Did Fighting Really Benefit the New Jersey Devils in 2010-11?
Upon my last two posts wherein I shared my thoughts and feelings about the recent signings of Eric Boulton and Cam Janssen, I made it clear that I didn't like either signing and later showed that neither can be considered improvements over Adam Mair - a player I don't think any fan will miss in 2011-12 - based on what they did last season. To put it simply, both players are enforcers and to play them in actual NHL games will deny a player with more talent or usefulness in the lineup.
I will admit that I do not like enforcers in general in hockey. They don't play a significant amount of minutes because they often do not make a significant contribution to their team. I don't think they actually "enforce" anything, as players willing to do something cheap or malicious are going to do so regardless of whether they get punched in the face afterward. As nice people as they may be, I'm not convinced they help teams win games - and at the end of the day, that's what I want to see with my time and money. Wins. Results. Not two dudes who stop the game so they can go through their pre-arranged tussle.
However, perhaps I am mistaken. Maybe fighting does have a positive effect for a hockey team. Let's see whether it's true or not by looking at last season. Should fighting have a positive effect, then we should see whether or not the team scored and/or conceded any goals in the period of that fight. I'm focusing only on the period as intermission allows for teams to rest, reset, and re-focused. Should fighting give a team a momentum boost, then they should be scoring goals after some fisticuffs en route to wins, right?
I'll be the first to admit that this is a quick and dirty method, and something I did while specifically looking at Andrew Peters' fights. Only this time, I'm looking at all 37 fighting majors and ignoring whether or not the player won the fight. After all, after nearly every fight, both benches are banging their sticks and hollering their support regardless of result. Plus,
David Clarkson & His 13 Fights
Clarkson led the Devils by a mile with 14 major penalties last season. 13 of these were for fighting. Therefore, he's considered to be the team's "enforcer" even though he has demonstrated that he's got actual hockey skill. What happened in the game after he dropped the gloves?

Key: T.o.F. = Time of Fight within the period; GF in Per. A.F. = Goals For in Period After Fight; GA in Per. A.F. = Goals Against in Period After Fight.
At first you may see this and think, hey, the Devils went 8-5 when Clarkson fought. That's not bad! True. However:
- 3 of Clarkson's fights took place when the Devils were already leading - and the Devils didn't lose either game.
- Only in 2 of Clarkson's 13 fights did the Devils score within the period after the fight to break a deadlock. On 10/21, Parise scored less than a minute after Clarkson's fight. On 3/30, Kovalchuk scored 2:20 after Clarkson's fight. Maybe the fight inspired the Devils to score, or maybe it had nothing to do with it.
- 7 of Clarkson's fights took place while the Devils were losing. Only 2 of those 7 saw the Devils eventually come back to win those games - and in overtime, no less. The first instance was on 11/12, where the Devils pulled one back against the Oilers 3:23 after the fight. It was not an equalizer, the Devils still had more to do as time went on (and had to since they allowed a third goal in the second period. The second instance was on 2/8, when an equalizer was scored 1:38 after the fight.
- For 3 of Clarkson's fights, the other team scored a goal in the same period as the fight. On 2/3, both instances of the Devils and the opposition scoring.
- Incidentally, Clarkson spread out his fights across all three periods: 5 in the first, 4 in the second, and 4 in the third.
Therefore, we have a few examples of a Clarkson fight led to a goal scored for New Jersey. Four, to be exact. Yet, this could be just coincidence. Clarkson fighting someone may have inspired the Devils to do more and therefore broke through. Or it didn't do much as the Devils preyed on a mistake by the opposition, or just broke through based on their hardwork regardless of whether Clarkson or anyone else fought. Most importantly, the majority of Clarkson's fist-on-face battles did not change the outcome of the game - coincidental or otherwise.
The Other 24 Fighting Majors by the Devils in 2010-11
That takes care of Clarkson, what about the rest of the team, who combined for 24? Adam Mair led the rest of the field with 5, which I do not think is enough to warrant a separate table. Therefore, I grouped them all here:
In many ways, the "field" is a bigger indictment of the notion that fighting had a positive effect for the Devils. Here are the biggest points I found when putting this together:
- 8 times the Devils got into a fight while they were already winning, 6 of them did not lead to any additional goals, 2 did, and the Devils won all 8 games. By contrast, the Devils got into 8 fights while the Devils were losing in the game - and went on to lose all 8. Their record was 3-4 in those games where they fought when the score was tied.
