacks the most crucial element: Where the shot is relative to the goalie determines shot quality. If it just hits the goalie, it’s a poor quality shot. A high quality shot would be one that goes in past a fully extended goalie.
I agree with most of the conclusions found in Tom Awad’s article on shot quality. Specifically,

shot quality correlates negatively with shot volume

i would posit that goalies play better when they get to make some easy saves early (i.e. have shots hit them). A quick, hard shot that hits the goalie in the chest is money: The goalie can set his timing based on the shot distance, when he sees the shooter’s release and when the shot hits. It also usually confirms the goalie’s positioning.
Just banging away at the goalie and hitting him with shots only makes him more confident and better adjusted to the shooters.

We’ve all seen the Devils at various stages of this season throw tons of shots on goal and not score. Tonight, I saw a lot of shots that were easy saves, and a few that were difficult. Kovy’s shots tonight were examples of both. He had a beauty of a one-timer that would have gone top-shelf. Neuvirth grabbed it because he was set before the shot and had already adjusted to Kovy’s shot with a previous one that went right into his glove. Thus the rare high quality shot was stopped because previous poor quality shots had gotten the goalie adjusted to the shooter.

The break-away was another poor shot. Kovy shot it almost right into this glove. Even I could’ve caught that shot if I didn’t have to move my glove. That being said, because I’m a low level beer leaguer, that shot would have either pulled me into the goal with it, or knocked the glove clean off my hand and into the net. Neuvirth doesn’t have that problem ;).

The Caps goals were all high-quality, if for no other reason that Marty was moving for all three of them and they were placed such that he had to extend for them. The first one may have been close to “soft,” but that last one top-shelf was vicious.

by NPSGoalie30 on Mar 19, 2011 1:33 AM EDT reply actions  

Where the shot is relative to the goalie determines shot quality. If it just hits the goalie, it’s a poor quality shot. A high quality shot would be one that goes in past a fully extended goalie.

I think this falls under “shooting talent.” Shot quality is more location of the shot and other players on the ice (shot off a 2-on-2 from the slot is more dangerous than a wrister from the point with no traffic, for example). From what I’ve seen, taking location as a proxy for shot quality and using that to calculate an expected shooting percentage for each player, few players are significantly better than average—Kovalchuk is probably the best.

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by red army line on Mar 19, 2011 4:04 AM EDT up reply actions  

Where the shot is relative to the goalie determines shot quality. If it just hits the goalie, it’s a poor quality shot. A high quality shot would be one that goes in past a fully extended goalie.

I think this falls under “shooting talent.” Shot quality is more location of the shot and other players on the ice (shot off a 2-on-2 from the slot is more dangerous than a wrister from the point with no traffic, for example). From what I’ve seen, taking location as a proxy for shot quality and using that to calculate an expected shooting percentage for each player, few players are significantly better than average—Kovalchuk is probably the best.

I think the Caps were just making their shots, and the Devils weren’t. Plenty of people on the J.R. recap thread are pointing out that NJ players were frequently shooting wide, botching great scoring chances (thinking Elias in particular), not being able to handle a bouncing/rolling puck (Kovalchuk’s breakaway), etc.

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by red army line on Mar 19, 2011 4:08 AM EDT up reply actions  

The break-away was another poor shot. Kovy shot it almost right into this glove. Even I could’ve caught that shot if I didn’t have to move my glove. That being said, because I’m a low level beer leaguer, that shot would have either pulled me into the goal with it, or knocked the glove clean off my hand and into the net. Neuvirth doesn’t have that problem ;).

The puck was rolling. If Kovalchuk tried to deke with it, the puck goes astray and everyone will be yelling at him for it.

