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Taking a Look at The Albany Devils Depth Chart for 2011-12

NEWARK, NJ - MARCH 30: Jay Leach will be one of the veterans on a young Albany team.  Photo by Bruce Bennett/Getty Images)

After making the AHL playoffs for the first time in almost a decade in 2009-2010 under coach John MacLean, the Albany Devils took a big step back and were the worst team in the AHL last season. Beset by injuries at the NHL-level, the parent club was shuffling bodies back and forth from Albany to Newark. Talented players like Vladimir Zharkov and Mattias Tedenby that were rushed to the NHL hurt Albany’s depth at the onset of the season. This resulted in Albany making their own calls up from Trenton and giving a lot of ice-time to young players, especially on defense. Albany also had their own roster issues as they were missing goalie Jeff Frazee, forward Nathan Perkovitch, defenseman Tyler Eckford, and others for extended periods of time.  

Rookie coach Rich Kowalsky did a good job with what he had. It's encouraging that many of the opponents’ radio announcers commented that Albany always played hard and would battle to the end of games. It's often hard to find a silver lining in a bad season, but Kowalsky didn't have the tools to win.  After a mid-season trade which sent forwards Patrick Davis and Mike Swift to the Worcester Sharks for Steve Zalewski, the Albany club surged a bit, but couldn't keep the momentum and faded badly down the stretch finishing with a league low 70 points.

Despite last season’s disappointing finish,  Albany should have playoff aspirations this year. (It would certainly help the poor attendance. Albany averaged a league worst 3,014 people a game last year and all Albany AHL franchises have been in the bottom 25% of attendance for the past decade.) This year should be different though. With the trade for AHL all-star Maxim Noreau, additions of talented rookies Mike Hoeffel, Brandon Burlon, Mike Sislo, Keith Kinkaid, and Eric Gelinas, Albany will look to have a bouceback year. 

Who else is still on the team and what will the roster look like?  After the jump I will look at the depth chart for Albany and try to project their lineup.   I will also talk briefly about the AHL Development rule which impacts the configuration of each team's roster. 

Star-divide

 

 

First let's go over the AHL development rule.  The AHL (in their FAQ section) defines the rule as:

Of the 18 skaters (not counting two goaltenders) that teams may dress for a regular-season game, at least 13 must be qualified as "development players." Of those 13, 12 must have played in 260 or fewer professional games (including AHL, NHL, IHL and European elite leagues), and one must have played in 320 or fewer professional games. All calculations for development status are based on regular-season totals as of the start of the season.


Essentially this means you can dress a core of 4/5 what I will call 'veterans' per game (goalies don't count). 'Veterans' are determined by the number of games played at the AHL-level or above. Below I have listed all the Albany players who i think might be affected by this rule. Note that this rule is based upon games played at the beginning of the year so players won't cross into veteran territory during the season. After the official signing of Tim Sestito on Sunday, Albany will seemingly have Sestito, Stephen Gionta, Noreau, and Leach as their veteran players. Luckily AHL all-star Matt Anderson only has 219 games of experience meaning that he is still considered a development player.

Ahl_medium

From the chart you can also see why having Mark Fraser or Anssi Salmela with the AHL club wouldn't make much sense. It also shows why players like Vladimir Zharkov and Matt Corrente who might be on two-way deals next year would need to fight for their NHL spots or risk being sent back to the AHL for development.

With the ability to dress only so many veterans you can also see this influencing AHL trades and re-signings. Players like Davison, Wiseman, and Magnan may be valuable to the organization but teams have to weigh who they want as their core veterans.  Perhaps one of the three mentioned get re-signed, but certainly not all three of them will be in Albany next year.  Magnan was a steady defenseman at Albany last year, didn't play too badly during his NHL stint but it's likely that his veteran status plays a role in him not returning to the team.

Taking the development rule and recent signings into consideration this is how the Albany roster currently looks for 2011-2012

 Albany_depth_chart_medium

Goalies:  With the re-signing of Johan Hedberg, Jeff Frazee will once again be the starter in goal for Albany. Keith Kinkaid, an undrafted free agent from Union College, will be slated as the backup but will likely see plenty of time considering Frazee's injury history and the AHL schedule.  For those of you who don't follow the AHL, many times teams play three games in three nights on the weekends.  This helps create more opportunities for younger players to step into the lineup on a more frequent basis and will help ease Kinkaid into the AHL.  Having only playedabout 40 games a year in college, it would be hard to expect him to shoulder the goaltending load for the majority of the season.

