Devils Goaltending Stats at 42 Games
The Devils have just passed the mid-way point of the 2011-2012 season. There is much to discuss about this team: their strengths, their weaknesses, their inconsistencies, etc.. One major talking point has been goaltending. This season, head coach Pete DeBoer had many questions regarding the Devils situation. Would veteran goalies Martin Brodeur and Johan Hedberg share the helm? Would the future Hall of Fame netminder go back to his days of taking the majority (not 70-75 games) of starts.
I was responsible for the goaltending portion of this season's ILWT preview. I stated Marty would get close to 60 games, even 65 with Moose getting the rest. I also stated that Marty starting both games on back-to-backs should be held to a minimum, which they have. DeBoer has stated he will use both goalies in this instance. Around the end of November, I compared both Marty and Moose. At that point, they played in about the same amount of games. I wanted to see if they would continue to share to helm.
Well at roughly the midpoint of the season, how has DeBoer used his goalies? He was only faced with an injury dilemma in November when Marty was injured with a sore shoulder. How have each of the goalies been in consecutive starts or more? How have they been in a more sharing role (back and forth)?
There's more after the jump including a poll.
Quickly, let's recap some overall goalie stats. At 5-on-5, the Devils rank last in terms of save percentage at 0.897. They are however the 2nd best team at 4-on-5 at 0.935. At even strength (which includes 5-on-5, 4-on-4, 3-on-3) - they have a 0.905 save %. For most of play during the season, their stats have been sub-par.
Here are the goalies basic stats:
| Goalie | GPI | GS | Min | GAA | W | L | OT | SO | SA | GA | Sv% | G | A | PIM |
| Martin Brodeur | 26 | 26 | 1389 | 2.98 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 635 | 69 | 0.891 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Johan Hedberg | 20 | 16 | 1165 | 2.52 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 527 | 49 | 0.907 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
At this point, Marty has started a lot more games than Hedberg recently. Since December 1st, Marty has started 14 games whereas Moose just 5 (this doesn't include the 3 games in relief). Marty has started in 2 or more games in a row on 5 separate occasions to Hedberg's 2 (one being the lengthy array or games when Marty was hurt). At a point in November where it possibly looked like both goalies may share the Number 1 role, Marty looks to be taking the role.
Marty's even strength save percentage is 0.894 (the team shoots at a 7.9% rate). Hedberg is higher at 0.918 (where the team shoots at 8.5%). Marty has been given 38 goals to support him in 26 games while giving up 54. Hedberg has 37 goals of support while letting up 34 in 20 games.
Here's a look at the Devils running save % for the year:

As you saw from Kevin's PDO post yesterday, that stat is rising (up until last game). Since this running save % related to that, you can notice the slight increase in the last 5 of so games. Last night's game was a big hit. The save % has been around the 0.900 mark all season. Is it safe to suggest it will stay like this? Since PDO tends to even out at around 1000, it may rise, but the problem is when. Maybe in the last 5 or so games, it has begun?
In terms of recent trends, Marty has gain the advantage of starting in consecutive games or more. Moose has has the advantage of rest. They have been sharing back to backs. Should they switch this role? Is Marty getting too much?
I'm really not sure what they should do. Yes Moose has the better starts with less games. He's getting more goal support and has the advantage of resting. However he's only played in 6 home games. Marty and Moose have both bailed out the team with some stellar saves, yet at the same time have let in some softies. Would this even chance if they changed their roles.
I would expect no, and I wouldn't expect DeBoer to change any of that and keep on with this set up. There aren't many back to backs but there are many games schedule in the coming two months including a 3 games in 5 days and 5 games in 10 days. Thus Moose may get an extra start here and there.
Now for the poll:
How do you want the goalie set up for the rest of the season? The current set up with Marty starting in 3 to 4 straight games and Moose in one of the back-to-backs and other game here? Would you want that more evened out? Would you want that role switched?
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All my snark aside, I fully understand and accept that Martin Brodeur is not “Martin Brodeur, super star.” Yet, it’s not like Moose is a really superior option. Hedberg’s numbers look good mostly from having a great October. Since then, it’s not unlike Brodeur’s and last night’s game really hammered that home.
Sadly, they’re average at best at this point in either careers. I’d expect Brodeur’s numbers to go up, Hedberg’s to go down a bit. I don’t think the Devils are going to try and add salary to get a goaltender in February, or a seventh goalie to the system; so it really falls on the skaters to really pick it up in terms of shots on net. If we accept Brodeur and Hedberg as they are, then the rest of the team has to attack more to lessen their game-to-game pressure, get more goals so that if/when they allow goals it’s not the end of the game, and to maintain more possession. The Flyers and Red Wings have demonstrated for years that a team can be successful with not-top goaltending. I think the players and coaches need to start going down that road not only for this season but for ones to come.
Of course, that doesn’t answer the question at hand. I think the current plan of splitting starts is wise; and with the heavy schedule (February onwards), Moose will get into games. I still see Moose as a more backup role because he’s really spotty at one of the core skills of a goalie, which is playing the puck; but if it changes, it changes. I’m loathe to recommend the hot hand because, well, what does that even mean anymore. Is it wins? Getting more saves? Allowing less backbreaking goals? Whatever.
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agreed about everything said here
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by Elektrostal_Kid on Jan 11, 2012 7:57 PM EST up reply actions
I also agree with everything John says here.
Also, at the risk of offending the pro-Hedberg contingent that has been quick to jump on Marty’s lackluster numbers…. do you know what Moose’s numbers have been like since the calendar turned to December 2011? 4-3-0, 2.97 GAA, .884 save percentage. The first is respectable, the latter two aren’t very good.
Marty in the same span? I’ll even add the November 30 game at Denver to tilt the numbers a little bit…. 7-5-1, 3.12 GAA, .885 save percentage. The first is respectable, the latter two aren’t very good.
There hasn’t been much of a difference of late. Split the starts for lack of a superior option.
this
Years ago someone told Polynesian DNA that everyone was surrounded by sea monsters and it believed them. It made humans that were immune to head injuries, fast enough to run on the highway, and big enough to use the carpool lane. Putting two of them in the same ring is like telling your local tectonic plates to fuck themselves.
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by Kevin Jennison J. Zametov-St Pierre on Jan 12, 2012 7:24 AM EST up reply actions

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