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by John Fischer on Mar 19, 2011 11:35 AM EDT up reply actions  

Taking a second look at it

You’re right, the puck was rolling. Still, he gets a strong shot off. Neuvirth drops to his butterfly with his glove just above his left pad. I didn’t see any other movement needed to make that save, except to roll his wrist to keep the puck in his glove. If that shot was the best Kovy could make there, then no one can expect more. All I’m trying to say is that Neuvirth didn’t have to extend like he did on the earlier one-timer, thus this shot was not placed as well as the one-timer and is of poorer quality.

by NPSGoalie30 on Mar 19, 2011 2:27 PM EDT up reply actions  

Jacques was of his rocker tonight

I dont mind the use of the fourth line, but when your down 2 in the third and you put them out there three times in the span of 5 minutes including two offensive zone faceoffs i think thats a little excessive. Kovy was out there with them the second two times, but if youre going to double shitf him, why not double shift his whole line? the devils played with three lines against pitt earlier in the year(they lost but the game was still close), so why shoud anyone think they cant do it for one period? Down two with 11 minutes left you still have a shot to tie the game, why not give an honest attempt?

by poopydoodie11 on Mar 19, 2011 2:35 AM EDT reply actions  

Zajac and Palmieri were non-factors tonight. Double-shifting them along with Kovalchuk wouldn’t have done all that much. The line who performed the best against the Caps was the Elias line. If any line was to be double-shifted, it was that one.

the devils played with three lines against pitt earlier in the year(they lost but the game was still close), so why shoud anyone think they cant do it for one period?

They played with 10 forwards in that game because they were forced to. It wasn’t by choice.

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by John Fischer on Mar 19, 2011 11:37 AM EDT up reply actions  

i know they had not chocie in that game, but my point is, they could do if they had to. My other point is were zajac and palmieri that bad that it warranted using the fourth line so much in the final period when you still had an opportunity to get back in the game? why not double shift the elias line then?

by poopydoodie11 on Mar 19, 2011 1:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

"Why can't we just play our best players 60mins a game?"

Because they get tired.

Go Devils!
Huh, so this is what its like to be a leafs fan..

by S.Stevens on Mar 19, 2011 12:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

i didnt say 60 minutes, i just said they could roll 3 lines for one period and be okay.

by poopydoodie11 on Mar 19, 2011 1:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

Come on

That’s not fair at all. Seriously. You know what he was saying in his first post, and it wasn’t anything close to that.

by Dr. Witticism on Mar 19, 2011 8:28 PM EDT up reply actions  

Looks like the Devils had 14 shots from within 30 ft, five of those from within 20 ft, the Caps…one and one, respectively.

Even if quality was an issue relative to the total amount of shots, the Devils got a higher volume of quality shots. RMNB has scoring chances as 19-9 for the game.

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by red army line on Mar 19, 2011 4:00 AM EDT reply actions  

Thanks. I figured that would be the case.

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by John Fischer on Mar 19, 2011 11:37 AM EDT up reply actions  

First of all, how anybody can blame Kovalchuk is beyond me. Now all we are going to hear is that he isn’t worth the money and he’s trying to do it all himself, etc. etc. Everybody seems to forget that if it wasn’t for him, the Devils wouldn’t be in the position they are in now. Has everybody forgotten all those game-winning goals the last two months?? Yes, I know he had an off night (maybe two) but let’s not be stupid like Ranger fans and start saying how bad everything is when the team is not winning and thinking they’re the greatest team ever when they are winning.
Secondly, most of the Devils shots were either low or to the mid-section of Neuvirth. I am certainly not taking anything away from him- he was unbelievable in net, but we all know in todays game of hockey, the players must shoot high on the goalies to score.
Thirdly, there was no traffic in front of Neuvirth either. If the Devils are taking shots from the circle and nobody’s in front for a screen, then my Grandmother could play goal and stop most of the shots.
It was a great run while it lasted- certainly more exciting than the first half of the season. Even if they win all of their remaining games, it will take a miracle to get into playoffs. Let’s hope they get out of this funk and play well for the rest of the season and look forward to next year. It sure will be odd not having them in the playoffs and too bad it looks like the Rangers are going to make it. We need good come-back lines for the Ranger fans when they tease us about not making the playoffs.

by bsc1114 on Mar 19, 2011 9:38 AM EDT reply actions  

Re: 2 and 3

Go through the highlights again. Neuvirth had to make some good glove/blocker saves multiple times. Furthermore, a shot aimed high will hit the goalie in the chest if he’s properly positioned.