Defense:  (Note I am not including Adam Larsson in this discussion.  I think if he does not make the NHL roster he will go back to the SEL.)

It's been a quiet offseason for the New Jersey Devils, but at the AHL-level the team made a trade that should help them immensely.  Acquiring AHL all-star Maxim Noreau gives the team an even-strength puck mover that they didn't have last season, a power play quarterback so desperately needed, and another experienced defenseman.  Noreau and Jay Leach will be the anchors to the defensive unit, likely on separate pairings.  Based upon the end of last season, I would expect Alexander Urbom to play with Noreau and Dan Kelly to be paired with Leach.  Now, we get to a problem area:  Who gets the playing time as the third pairing defenders?

Burlon leaving college early must have took the Devils by surprise, andhelped create the extra defensive bodies now at Albany.   Managing a rotation of Gelinas, Sova, Young, and possibly free agent Mike Banwell ( a UFA from Maine signed by Albany last year), the Devils had a nice mix of players to rotate into the lineup.  I could easily see the stay-at-home Young being matched up with the more offensively talented Gelinas or Sova.  Now I am not sure how Kowalsky will allocate the playing time to his young defensemen with Burlon now in the mix.

Burlon's addition means that it's doubtful that Banwell is brought back.  It's also unlikely that Davison and Magnan are brought back because of the limits on veteran players that they can dress per game.

Will one of the defensemen get traded?  If I had to speculate, I think Gelinas would be the most likely prospect to move, but that's a guess.  Should the team's defensive unit stay status quo with the eight defensemen listed above?  As we saw last season injuries can hit a team fast and furious during the AHL/ NHL season. I would expect that even if no trades occur that all of the defenders at Albany will get playing time.  But will it be enough?

My expectation is that Burlon and Young will initially start out together on a third pairing with game-by-game changes inserting Gelinas and Sova into the lineup. 

Once the inevitable injuries at the NHL-level occur, I would expect Noreau and Urbom to get first crack at going to New Jersey. 

Forwards:  With the departure of Alexander Vasyunuv and the trade of David McIntyre, the Devils opened up some opportunities for players like Mike Hoeffel and Mike Sislo.  With the return of AHL all-star Matt Anderson I would expect the Devils top six forwards to consist of Henrique, Gionta, Zalewski, Anderson, Sestito and Hoeffel.  Of course as NHL need arises this configuration will likely change quite a few times during the year.  Also important is the position plans the Devils have for Henrique.  Does he begin the year at center?  If so, you might see Sestito centering a third line with Perkovitch or Sislo moved up to be part of the top six.  If re-signed UFA Brad Mills will probably factor into the top two lines. 

Rounding out at least five of the bottom six forward spots will be our old pugilist friend from Newark PL3, JS Berube, Sislo, and Perkovitch.  I would expect Darcy Zajac to be re-signed to an AHL deal (if not a NHL two-way contract )and for him to play a good chunk of minutes for Albany.  Extra forwards wil likely consist of It's likely that center Kory Nagy and former ECHL Trenton Devil players such as Ryan Ginand, Ryan Hayes and Matt Lombardi.

It's not the most offensively dynamic team assembled, however, the forwards Albany has are great grinders and with an improved power play and defensive unit should find the back of the net more often in 2011-2012. 

Final Thoughts:

I might be placing too much focus on the addition of Maxim Noreau, but his addition will help the power play improve upon its 13.6% conversion rate last year to keep the Devils in more games this season. The maturing of players like Alex Urbom and Dan Kelly will help a league worst penalty killing unit (although taking less penalties better be emphasized this year) and raise its league low 77.1% kill rate. The Devils had a -46 goal differential on special teams last season. If they can improve upon that and at least break even they should be a very competitive team this year.

 

 

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Albany needs more discipline, they led the league in power plays against. They weren’t awful at even strength.

Having ‘too much depth’ is a July problem – these things get sorted out pretty quick when the games start. Right now you have 8 defensemen listed for Albany, which is fine. I imagine Gelinas, Burlon, Young, Sova, and Kelly will be rotating in and out.