- Only after 3 out of these 24 fights did the Devils score a goal in the same period. For two of them, the Devils were already winning and would go on to win it regardless. The third took place when the Devils were down 1-3 to the Avalanche on 10/15, and the goal only resulted in a 2-3 loss.
- After 7 of these 24 fights did the opposition score a goal after the fight. The Devils lost on all 7 of those nights, 4 of them took place while the Devils were losing, and 3 of them happened when the game was tied.
- The majority of these 24 fights took place in early in the game. 14 were in the first period, more than the second (4) and third (6) periods combined.
Considering the rest of the Devils fighting, this seems to suggest that fighting really didn't have that much of a benefit for the Devils last season - even if it was only coincidence.
Let's Talk About Momentum
Again, I will say that the above may not be the best way to evaluate the effect of fights. Shots after the fight may be more instructive. I will admit this is a quick and dirty method and assumes that a change of momentum is meaningful when a goal is scored (or allowed) within the same period after the fight.
However, that assumption on momentum is predicated on something like a fight changing it. Who's to say that's the only thing that can affect it? Certainly many things in a hockey game can cause a change. A big hit could swing momentum. The goaltender making a few crucial and impressive saves could improve momentum. A few good, positive shifts in a row could change it too. A penalty leading to a power play could change the course of the game. Of course, so could a goal. All of these things can happen after a fight and could have just as much of an impact on the flow of the game as would a fight. By singling out fights, we are forced to make a big assumption. Were we not to single them out, then we may find the fight could be overshadowed by other events.
Lastly, having momentum is not a prerequisite for success. It certainly helps, but a team can certainly catch a break after being pinned back or get real lucky in scoring a goal. Goals can come against the run of play, for lack of a better term.
Considering all of this, I'm even more skeptical of the effects - positive or negative - of fighting in general with respect to the game it takes place in. On top of
What do you think? Did you find these findings surrounding the Devils' fighting majors to be of somewhat important? Do you think less of their impact given momentum in general along with the results surrounding them anyway? Please leave your thoughts and answers in the comments. Thanks for reading.
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get rid of it
This will draw a sea of negative reactions but I think its time the NHL seriously reconsider what it thinks fighting adds to their game, and think about doing away with it. I remember reading an article a couple years ago that there are elements in the NHL heirarchy that would like to see fighting out of the game, but of course the players union will have none of this due to the number of players who make their living by it being allowed. In any case, fighting for me has always been a distraction, totally irrelevant to why I love watching hockey, and frankly, occasionally its been an embarrassment as I know people who are completely turned off the NHL because of fighting. The NHL in my view would loose nothing on the ice, and increase its appeal to a braoder base of people by eliminating fighting. Morever, as this post indicates, the connection between fighting and actual play and momentum on the ice is murky at best. The burden is on those who feel fight is integral to what hockey is about to explay WHY this so in substantive terms, espesially in considering that hockey thrives around the world and in other venues (all of Europe, the Olympics, and College Hockey) where fighting is both strictly prohibited, extermely rare, and not in any way essential to the game in those places.
good post. I think if the nhl did a consumer research poll they could get a better grasp on this. lets say the polled every fan the entered an arean for a game for a month just to see how they felt about fighting. They could have three answers dont like it, like it, and dont care. They could use this to help see if fighting is really needed in the game. Its obvious they dont really want it since they crack down on it a lot more in the playoffs, when a larger audience is watching.
Disclaimer: i enjoy fighting in hockey, but i do support the notion that it may not be needed in the game.