I saw plenty of traffic. It’s a wonder some of those shots from Rolston didn’t go in. Neuvirth these last two games has been seeing shots through traffic very well. I keep expecting some long shot to get tipped and go in, or at least to go in with Neuvirth in the butterfly but with no other reaction to the shot (that is, he wouldn’t have seen the shot), but that hasn’t happened (except on a goal by Filppula).

A shot from the circles gives the goalie very little time to react, and a well-placed shot will go in 10 times out of 10.

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by red army line on Mar 19, 2011 10:30 AM EDT up reply actions  

I wish we set plays like the 2nd caps goal. It hurt to give it up but no goalie is stopping that one. That’s what the team has to do to get some goals.

by KovyisLove on Mar 19, 2011 10:31 AM EDT reply actions  

How was it a set play? The whole thing started because of a blocked clearance, Ovechkin found a wide open man, and Knuble just rushed to the crease in the hopes for any rebound. It’s not like they drew it up that way.

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by John Fischer on Mar 19, 2011 11:33 AM EDT up reply actions  

Hoped for a rebound? He made himself the weak side player, they went side to side to open man across the net. They obviously practiced that play.

by KovyisLove on Mar 19, 2011 4:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

Sorry John, but this is absolutely a set play

Of course the whole part about getting a lucky blocked clearance isn’t the set play. Here’s the evidence:

Go watch the highlights reel and pay attention to this second goal. When Knuble gives Ovechkin the puck on the side boards, Knuble stands behind the net for a second, not moving. When he sees Ovechkin move up the sideboards, he suddenly moves to the side of the net. Ovechkin, at about the same time, makes a cross-ice pass to Carlson, who then lays it in for Knuble. This is a 100% bona fide set play that my team used as well. If you can’t see the actual play, you can still see it was set if you watch WHEN Knuble changes his position relative to the puck’s respective location.

by Dr. Witticism on Mar 19, 2011 8:36 PM EDT up reply actions  

I think the only “set” part of it is Carlson pinching. Green does that all the time, and his 31 goal season was that backdoor play + wrister high glove on repeat.

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by red army line on Mar 20, 2011 4:49 AM EDT up reply actions  

This sucks!

Not to bring everyone down, but look at everyone discussing what the breakdowns were and diseccting the losses these last 2 games. On top of the losses, Neilsen last night in a 2-1 game was interferred with by a ref, turned the puck over and Eric Cole ties it up with 4 minutes left, then they win it in OT. Rags also win. Bad, bad nite for our Devs, Im usually positive, but I think with the outcomes from last nite, that was it for the Devs season. Hate saying it, but it looks extremely dim. Especially the fact that even if we win the last 11 games, that gives us 92 points, the way the teams ahead of us are playing that may not even be enough.

by Marty'sBetter on Mar 19, 2011 12:02 PM EDT reply actions  

On a positive note though

We had some good rookie play this year and although the Devs may not make the playoffs, we have some good young kids to build upon. I think this team couls make a serious cup run next year especially if we could retain ZP

by Marty'sBetter on Mar 19, 2011 12:03 PM EDT reply actions  

You guys are right- there are plenty of positives going into next season!!

by bsc1114 on Mar 19, 2011 12:09 PM EDT reply actions  

The loss stings, but more so to me because it means I have to listen to the same Capitals fans who for years have whined about the NZT and how awful it was for hockey now revel in their successful* implementation of a “defensive system” and what a smart fella that Bruce Boudreau is for coming up with it.

*remains to be seen

by elesias on Mar 19, 2011 1:09 PM EDT reply actions  

These last two days were like someone throwing a huge bucket of ice water on you. It sucks a lot that this is probably the swan song for their playoff hopes. That said, it was an incredible run and it was some of the most fun I’ve had watching hockey in a while.

One note is the defense seems to be prone to being out of position in the last couple weeks. Guys coming free on the weak side is something JL should really address. It seems that teams have found a weakness and are now exploiting it regularly.

by nyynygnjd on Mar 19, 2011 1:20 PM EDT reply actions  

I wonder if fatigue could be a factor now. Playing so many 1 goal games has to be exhausting, especially for the defense.

by C.J. Richey on Mar 19, 2011 1:36 PM EDT reply actions  

Ovechkin,Kovy and lemonade.

