Game 40 Preview: New Jersey Devils vs. Florida Panthers
The Time: 7:00 PM EDT
The Broadcast: TV - MSG+; Radio - 660 AM WFAN
The Matchup: The New Jersey Devils (21-16-2) vs. the Florida Panthers (20-12-7)
The Last Devils Game: The New Jersey Devils showed up at the Rock to play the Boston Bruins for about 10-15 minutes. Then the Bruins just picked on them all game long. The shot count was close but the on-ice play and the scoreboard wasn't. The Devils were just dominated for most of the game and deserved to lose 6-1. Here's my recap of that game.
The Last Panthers Game: Over at MSG, the Florida Panthers faced off with Our Hated Rivals. Marcel Goc scored within the first five minutes of the game, but the Rangers responded within the final five minutes of the first period amid pounding Scott Clemmensen with shot after shot after shot. After a scoreless second period and after Florida took the first of their two too-many-men-on-the-ice penalties in the third period, the Rangers took the lead on Ryan Callahan's strike. 36 seconds later, Mike Santorelli equalized. While the Rangers went back to beating on the Florida in terms of shots, the Panthers held on to force overtime. They would only get the one point as Marian Gaborik finished the game off in OT, making it a 3-2 loss for Florida. Chris S Roberts has a recap of the game over here at Litter Box Cats.
The Last Devils-Panthers Game: On December 13, the Devils were in Sunrise to play the Panthers. The Devils were coming off a 5-4 win at Tampa Bay from the night before and taking on a team who infamously came from 3-0 behind to win in regulation. In this game, the Devils went down 2-0 thanks to a horror-show by the fourth line and a turnover on the power play that ended up as a breakaway - and a goal. Both scored by Kris Versteeg. Yet, the Devils were not deterred. They had the better of possession and they clawed their way back into the game. Patrik Elias scored not long after Versteeg's shorthanded goal; and in the third period, Zach Parise pounded a loose puck into the net to tie it up. Petr Sykora was agonizingly close to winning the game outright in the final seconds of the third; but he missed the net and an overtime period was needed. Nothing was solved there so the game went to a shootout. The Devils, as is their tendency in shutouts this season, won it to make it a 3-2 win. My recap of the game went into the revenge factor among other observations. Ryan Meier of Litter Box Cats has this recap of the game from the other team's perspective.
The Goal: Stop the Panthers' top line. Obviously, the Devils really could use the win to avoid dropping three straight games going into Pittsburgh on Saturday night. To do that, the best way is to keep Florida's main line at bay. For those of you who don't know, that line is Kris Versteeg (17 G, 21 A), Tomas Fleischmann (15 G, 19 A), and Stephen Weiss (11 G, 22 A). They are first, second, and third in scoring on the Panthers, respectively. They lead the Panthers in ice time as Weiss and Versteeg average over 20 minutes per game and Fleischmann averages only 19:32. Fleischmann and Versteeg each have over 100 shots on net to lead Florida and Weiss is only fourth on the team in shots with 78. They have played against tough competition on a regular basis this season, so going power-for-power isn't necessarily going to disrupt their production. With Florida suffering a few injuries among their other forwards, that line has to be relied on more than ever to succeed. In the last Devils-Panthers game, Versteeg only scored twice due to a bad giveaway following an awful shift for the Devils (fourth line vs. this group = bad times) and a turnover in the neutral zone. Outside of those moments, the Adam Henrique line crushed them at evens. The Devils can claim some success in that regard. If they can take the next step and hold them to nothing, then that would be great for their chances at avoiding a losing streak tonight.
I have a few more thoughts on tonight's game after the jump. For a Panthers-based perspective, please check out Litter Box Cats.
Florida's known for their top line. They also have a duo of defenders who can bring some serious offense from the point. Jason Garrison is the main threat. His shot is heavy, hard, and accurate. He's third on the team with 92 shots on net. The Devils wingers will have to be aware of when Garrison's on the ice. He's got 11 goals and 7 assists for his efforts. Throw in the fact that he plays a ton (24:19) and he's a positive possession player, and it's clear that Garrison is good. Brian Campbell is similarly good. No, his shot isn't as prolific and powerful. But he can make a great first pass, he's got good offensive instincts, and he's not at all a problem in his own end. He leads the Panthers with 26:24 in ice time, he's got 3 goals and 29 assists (yes, he's right behind Florida's top line in scoring), and he's also a positive possession player. Campbell is quite good. The Devils will have to deal with those two quite a bit tonight.In my view, the Devils should look to pick on their tough-minutes defenders in Dmitry Kulikov and Mike Weaver. Kulikov certainly has a lot of talent and Weaver is also good at moving the puck. However, the numbers at Behind the Net reveal that while they take on tougher competition at evens than the other Florida defenders, they tend to lose those match-ups. They're seriously negative possession players. They can be pinned back and whichever Devils line gets matched with them should keep that in mind. Yes, they can move it out well and definitely chip in some offense; but they're not defensive walls.