by poopydoodie11 on Jul 17, 2011 8:13 PM EDT up reply actions
also suggestive of the fact that fighting is not essential to the game is rather a distraction is the fact that fighting is extremely rare in the playoffs when stakes are highest and teams are most focused. the fact that fighting occurs only in the first season (the regular season) adds to the argument of people who say they dont watch hockey in the regular season because it isnt has meaningful and competitive in the playoffs. one way for the NHL to address that would be to eliminate fighting. (another way would be to make the rules of the game the same for regular and playoff games; I believe the NHL is the only major sport that actually decides game differently in the playoffs than it does in the regulars season)
Whoa nellie
Getting rid of it will cause more problems than solve. You take away, granted an illegal, but “allowed” aspect of a game where 12 men are skating around a limited area, with sticks, beating and banging themselves, then the safest avenue to release those frustrations is completely disallowed rather than simply harshly penalized, and you’re going to see the frustrations come out by more stick swinging, slashing, cross-checking, etc. Very few significant injuries occur from fighting, other than the injury inflicted upon ones self. I’d be willing to bet breaking your own hand is the most common injury caused by a fight. You slash someone with a two hander across the wrists, that’s definitely worse than anything you could do to hurt yourself in a fight.
Take fighting away and say hello to more injuries inflicted out of frustration.
Now, as far as statistically whether a fight turns the momentum of a game and has a positive impact – throw away all the fights that occur later than halfway through the third period when your team is behind by 3 or more, and any that occur when your team is behind by 4 or more. The intent of those fights is not to turn the momentum of a game that is still winnable, but rather to send a message to the other team. Also, more than the current score as far as the situation has to enter into the equation. Sure you may be up 3-2 when the fight occurred, but if you were up 3-0 46 seconds earlier, the fight is an attempt to stop the momentum train the other team has just boarded. And since the fight DID happen, there’s no way of knowing how things would have occurred without the fight, so too much analysis is moot.
Like it or not, fighting has its place in the game. If you don’t have someone on your team that you won’t miss being off the ice for 5 minutes, you’re shorthanded even at even strength.
Let me ask everybody a question about those 2 Kovalchuk fights. How many here would have preferred Eric Boulton was on the team and took those fights and let Kovy still be available to score goals?
Go Devils
Go Jets
Need to lose weight?
Let me ask everybody a question about those 2 Kovalchuk fights. How many here would have preferred Eric Boulton was on the team and took those fights and let Kovy still be available to score goals?
The first Kovalchuk fight was in the Washington debacle when the game was long gone. Ilya’s presence for the last handful of minutes of that game wouldn’t have changed a darn thing…. and considering how chippy the game was getting by then, I think it’s just as well that Kovy wasn’t around to possibly get hurt by a cheap shot.
The second Toronto fight is a little bit of a different story…. but I’m not too opposed to it. Per the box score, Kovalchuk fought with Dion Phaneuf. While I won’t condone this sort of thing happening very often (Phaneuf is capable of hurting Kovalchuk in a fight), it isn’t the worst “trade” in the world when it is for the other team’s #1 defenseman. Also consider that the Devils were playing putrid hockey at the time — MacLean had been fired a few days before, and the Devils were about to start 1-7-0 under Lemaire. I’m not happy with that fight, and I’m not thrilled that Kovalchuk spent five minutes in the box when the team was struggling in general…. but I don’t think it had that much of an impact on things.
Incidentally, the Devils were atrocious that night in general. Brodeur was pulled after two periods (having allowed 3 goals on 14 shots)…. and the lone Devils’ goal that night was scored on the power play by Rod Pelley of all people.
disagree
I think you are making a BIG assumption in your first point about no fighting equals more injuries because players will slash more, etc. First, if those other forms of retaliation are stricly penalized and policed, players obviously wont take them. Second, you would have to show that in all of Europe, all international and Olymnic competitions, and college hockey injuries are occuring at a far higher rate than in the NHL because fighting is not allowed there. Actually, my guess is you would find more injuries in the NHL than in those places partly because each team carries players who only fight, and then they are not fighting those same players are looking to give someone a cheap shot or a slash. Eliminate fighting you get those players out of the game, and you see a descrease in injuries because of it.
The intent of those fights is not to turn the momentum of a game that is still winnable, but rather to send a message to the other team.
And what message would that be? That we cannot win the game, so we’re going to inflict some pain? That we don’t have the skills tonight to make it work, so we’re going to make a debacle of things? That we cannot handle frustration and emotion like professionals and resort to punches and scrums?
And since the fight DID happen, there’s no way of knowing how things would have occurred without the fight, so too much analysis is moot.
But we do know what happened AFTER the fight, which is indicative of whether it had any actual significant event on the game itself.
Devils in my heart! Devils in my mind! Devils in my eyes! Devils until I die!