They still need more offense, I’d like to see them get an experienced AHL vet RW. I’m not even sure Ginand is still with the organization, but I’m not convinced he provides enough offense.

http://drivingplay.blogspot.com - the blog with three first lines

by Triumph44 on Jul 13, 2011 1:18 PM EDT reply actions  

Yes, perhaps playing very hard led them to a lot of dumb penalties. There were other teams that were close or had more penalties though. (that said, because of the goon combo of PL3 and the now retired Louis Robatille they had by far the most penalty minutes)

If they can even things out on special team I think they can make the playoffs. They drew a decent amount of penalties but just couldn’t convert. (though I think if I pulled out the PP’s Josefson was a part of they would have a very good %). The penalty killing unit while forced into many SH opportunities was just awful.

A lot fo those penalties were drawn because of poor puck possession. Many games I watched were one-sided affairs with the Devs getting kept in their own zone. I am going to try and attempt a manual Corsi look at them but as you can imagine it takes a long time.

In Lou We Trust: SBN Blog of the New Jersey Devils

by Tom Stivali on Jul 13, 2011 2:30 PM EDT up reply actions  

I don’t think they’ll make the playoffs, but I think they’’ll be in the race. The thing that torpedoes the Devils’ AHL team every time is injuries at the big club – Albany will start losing its best players. It doesn’t have the kind of talent to make up for that loss.

http://drivingplay.blogspot.com - the blog with three first lines

by Triumph44 on Jul 13, 2011 3:47 PM EDT up reply actions  

I agree that more offense is needed. Patrick O’Sullivan might be an interesting option. He would be a ‘veteran’, although 26 years old, who could provide offense at the AHL level (48pts in 36gms with Houston last year). He has also spent time at the NHL level so if he was called up he might not be totally out of place. He signed at two-way contract last year, maybe he would do it again.

by NJmetal15 on Jul 13, 2011 5:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

Devs are pretty thin at NHL ready (or near ready) forward prospects. Guys like Sestito and Gionta aren’t real prospects. Zalewski and Hoeffel are low level prospects.

The only good forward prospect we have is Henrique.

by Bobby V on Jul 13, 2011 1:36 PM EDT reply actions  

Reid Boucher is looking like a solid pick. Too bad he’s at least 4 years away.

Hell on Ice/In Lou We Trust/Twitter
Talking toilet, you may call me Jane.

by Kevin Sellathamby on Jul 13, 2011 1:58 PM EDT up reply actions  

I agree with both statements!

by Bobby V on Jul 13, 2011 2:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah, I agree, but I don’t really see it as a huge problem though, given that a 2007, 2008, and 2009 pick all played pretty decent in the NHL last year. NJ didn’t draft a forward in 2010 besides Mauro Jorg. Next year Wohlberg will likely be going to Albany.

It will definitely become an organizational problem in 2 years, though. They drafted all college players this year, so I think we’ll see more undrafted free agent forward signings in the next few years to fill the holes.

http://drivingplay.blogspot.com - the blog with three first lines

by Triumph44 on Jul 13, 2011 2:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

I’m not that concerned. With entrenched guys like Kovy, Parise, Josefson & Tedenby I think they are ok the next few years. I think in the next few years you will see them load up on forward talent in the later rounds, similar to what they have done the past few years with defenseman.

In Lou We Trust: SBN Blog of the New Jersey Devils

by Tom Stivali on Jul 13, 2011 2:32 PM EDT up reply actions  

They certainly have plenty of defense and goalie prospects. So focusing on forwards in the draft going forward seams natural.

I was half wondering if they would consider moving Maxim Noreau to RW and carrying him as one of the ‘extra’ players on the 23 man roster. It’s speculation, 100% made up by me in my head and not likely to happen in the real world.

But not completely crazy either. It has to be a better idea then Adam Mair!!!

by Bobby V on Jul 13, 2011 3:13 PM EDT up reply actions  

I hope they don’t trade Gelinas. He would look great in the future New Jersey Devils lineup. He has alot of upside and is going to be a great player for the Devils. I would be really disappointed if they traded him.

by maliky on Jul 13, 2011 8:36 PM EDT reply actions  

I’m interested in where Henrique will play next year as well. I feel like if he’s capable of playing well at center that’s where he should be. He’s been playing wing at the prospect camp so I’m guessing that is probably where he will stay.