Of course, the big story out of Florida is that they're beset with injuries. Unless I'm mistaken, their injury list includes Marco Sturm, Sean Bergenheim, Jack Skille, Scottie Upshall, and most recently, goaltender Jose Theodore per Harvey Filakov of the Sun-Sentinel. The first four have been a good part of Florida's depth at forward, which has been tested in recent weeks. They did get some good news recently. As Filakov reported on Wednesday, Marcel Goc and Mikael Samuelsson were set to return from injury. They did play on Thursday: Goc got a goal, and Samuelsson got two assists. Still, being without four forwards that can make up a second and third line hurts. This may have played some role in their recent signing of former Devil John Madden. I wouldn't expect to see Maddog on the ice tonight, the end of this post by George Richards of the Miami Herald suggests Madden will need some conditioning before he suits up for the Panthers.
Losing Theodore for a couple of weeks really hurts as he's been their starter this season and has posted an impressive 93.1% save percentage at even strength. It's not known who will start for Florida tonight, but I would suspect it'll be Jakob Markstrom. Scott Clemmensen played last night against New York and had a heavy workload with 41 shots fired his way. I'd be surprised if Florida went to him again on consecutive days. Besides, it's not like Markstrom is a total newbie to the NHL. He has had five starts earlier this season and has done fairly well. Surely, they'd give the youngster a chance, right?
As for the Devils, they'll start their technically-younger goaltender tonight. Per Tom Gulitti's post after Thursday's practice, Johan Hedberg will get the start. I expected this since it's a back-to-back set and the Devils have usually split those starts. This will likely mean Martin Brodeur gets the start tomorrow in Pittsburgh. I'm sure Moose will be fine in the net. Outside of the net, who knows.
Of course, the more concerning news is that Travis Zajac, Anton Volchenkov, and Bryce Salvador were not at Thursday's practice. Zajac missed the Boston game due to soreness in his Achilles; Volchenkov has been out the last few games with lower body strain; and Salvador was resting. The Devils won't be down two defenders, Salvador is expected to play tonight. That's good. What's not is that Zajac and Volchenkov are game-day decisions. I'm not confident that they will play and they're The defense with their recent flaws really could use another veteran to help out, so Volchenkov's absence hurts in that regard.
In my opinion, the loss of Zajac looms larger in the lineup. That sounds odd considering the team played most of this season without him, but he was starting to get into a groove on the third line in his few games this season. Ryan Carter wasn't terrible against Boston (note: I didn't say he was good) but seeing the called-up Steve Zalewski centering Tim Sestito and David Clarkson in Gulitti's report raises an eyebrow. Carter's more used to the role and the minutes, why not put him back there and have Zalewski replace one of the useless fourth-liners? They only need one goon to fight the returning Krys Barch, not two. Moreover, why is Sestito moved up in the lineup after being terrible against Boston? Jokes about energy aside, this combination is an actively worse third line. Peter DeBoer wouldn't commit to those lines on Thursday, I hope he doesn't on Friday.
The Devils could use some good bounce-back performances from a few players tonight after that blowout by the B's. I will name four. First and foremost is Patrik Elias. Elias has been very good this season, arguably the team's top forward. He faces tough competition regularly and usually wins his match-up. Elias and linemates were definitely off on Wednesday; but Elias is the straw that stirs the drink so when he struggles, it really hurts. But he's been good in too many other games to not think he won't rebound. Elias also has another reason to get up for this game: tonight will be his 1,000th career game. He'll be the third Devil to play at least 1,000 games as a member of the team. It's just one more milestone in a long and successful career. A great way to celebrate it would be to have a strong performance against Florida. By the way, Tom Gulitti's post on that subject is a must-read so go read it.