In Lou We Trust - The New Jersey Devils SBN Blog
by John Fischer on Jul 17, 2011 10:56 PM EDT up reply actions
First, the idea that getting rid of fighting will make the NHL more popular is a logical phalicy. That’s the same arguement they used when they stuck in the instigator penalty and popularity didn’t rise significantly. Those people that say they won’t watch hockey because of fighting would find another reason to not watch hockey if the NHL got rid of fighting.
Second, if hockey is THRIVING in Europe, then why do all their best players come to this league to play. The idea of THRIVING means that there is money in other markets to pay them a competitive salary, and there is enough prestige associated with those teams that players want to stay and play for them. Also, the only reason non-hockey fans watched hockey in the Olympics is the same reason non-soccer fans watched the women’s world cup, the USA is involved. We are a patriotic people and we root for our country. Don’t tell me that non-hockey fans would have watched a Russia vs Canada Olympic finals, because that is just not true.
Don’t get me wrong, I don’t think fighting is essential. I do enjoy it though. I enjoy it alot. I would be very upset if they removed fighting and for the first year I might go to less games. (I go to 10 games a year on average, more if I can afford it) However, I wouldn’t stop watching hockey if they got rid of it. I feel that fighting is unique to hockey, its one of the things that turned me on to the sport. I’ll never forget the first game I went to when I was 4 years old. I thought it was so cool that they would just stop the game and let 2 guys punch each other in the face and then go on afterwards like it wasn’t a big deal. I for one don’t want to see it go and I would miss it.
There is nothing quite as satisfying as out running security after you've punched out a Flyers fan!
"I was in the moment, and the moment said smack you." - Bruce Willis
by slackdog_rm on Jul 18, 2011 12:48 PM EDT up reply actions
my spelling sucks, lol
There is nothing quite as satisfying as out running security after you've punched out a Flyers fan!
"I was in the moment, and the moment said smack you." - Bruce Willis
good article. I agree with the idea that fighting doesnt lead to results, but i do think that it needs to be considered that not all fights are to give a team momentum. Sometimes a player may just be sticking up for a teamate or reacting to a guy on the other team pissing him off. (see travis zajacs fight with chris letang this year, it had nothing to do with momentum. letang just pissed off travis so they dropped the gloves) overall i do agree with the idea the fighting has little to do with a teams success. Although i generally ignore what he says, Dave maloney made a good point this year when he said, “what if you could only dress 15 guys (not including goalies)” you would see fighting become almost non existent as teams would not waste a spot on the enforcer role.
You say he went 8-5 but then state why some of those wins might not have had a results on the game. Same could be said about some of the fights during the losses like the two against the caps which were way out of reach as well as the one against the Islanders when we were down 5-1. Essentially you could do what you did and eliminate those games and say we went 8-2 when Clarkson fought and the game was close.
You could selectively ignore some games like that, sure.
Devils in my heart! Devils in my mind! Devils in my eyes! Devils until I die!
In Lou We Trust - The New Jersey Devils SBN Blog
by John Fischer on Jul 17, 2011 10:54 PM EDT up reply actions
Plus....
Looking at anything the Devils did in the first half of 2010-11 hoping to find something positive is pointless.
Go Devils
Go Jets
Need to lose weight?
zing!
Hell on Ice/In Lou We Trust/Twitter
Talking toilet, you may call me Jane.
by Kevin Sellathamby on Jul 18, 2011 8:25 AM EDT up reply actions
You can probably throw “momentum” into the myth dustbin as well.
by Kent Wilson on Jul 18, 2011 1:59 AM EDT reply actions 1 recs
Fights are big parts of the game, and can be game changing in certain situations, pending on who fights. Also, in terms of fighting if you don’t like it simply don’t look.
I remember one fight that stands out, in the Philly Penguins series (I believe the 2008 one) the Flyers had the whole game wrapped up to take it to 7 until Carcillo got into a dumb fight with Max Talbot. Suddenly the tables turned and the Penguin stars went and scored a few goals to beat the Flyers and win the series. At the time all Flyer fans were calling for Carcillo’s head.
You can always cherry pick a few examples to augment whichever side of the debate you happen to be on. The real question becomes: are those handful of examples the rule, or the exception to the rule?