If you are given lemons make lemonade. If you are given passing lanes…make assists. Perhaps Kovy should look into making lemonade with some lemons as opposed to always trying to make extra dry martinis.

I hope to join Claude Lemieux in Hell one day for a beer....

by HELLAWAITS on Mar 19, 2011 2:09 PM EDT reply actions  

  • Although I do NOT blame this loss on his play.

I hope to join Claude Lemieux in Hell one day for a beer....

by HELLAWAITS on Mar 19, 2011 2:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

I don't know

In his last twenty games, he has ten goals and ten assists. That’s a pretty good amount of lemonade in my opinion.

Oh, and I love the analogy.

by Dr. Witticism on Mar 19, 2011 8:47 PM EDT up reply actions  

frustrating

Since Arnott was traded the power play looks much worse. Nobody appears to want the puck. They are barely able to retain control when in the offensive zone. Palmeri has been absent on the ice for several games now. I wish Lemaire would juggle the lines and try to put more speed on the top two by experimenting with Zharkov and Tedenby. The Sabres have crushed both the Senators and the Thrashers while the Devils lost to the Sens and barely beat the Thrashers. I think that Kovalchuk is the only pulse on a extremely tired team. He can’t carry the team and it bothers me when people are so critical of him. Martys goaltending has been streaky and I think we need to let Hedberg play on the road and Marty at home.

by firesoul on Mar 20, 2011 12:01 AM EDT reply actions  

Arnott wasn’t on the first PP unit, which still gets the lion’s share of ice time during a man advantage (Kovy-Rolston-Elias-Zajac-Zubrus). Nor was Arnott particularly effective on the second unit, other than sucking minutes. The second unit is a work in progress, and part of the problem is that you often have Kovalchuk plus four rookies (Fayne-Palmieri-Tedenby-Josefson, although Rolston often stays out there now in lieu of Palmieri). With that second unit, Josefson is “learning on the job” and being asked to play Patrick Elias’ role — on the right-wing boards near the circle while the team fans out in a diamond-and-one — and his shot isn’t respected enough like Patty’s to draw people towards him and away from someone else.

I wouldn’t object to seeing Kovalchuk-Zajac-Tedenby on a tryout basis and seeing if that works. Teddy has the speed to keep up with Kovalchuk and enough finishing touch that he might be able to do something with those passes and plays. Zharkov, however, should not be put in that position — he’s done nothing to show he has the offensive gifts to play a Top 6 role. If you do this, however, you change the character of that line. There’s no one to play dump-and-chase at that point (and Kovalchuk has the size to make it work and the willingness to go into those dirty areas as we’ve seen recently), because Zajac will remain high as the center and Tedenby doesn’t have the size to battle on the baords.

Kovalchuk IS trying to carry the team, and he’s done a good job of it. There isn’t enough secondary scoring to take pressure off him, especially with Zubrus-Elias-Rolston having cooled off. That being said, it’s unfair to expect that the team was going to continue to play to a similar record as the 23-3-2 run…. the number of teams that sustained that percentage of points over a half-season or full-season is extremely slim. They also attained that record by winning an excessive number of one-goal games, another trend that can’t be expected to continue for the long haul. What we’re seeing now is a “regression to the mean” to the point where some of the breaks are going the other way and the Devils’ lack of depth scoring is starting to show up.

As for Marty, I don’t know that these last two losses can really be pinned on him. The concept that two losses should be enough to throw him back into a full-fledged time-share or “battle for the #1 netminder spot” is ridiculous. Hedberg is an above-average backup, but comparing him to Brodeur on an overall basis is like comparing my nieces’ finger-painting to Pablo Picasso’s masterpieces. You can make an argument that Hedberg should get a game or two instead of Marty starting ten straight, but let’s not pretend Hedberg is a #1 goaltender anymore.

by acasser on Mar 20, 2011 12:31 PM EDT up reply actions  

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