The second Devil I want to see step up their game is Adam Larsson. While some fans will point the finger at other defenders, Larsson really has to get his act together. His second period performance against Boston alone would be grounds to say he was bad; but he was just sloppy at best all game against the B's. Sure, they're an elite team, but Larsson was fouling up fundamentals likes passes, basic positioning to force players outside, and shooting the puck with an opposing player in his way (as in, don't do it). This is a big deal because Larsson has to play a significant amount of minutes. He was getting a serious workload from game one and onward, but with Anton Volchenkov out, it's harder to protect him. To do that, DeBoer could have Kurtis Foster or Matt Taormina take on harder competition to help out Larsson, or really ride Mark Fayne, Henrik Tallinder, and/or Bryce Salvador. I think both are unlikely and the coach will only resort to it if he's struggling again. If Larsson can have a solid defensive performance with a minimal amount of mistakes, then that would greatly help the Devils tonight.
In third is Petr Sykora. This will be brief. Sykora still has a good shot. If he has an open lane and unless someone's wide open in a far more dangerous decision, then he needs to take that shot. When he passes it off to the sideboards or gives it up to the other team, it's a wasted opportunity. I'd also like to see him hustle more. Since he usually plays the toughs along with Elias and Dainius Zubrus, it really sticks out when he struggles because the other team will just respond on offense over and over. Let's hope Wednesday was just a bad night.
The fourth Devil I want to see have a better night is Adam Henrique. I'm not going to say he's hit the proverbial rookie wall, but he really wasn't all that good at Ottawa and he was pretty bad against Boston. He struggled with the puck, he got dominated in the faceoff dot, and was just lost at times out there. Henrique has definitely shown some skills and has hung with Zach Parise and Ilya Kovalchuk on the first line. That he got a rookie of the month award from the NHL is evidence that he's been good. He may not be the one who makes that line go, but when he struggles, it makes it harder on those two. I'm not saying Henrique has to put up points, but if he can at least have a better night with the puck (e.g. clearances, passes, puck protection, etc.), then that would be a plus as well.
Incidentally, who do you match-up against Florida's top line? Normally, the Elias line gets the toughs. But the Henrique line really did a number on Weiss at evens in their last game. Also, do you think those four Devils I mentioned will respond from Wednesday's nightmare with a good game? Who else needs to have a rebound performance? Can the Devils really control the game at evens as they did in the last Devils-Panthers game? Can the Devils power play avoid allowing Florida a third shorthanded goal tonight (they scored one in the last two Devils-Panthers game)? Can the Devils get back to winning ways tonight? Please leave your answers and other thoughts on tonight's game in the comments. Thanks for reading.
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three things I'm hoping for in this game
(1) The fourth line plays as little as is humanly possible for the top three lines to bear. Boy oh boy, Janse, Sestito, Boulton has to compete for least amount of skill on the ice anytime in the last decade.
(2) IF Hedberg as a good game, and certainly if he wins, DeBoer will do (finally) what he said he would do, and what he said Marty understands, which is the Devils will be going with the hot hand in goal. Dissect each goals all the way to sunday and back, you are going to have trouble convincing anyone that blowing a 2-0 third period lead and getting pounded 6-1 ammounts to a hot hand.
(3) That so long as Pete DeBoer continues to insist on putting K and P on the same line, that Kovy will at least once in a while move down a bit to help Henrique and Parise along the boards and on the cycle instead of just hanging out in the slot and hoping the puck will magically pop out to him for a shot. Thanks kovy, give a try, I know its hard work.
three things I'm hoping for eventually
(1) The fourth line being made of players somewhat more skilled than beer-leaguers and capable of putting in a solid 9-11 minutes a night without giving the coaching staff and the fans a heart attack. I hope the return of JJ puts an end to the Sestito reign at 4th C for ever and month. Zajac, Elias, JJ, Foster are the top 4 Cs on this team and should be there. Want some nebulous form of energy from a 4th line that doesn’t equate to the murderous rage felt when they are destroyed by the opposition’s first line, try putting one together that can play hockey.
(2) A goalie gets a hot hand. Any goalie. I’m about three beers away from wishing Kinkiad would get called up for a look or two.
(3) That Kovy starts using his size and strength more than a month. He hits really well. can someone kick him in the nuts to make him mad before every game? Maybe photoshop some dirty pictures of the Mrs? Kovy is a beast when he plays angry. Poke the beast with a stick so we can enjoy it. plzkthnx?
I’m not going to lie to you. It felt good and I’m going to do whatever is in my power possible to stay there as long as I can. - Petr Sykora on playing on a line with Elias and Parise.
ugh
I’ll rage edit. Carter.
My bad. Sometimes my brain don’t werk so guud.