Considering the Flyers are normally well above “League average” in terms of fights on a year-to-year basis, and the Penguins were also near the top of the League last year (with some assistance from the Islanders), perhaps a better picture of momentum following a fight could be gleaned from doing this analysis on them? (No, I’m not going to do it…. but someone who wants to “prove” that fighting is great for momentum might want to try that set of data points instead of John’s analysis above on the Devils.)
not too sophisticated
You again are trying to quantify something that is pure passion, adreniline, emotion. Its part of the fabric and lore of the game. Lets say you take fighting out of the game completely; Lunkheads go home we don’t want you anymore. We want games where offense is the montra and new order of the day. all players must be certified to be able to pass at a certain level, stick handle at a certain level and skate at a certain level because we’ve evolved as a sport and society where we don’t need these lunkheads slowing our game down.
Great, finally, we get to see pure skilled hockey not WWE on skates. Boring..Snooze wait isn’t this the all star game basically where guys are focused on what they do best and don’t have to worry about being plowed into the 1st row of spectators, of being spiked into the glass and boards.
Gee I love salty and spicy foods but they say its bad for you so I won’t eat any of it.
I like going on vacation so I think I’ll just go on vacation 1/2 of the year.I enjoy a beer or 2 so I bet if i have 6 to 8 that’ll be that much better.
Its called moderation and its what defines life, sports, work, play, ying, yang and just about any other thing U do on this planet. How much of one thing encompasses something with is all personal preference. Fighting is sometimes the culmanation of events or plays on the ice. Just because you don’t eat salty food or will only have 1-2 beers or would rather be at work than play doesn’t mean that your opinion is right or wrong its what your personal preference is.
Just because some people enjoy goals or skilled plays more or only, than good hard physical play and consequential fights doesn’t make 1 more right than the other. Gee I guess I’m lucky because there’s nothing about the game that I don’t like right now as I enjoy it all. I think the league has it right except for 1 thing is that ever since they’ve tried curtailing fighting maybe you ought to do a comparison study on why some of the best skilled players seem to have more and more concussions and cheap shots being featured on the news are more prevelant. Maybe your smart enough to conclude that fighting is and will be an ingrained, necessary part of hockey at the highest level and if and when they take it out my NHL, its going to taste bland.
Hitting =/= fighting. You can have the former without the latter.
Fighters who can’t skate, play defense or score take a roster spot and $ away from players who can. If I want to watch a fight, I buy a ticket to UFC and don’t expect a hockey game. If I want to watch hockey, I buy a Devs ticket and don’t expect the WWE.
Call me silly, but I prefer my Hockey to be played by guys who can play, rather than by guys who happen to be able to throw a punch while standing on skates.
That said, you need a guy who can floor a Cooke or Gillies or Cap’n Elbows or Gigantor when he takes a shot at one of your guys to try and hurt him. Just not sure we need 2 roster spots devoted to guys who can ONLY do that.
The question is not how far. The question is, do you possess the constitution, the depth of faith, to go as far as is needed? - Il Duce
This
I happen to enjoy fighting in hockey; I think it serves a purpose and, hell, I find it immensely entertaining. Pure goons are absolutely a waste of space, though.
In this case, it seems to me that Boulton can at least play some serviceable hockey on the fourth line in addition to his enforcer role, so I’m fine with it. The really head scratching part was that Lou signed Boulton and Janssen on the same day. Just seems redundant and a waste of money/roster space.
Status quo.
Janssen was signed Thursday. Same F&I article, Janssen’s agent contacted Steve Pellegrini after he saw Leblond was traded. Might not have been completely Lou’s call, or Lou knew for sure he was working on Boulton and Cam was always an Albany transaction.
Boulton was signed Friday
Go Devils
Go Jets
Need to lose weight?
What, did JF have to tap you on the shoulder you 4th line poster and rebuff my goonish post on fighting? U see it even works in cyberspace. Or RU not sophisticated enuff to see that either. Stay in the shallow end lapdog!
I’m guessing that since using a lot of words that actually say nothing, piling logical fallacy upon logical fallacy, and providing anecdotes and opinions as facts isn’t working, you’re attempting to resort to petty insults as a means to advance your argument—or at least discredit me and thus mine—and can’t even do that right.