As for the defense I would be shocked if Young started next year. Sova was playing ahead of him last year I don’t see why that would change. If they went into next season with those 8 guys Young and Kelly would probably be the extras.

by C.J. Richey on Jul 13, 2011 9:22 PM EDT reply actions  

I’m a bit scared that we haven’t upgraded during the offseason considering our lack of prospects coming up. I mean are we even going to have a rookie on the team next year?

by Mr. Boom on Jul 14, 2011 9:54 AM EDT reply actions  

Do we need to? We have a ton of “Sophmores” so why do we need a rookie? Tedenby Josefson Fayne Taormina Urbom(maybe) Palmieri are all going to be second year players. We don’t need rookies.

by KovyisLove on Jul 14, 2011 10:41 AM EDT up reply actions  

Don’t be scared about it, it’s pretty close to the same roster we were all excited about last summer that got torpedoed by unfortunate events.

While it’s always nice to have a few shiny new toys to show off, the truth of the matter is that the free agent market was pretty weak this year, and most of the guys that would have been affordable upgrades were either locked up before July 1st or overpaid by another team.

Like KovyisLove says, if you look at the roster there is plenty of youth in it. Besides, having rookies isn’t integral to winning… the primary benefit of kids is their low salary to (hopefully) production ratio.

by elesias on Jul 14, 2011 11:12 AM EDT up reply actions  

Larsson iss ssigned and Lou iss on record ass ssaying they intend on hiss playing in North America thiss year… sso how doess thiss affect the Albany defensse?

by elesias on Jul 15, 2011 12:10 PM EDT reply actions  

Did I just read it right? Larsson’s cap hit is $925K?

If true, wow!

by Bobby V on Jul 15, 2011 12:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

I would hope that if Larsson doesnt make NHL team he either goes back to SEL or goes on Tedenby/Josefson plan (10-15 AHL games).

In Lou We Trust: SBN Blog of the New Jersey Devils

by Tom Stivali on Jul 15, 2011 1:32 PM EDT up reply actions  

So playing in the SEL is still an option?

Lou’s quoted as saying they intend for him to play in NA this year, suggesting that if he doesn’t make the NHL team, he’ll be in Albany. Is that, in your opinion, that much worse an option than playing in the SEL?

If he does play in Albany, where do you see him playing as far as pairing, situationally and TOI?

And, finally, if he plays in Albany but does not play more than 9 games in Newark, can his ECL still slide or has this signing changed that in any way?

by elesias on Jul 15, 2011 1:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yes, SEL still an option.

Personally I would rather him play in SEL than AHL. Tougher league. In the AHL he does get more accustomed to the rink size, but I would rather the tougher league.

If he does play in Albany he goes to the top of the list. I like guys like Kelly, Sova and Burlon but unfortunately Larsson’s upside moves him up and gives them less ice time. So your top 4 looks like Noreau/Urbom/Larsson/Leach. Larsson/Urbom as a pairing? Probably 2nd group of PK and PP units.

The one upside for the Albany franchise might be the fact that they can use him to sell some tickets.

If he doesn’t play more than 9 in Newark then yes his contract does slide. I am glad the Devils are willing to burn a year of an ELC if they think the player is ready. I like, as a fan, knowing they are putting what they think are the best players on the ice.

In Lou We Trust: SBN Blog of the New Jersey Devils

by Tom Stivali on Jul 15, 2011 2:05 PM EDT up reply actions  

The SEL is not a significantly better league and plays fewer games. I’d rather have Larsson adjust to the pro schedule and NHL sized rink.

http://drivingplay.blogspot.com - the blog with three first lines

by Triumph44 on Jul 15, 2011 6:05 PM EDT up reply actions  

in the AHL Larsson is ready to jump to the NHL at any point. I am almost sure that at 18 he is still more ready to play than all of the depth D-men at Albany. Wouldn’t you want him to at least dominate in the AHL and get that offensive touch?

by KovyisLove on Jul 16, 2011 8:48 AM EDT up reply actions  

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