I’m not going to lie to you. It felt good and I’m going to do whatever is in my power possible to stay there as long as I can. - Petr Sykora on playing on a line with Elias and Parise.
size and strength
Couldn’t agree more. Against the Senators (I think) Kovy threw the body around a bit, but he needs to do it more. Remember, Kovy isn’t 5’-10" & 155 pounds, he’s 6’-2" & 235 pounds and can skate with the best.
Get angry Kovy on the left wing with some playmakers and watch the Russian sniper do his thing.
Baseball players are smarter than football players. How often do you see a baseball team penalized for too many men on the field? ~Jim Bouton
by LaserVortex888 on Jan 6, 2012 12:41 PM EST up reply actions
1) Fine.
2) One win (nevermind the performance) and a goalie is hot. Noted.
3) Kovalchuk has been doing this fairly regularly. He goes in deep on dump-ins and he goes where he’s needed in the corner. No, he’s not Dainius Zubrus but he’s not Petr Sykora either. One would have to ignore him or actively choose to forget that Kovalchuk does this. Likewise, hard work is done on more than just the boards.
Devils in my heart! Devils in my mind! Devils in my eyes! Devils until I die!
In Lou We Trust - The New Jersey Devils SBN Blog
by John Fischer on Jan 6, 2012 7:30 AM EST via Android app up reply actions
3) I was thinking this, too. I thought I’ve seen Kovy working the boards a decent amount of late.
Status quo.
Decent
That is the key word. We all talk about how Kovy is doing a bunch of things at a decent rate: scoring, work along the boards, throwing the body around, playing defense.
The only thing he does at a high rate is shoot and turn the puck over.
Nothing he is doing is ELITE.
Baseball players are smarter than football players. How often do you see a baseball team penalized for too many men on the field? ~Jim Bouton
by LaserVortex888 on Jan 6, 2012 12:48 PM EST up reply actions
2) Marty gets a second start whenever he wins, Hedberg should start against the penguins and get the same opportunity,espesially because he has been the better goalie all year.
3) i disagree competely; Kovalchuck lets henrique and parise do far more board work and often is in a standstill waiting for a pass.
Hedberg should start against the penguins and get the same opportunity,espesially because he has been the better goalie all year.
So you keep going on about despite a lack of, you know, evidence. Did you happen to notice the two softies Hedberg let in last night?
i disagree competely; Kovalchuck lets henrique and parise do far more board work and often is in a standstill waiting for a pass.
You can’t change your argument in the middle of a conversation and expect anyone to take you seriously.
The original complaint was:
3) That so long as Pete DeBoer continues to insist on putting K and P on the same line, that Kovy will at least once in a while move down a bit to help Henrique and Parise along the boards and on the cycle instead of just hanging out in the slot and hoping the puck will magically pop out to him for a shot. Thanks kovy, give a try, I know its hard work.
When it was pointed out that he actually does do it fairly regularly you can’t modify the stance to be, “Kovalchuck lets henrique and parise do far more board work…”
Of course he does. They’re better at it. His skill is in getting open and sniping. However, he has been far more active in fighting along the boards and helping in the cycle than in the past. He’s modified his game to try and be a more complete, team player and it’s unrealistic that some people expect 35+ goals out of him while simultaneously expecting him to suddenly play like Parise.
IF Hedberg as a good game, and certainly if he wins, DeBoer will do (finally) what he said he would do, and what he said Marty understands, which is the Devils will be going with the hot hand in goal.
Allow me to ask the question for the third time this week in the hopes you’ll actually feel like trying to answer, max16s. Moose’s game log can be found here. Tell me when you believe he has "gotten hot" this season, outside of the period during which Brodeur was injured. What can you point to that justifies Moose getting the lion’s share of starts right now? I just don’t see it based on the numbers, and I’m not seeing it based on his on-ice performance (in my personal opinion).
I get it: you vastly prefer Moose to Marty. I’m asking what evidence you have that would provide a basis for riding Moose right now and consigning Marty to the backup’s role…. because I just don’t see any.
Simple evidence: Hedberge has a better winning percentage and save percentage over a season and a half now. not sure what you cannot grasp about that
acasser: the evidence was in my original post which you typically ignore in replying. Save percentage and win percentage is the evidence. Hedberg has been better for a while now.
Do you really think all save percentages and all winning percentages are created equal? We’ve seen a ton of 1-0 games in the NHL this season — that means a goalie who played pretty well in only allowing one goal still got a loss. We’ve seen a bunch of really high-scoring games this season — I recall a 9-8 game between Philadelphia and Winnipeg, and someone still got a win out of that mess.
