9/26/2011 New Jersey Devils Prospect Update
The first prospect update of 2011-12 is now upon us! While there isn't much to report at this time, I thought this a good opportunity to catch up the happenings of the summer, look at who is new to the system and where they are playing this season and discuss expectations I have for a few of the New Jersey Devils prospects.
Who's new?
Well, the whole 2011 draft class. John recapped the draft back in June here and I added some thoughts here.
Forwards Blake Coleman, Blake Pietila, Reid Boucher along with defensemen Adam Larsson, Patrick Daly and Reece Scarlett are all now Devils property.
In the table below you will be able to see the school/team each of the Devils prospects are scheduled to play for this year. I've added birth year to my list so you have the ability compare point totals for various players realizing some point totals may be more impressive than others.
As there are a total of three games played so far (two by Scarlett and one by Boucher)
Note: As you can probably tell by the listing below I don't list every player in the system. If there are other players in the system you would like followed just list that player out in the comments section.
Who's gone?
As most are aware Alexander Vasyunov passed away tragically during the off-season on a flight with the Lokomotive KHL club.
David McIntyre was dealt to the Minnesota Wild for defenseman Maxim Noreau.
(Unfortunately Noreau has signed in the Italian League, but still remains property of the Devils and will be a RFA when/if he decides to return to the NHL. You can read my views on the trade here)
What's happened this summer?
Adam Larsson signed with New Jersey just in time to ensure that he has the ability to be assigned to the AHL if he is not able to make the NHL roster. (At this point though, does anyone expect him not to make the NHL roster?)
Reid Boucher, scheduled to play in the USHL for one season before fulfilling a committment to Michigan State University decided to de-commit and head to the OHL and the Sarnia Sting. With potential top 2011 draft prospect Nail Yakupov, top 2012 draft prospect Alexander Galchenyuk, and not to mention 2011 Phoenix Coyotes first round pick Conner Murphy, Sarnia should make a deep run in the OHL playoffs.
One of the benefits to Boucher being drafted out of the USHL and now signing with a CHL team is that once the Devils sign him to an entry level contract he is available to play for the team's AHL affiliate at age 18/19. If drafted out of USHL, the AHL/CHL agreement is not applicable.
Maxime Clermont inked an entry-level-contract over the summer and is likely to start the year in the AHL or ECHL. While still eligible to play junior hockey as an overage player he is currently not on the Gatineau Olympiques roster nor is he rumored to be playing anywhere else at this time. I think an ECHL assignment would be the likeliest scenario here. That said, he is part of an organization with NHL goaltenders at the ages of 39 and 38 along with AHL goaltenders who have never played more than 50 games in a season (Kinkaid) or have been injury prone (Frazee). I expect him to suit up for 10-15 games for Albany this year.
Thoughts and hopes for the year to come for players in the NCAA:
Blake Coleman a third round pick from the Indiana Ice of the USHL steps onto a Miami-Ohio team (Andy Greene's alma-mater) that loses two dynamic scorers in Carter Camper (19g-38a-57pts in 39 games played)and Hobey Baker Award Winner Andy Miele(24g-47a-71pts in 39 games played). At 19, Coleman will be expected to hit the ground running. With his 92 points in 59 games last year for the Ice, I think it is realistic to expect a point-per-game campaign from him in his freshman season.
David Wohlberg returns to a Michigan team that lost top scorer Carl Hagelin to graduation. This season will be a test for Wohlberg to (1) show that he is more than a complimentary scorer on a good team and (2) that there are no lingering effects from the broken collarbone that ended his season last year. I am bullish on Wohlberg and see a Hobey Baker nomination in his future.
With Joe Faust and Patrick Daly the Devils have two defenseman on the Wisconsin Badgers roster. With the departure of Jake Gardiner there will be opportunities for defenseman to sieze a bigger role this year. Faust played sparingly last year but would seem to be first in line for more minutes. For an in-depth preview at the Wisconsin team head over to SBNation site Bucky's Fifth Quarter
Jon Merrill loses some defensive help (Brandon Burlon, defensive partner Chad Langlais) but that shouldn't stop him for continuing his solid play for the Wolverines. If he has another season like last year, I would be surprised if he decides to stay for his junior and senior seasons.
Some random predictions:
The division of games at the AHL level is Kinkaid-45, Frazee-20, Clermont-10.
Mike Hoeffel, if in Albany the entire year, notches 20-25 goals.
Brandon Burlon leads Albany defenseman in even-strength points.