Come back and give it another shot when you’ve learned how to converse like a grown-up.
This is an unintentionally hilarious comment.
Devils in my heart! Devils in my mind! Devils in my eyes! Devils until I die!
In Lou We Trust - The New Jersey Devils SBN Blog
by John Fischer on Jul 18, 2011 11:38 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions
U R just not sophisticated enuff to understand the intricacies of his argument, John
Status quo.
by nyynygnjd on Jul 18, 2011 12:01 PM EDT up reply actions 3 recs
Clearly.
Devils in my heart! Devils in my mind! Devils in my eyes! Devils until I die!
In Lou We Trust - The New Jersey Devils SBN Blog
by John Fischer on Jul 18, 2011 12:32 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions
UR correct sir this did become very amusing. This isn't a serious game this is hockey
John all kidding and disagreeing aside I’m glad U did see the humor that is there. Thanx again to all your staff for doing great work. After all we’re all Devs fans and I’m hoping Cam just throttles one of those punks from Syracuse opening nite. I can always agree to disagree just not the opposite. I cant disagree to agree. but not about fighting.
Well, the interwebs are for arguing anonymously with zero reprecussion for the words you choose, or for porn. And given that there isn’t a drip of porn to be found around here, the obligation for the former becomes paramount?
Oh, and it’s summer, and we’re bored while we wait for a pretty important signing, a head coach to be selected and camp to begin. And I hate baseball, so trolling the boards waiting for intelligent people to passive-agressively start arguing with those possessing inferior debate skills is all I got left man.
The question is not how far. The question is, do you possess the constitution, the depth of faith, to go as far as is needed? - Il Duce
I’m seeing by your inflamed retort that I’ve angered U. My main point on fighting and the nature of hockey in general is that its part of the fabric of the game now for 80-90-100 years.
Why would you deprive todays warriors of their legacy of playing the game the way it has always and hopefully will be played.
If the Devs were really smart they’d operate their powerplay @ an effective rate of 20% or better and teams would be more worried about dressing skilled players to keep up with them scoring instead of trying to run them.
But maybe thats another discussion, anyway I don’t know if you remember a little series played in lieu of the All star game in 1987 called Rendez-vous "87 played in best of 3 format in Quebec. The best of the NHL vs the USSR red army team. That was great hockey my friend the NHL had a line of Gretzky- Mario- and I think Mats Naslund that scored the game winner late in Game 3 to win the series for the NHL. Terrific hockey, not one fight, It felt almost as big as a Cup final. Hockey played so skilled and clean it was awesome. However there are 30 teams and for the sake of competitive balance they put in a salary cap and your team is made up of players that aren’t the best of the best so they do whats needed to be done for their team to win. Their weren’t any “goons” dressed in ‘87 because U didn’t need them, Capiche’ comprendos’ Pretty simple stuff.
And as far as Physical play not turning around games or series I’ll give 2 more famous examples. Summit series Flyers vs. Russia in the goon house and Captain Crunch’s hit on Kozlov in "95…………………..Your next!
it would be so much easier to follow this arguement if you would utilize the “reply” feature rather than making new posts.
Thanks much and have a happy day.
The question is not how far. The question is, do you possess the constitution, the depth of faith, to go as far as is needed? - Il Duce
If the Devs were really smart they’d operate their powerplay @ an effective rate of 20% or better and teams would be more worried about dressing skilled players to keep up with them scoring instead of trying to run them.
It isn’t like teams can simply decide how effective they wish to be on the Power Play. The other team’s PK unit has something to say about this as well, as does their goalie. The lack of success while a man up doesn’t have a whole lot to do with “smart” or “not smart”. Admittedly, a team with a poorly designed scheme isn’t liable to succeed all that often, but a team with a good scheme and terrific talent isn’t necessarily going to succeed, either.
Teams whose Power Play success was >=20% since the lockout:
2010-2011: 6 (Vancouver, San Jose, Anaheim, Detroit, Chicago, Tampa)
2009-2010: 7 (Washington, Montreal, Philadelphia, San Jose, Anaheim, Vancouver, Los Angeles)
2008-2009: 9 (Detroit, Washington, San Jose, Boston, Anaheim, Philadelphia, Buffalo, St. Louis, Minnesota)
2007-2008: 4 (Montreal, Philadelphia, Detroit, Pittsburgh)
2006-2007: 5 (Montreal, San Jose, Anaheim, Pittsburgh, Colorado)
2005-2006: 4 (Detroit, Toronto, Buffalo, Ottawa)
As you can see, there aren’t that many teams who can convert at your magical 20% efficiency on the power play over a full season. One of the teams you see the most on there is Detroit, and they are at the bottom of the League every season in fighting majors. The Red Wings don’t seem to feel the need to have goons to “protect” their good players, and they’re quite possibly the most successful franchise in the NHL the last two decades and chock full o’ skilled players. On the other end of the spectrum, Philadelphia has also been prolific with the man advantage in recent years, and they seem to try and channel the Broad Street Bullies of the days of yore.
In short, there isn’t a correlation between fighting/hitting and anything else. You’re trying to force a relationship that simply isn’t there by cherry-picking specific examples that work to your benefit and ignore the ones that refute your theory.
And as far as Physical play not turning around games or series I’ll give 2 more famous examples.
Two solid examples, yes. But are they the exception or the rule itself? If this is typical, and fighting/intimidation leads to greater team success, you ought to be able to cite a multitude of cases and not just a handful.
Considering that you have put forth the point of view that one “needs” goons and fighters, the onus is on you to demonstrate how that leads to teams winning. You’re the prosecution in this “case” — therefore it is your job to prove your case beyond a reasonable doubt. Here’s a hint: name-calling and ad hominem attacks against your detractors doesn’t do it.
From the Bruins……
During the 2011 Stanley Cup run, Shawn Thornton was a healthy scratch for several games as the Bruins chose to play Tyler Seguin to gain more offense. However, many credit the insertion of Thornton into the lineup during Game 3 of the Finals as the turning point for the series.His physical play changed the tone of the series and the Bruins went on to win four of the last 5 games with him in the lineup.
We could do this forever. You cite some random piece of anecdotal evidence to support your argument and it gets torn to shreds, which you then completely ignore and post some other piece of anecdotal evidence to support the same argument.
Let’s do this one last time, since it’s become increasingly evident that you believe what you believe and no amount of contrary evidence or discrediting your argument will change your mind.
During the 2011 Stanley Cup run, Shawn Thornton was a healthy scratch for several games as the Bruins chose to play Tyler Seguin to gain more offense.
Several is a slight understatement. He played in 18 of Boston’s 25 playoff games.
However, many credit the insertion of Thornton into the lineup during Game 3 of the Finals as the turning point for the series.
Who does this? Who are “many” exactly?
Do they credit Game 3 being played in Boston as having anything to do with it? Or that they went into Game 3 down 2-0 in the series and, for all intents and purposes, it was a must-win game? Do these people credit Thornton’s presence as important to all of Boston’s 8 goals that day, or just some of them?
His physical play changed the tone of the series and the Bruins went on to win four of the last 5 games with him in the lineup.
How so? This statement suggests that Shawn Thornton—he of 9.6 shifts per game in the playoffs, 6:57 TOI/G; one of only 2 guys on the team to finish with a negative +/- on a team that outscored its opposition while he was on the roster by a count of 21-4; zero fighting majors; and a 0% shooting percentage—changed the entire series by throwing hits and “being physical.”
It almost seems like it might be a viable theory until one looks at the roster of the Boston Bruins and realizes that it’s not exactly like they were hurting for physical presences without him.
I can’t break down who threw what individual hits without sorting through every game’s play-by-play, something I have no intention of doing, but in both Games 1 and 2, without Thornton, Boston was credited with 31 hits (compared to 30 and 40 for VAN). With Thornton from Game 3 on they were credited with 39, 27, 27, 43, 29 (average 33). In the same games, Vancouver was credited with 31, 27, 47, 38, 47 (average 38), so if hitting = winning, they should have won, especially Game 7 at home where they vastly outhit Boston 47-29.
In the end, what you have is a coincidence that Shawn Thornton was inserted into the line-up in Game 3 and the team started winning. No matter how badly you want there to be, there is no apparent correlation between those two things, and to continue to suggest there was deliberately overlooks other, more likely, factors.
by elesias on Jul 21, 2011 10:51 AM EDT up reply actions 2 recs

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