Alexander Urbom gets the call to the NHL about 1/5 of the way through the year and sticks with the big club covering injuries.
Final Items:
Over the course of the year I will provide some interviews with hockey folks who have actually seen these players play the games. I think this first hand knowledge and access is important for a few reasons, most importantly I am not just relaying stats and saying 'This guy is good'. That's just a bad approach. I want some teeth behind that sort of statement and you, the reader, deserves more than simple regurgitation of statistics you can ultimately find on your own.
The downside of this approach is of course not having a resource for every player. So while you may not see a Q and A with someone who watches Michigan Tech hockey and sees Blake Pietela it won't be for a lack of trying.
Thanks for reading and sound off below with any prospect predictions you might have for this season or any other comments you may have. Also feel free to use the comments as an ability to ask me a question about a prospect. If I don't know it off the top of my head, I will get you an answer...eventually :)
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Boucher’s going to have a huge year IF he gets to consistently play with Yakupov and Galchenyuk. A lot like Henrique two years ago with Taylor Hall.
I’d prefer for Clermont to go back to juniors. He was great during the playoffs, but it’s not like he was tearing it up during the regular season, so it’s not like he’s got nothing to learn by staying in juniors. Now that the Devils don’t own their own ECHL affiliate, I’m not sure how much control they have over prospect development – will Clermont get starters’ minutes in the ECHL?
I’m worried about Albany. I just don’t see where their scoring will come from. 25g from Hoeffel would be nice but he doesn’t dish out many assists – he’s a guy that needs a strong center to set him up. If Henrique makes the big club, Albany will be left devoid of any offensive talent. There’s a real need to trade some of the surplus defensive prospects for forward prospects that are AHL-appropriate right now.
I’d prefer for Clermont to go back to juniors. He was great during the playoffs, but it’s not like he was tearing it up during the regular season, so it’s not like he’s got nothing to learn by staying in juniors. Now that the Devils don’t own their own ECHL affiliate, I’m not sure how much control they have over prospect development – will Clermont get starters’ minutes in the ECHL?
Once you return a player to junior, he’s there all year except under emergency conditions at the NHL level. Someone can correct me on this, but I am pretty sure it is correct. I don’t really think whether Clermont gets starters’ minutes in the ECHL or not is important, because he’s not going to be there for long – a goalie will get injured, and Clermont will be the AHL backup. The other option has Clermont wasting a spot on the reserve list while providing nothing to the team at any level.
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It’s easy enough to return Clermont to juniors and sign a free agent to be an AHL backup/ECHL goalie. Clermont wouldn’t occupy a reserve list spot because he’s not signed yet, and he gets big minutes playing in juniors. The question is whether 10-20 games at the AHL level plus whatever he plays in the ECHL is deemed better for his development than playing 60 in juniors. I could see it being argued either way, but whether he’d be a starter in the ECHL is an important question because if he’s not, the guy could easily end up playing 25 games or less, in total, the entire year.
yes. he’s over 20.
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Well he is 19, but in the eyes of the CBA he is 20 based upon his birthday. If he turned 20 on Jan 1, then his contract could slide.
It’s interesting that if they signed him to a deal LAST year when he was 18, he could slide again this year, but they didn’t so now he has a reserve spot.
I am not too worried about him playing 60 plus games. I think he can develop with 30/40 between ECHL/AHL. Remember that he has been playing in the Q for four years so he has a lot of games under his belt already.
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by Tom Stivali on Sep 27, 2011 11:58 AM EDT up reply actions
Regarding Albany’s scoring – the defense is going to be much better, and that should help. You’ve got Wiseman, Zalewski, and Anderson capable of having 25 goal seasons. The team might be low scoring but they could sneak into the playoff race if they get solid goaltending and defense. NJ is never going to sign players who can score 40 at the AHL level and they’re not going to leave guys doing that in the minors, so this is going to be a constant problem.
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Wiseman and Zalewski were placed on waivers on Monday. Also on the waiver wire is Stephen Gionta, and our old friend Tyler Eckford in Phoenix.
I’m not sure that it has any impact on any of the discussions above…. but I did think it was worth a mention.
They had to be placed on waivers to be sent to Albany. As will Sestito, Anderson, Harrold and a few others.
There is an Albany pre-season game tomorrow so perhaps that is why a few players went down early. But as we saw with Rolston/Salmela last year you can go through waivers and not actually be assigned back to Albany.
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Yeah, I don’t expect any of these people to be picked up on waivers.
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