Save percentage can be impacted by a lot of things beyond the goaltender’s control. It could be a smothering defense that blocks lots of shots. It could be an official scorer who inflates or deflates shot tallies. It could be a team with an inept defense that doesn’t clear rebounds or doesn’t pick up players in the crease. It could be a team that plays a fast-break style of hockey that leads to a gazillion scoring chances at each end and a ton of odd-man rushes going back and forth. It could be a team that draws (or takes) a lot of penalties, leading to a significant amount of PP time.
Winning percentage can be impacted by a lot of things beyond the goaltender’s control. A team with a more potent offense will grant its goaltender(s) a higher winning percentage. A team that’s better at the skills competition (i.e. the shootout) will also grant its goaltenders a higher winning percentage.
If those two statistics are your sole judge and jury of who is a better goaltender, you get some pretty silly results. Do you really think Braden Holtby is a better goalie than Henrik Lundqvist and Cam Ward? Your numbers would say he is based on last season. Do you really think Tuuka Rask is a better goalie than Tim Thomas? Save percentage says he is this season.
I’ll ask again: When has Moose “gotten hot” this season outside the period of time when Marty was hurt? I see nothing in his “game log” that gives me reason to believe he’s all that wonderful. He was bailed out last night by the offense, particualrly when one considers how soft the two goals he allowed were and how quickly he gave them up when the Devils gave him a lead. He wasn’t great against Carolina (to be fair, the rest of the team stunk too). His previous two starts saw him allow 7 goals and get bailed out by a Devils’ offense that put up 11. The offense gave him a win against Ottawa by scoring four times in the final 20-odd minutes to rally from a huge deficit.
The last time Hedberg was a primary reason the Devils won a game was just after Thanksgiving. Otherwise, he’s been putting a lot of crooked numbers on the scoreboard, and generally for the other team. And few of them are zeroes.
….
Save percentage and winning percentage are not direct evidence of the better goalie, because not all saves and wins are created equal.
I also question whether Moose can sustain these numbers, because a mountain of historical evidence says he can’t. Athletes do not get better to the degree that Moose has at the age Hedberg is at. At least, they don’t without some sort of chemical enhancement (e.g. Barry Bonds). Hedberg set a career best in GAA last season and nearly matched his career best in save percentage. He’s around those same numbers this season. Given that mountain of historical evidence, I am truly concerned whether he can continue that pace.
When Hedberg gets good and truly hot, I expect PDB to give him more starts. Until he does so, Brodeur will continue to get regular playing time as he well should. Hedberg might have the better numbers for the arbitrary period of time you selected (a season and a half), but you could select any number of other timeframes and Hedberg would fall behind.
As for tonight...
Please don’t suck.
I’m not going to lie to you. It felt good and I’m going to do whatever is in my power possible to stay there as long as I can. - Petr Sykora on playing on a line with Elias and Parise.
Thoughts for tonight…
This should be a great game consider the last two have been, it’s odd to say but I look forward to watching the Devils vs Panther games.
1. Kovy needs to get pissed and throw his body around like last game against the cats.
2. I think the Devils take it 4-2 with an empty net goal.
3. Devils come out slow.
Joshd12
Brock University
BA. Sports Management, 2014
BA. Recreation and Leisure Studies
I’m sure I’m not the only one to cringe at this…
Our lines for tonight?
Parise-Henrique-Kovalchuk
Sykora-Elias-Zubrus
Sestito-Zalewski-Clarkson
Boulton-Carter-Janssen
Excuse me while I go to the bathroom and weep.
AHL for the win
"It's magic, it's tragic, it's a loss, it's a win"
by Elektrostal_Kid on Jan 6, 2012 11:59 AM EST up reply actions
By the way,
Sestito 0 pt in 17 games
Boutlon 0 pt in 18 games
Janssen 1 pt in 32 games
Clarkson, please be selfish tonight.
"It's magic, it's tragic, it's a loss, it's a win"
by Elektrostal_Kid on Jan 6, 2012 12:21 PM EST up reply actions
Can't they just roll out 2 lines tonight?
They are getting paid millions of dollars, work a little harder tonight.
We rolled 2 lines in HS spring league hockey and I was the one paying.
Baseball players are smarter than football players. How often do you see a baseball team penalized for too many men on the field? ~Jim Bouton
by LaserVortex888 on Jan 6, 2012 12:51 PM EST up reply actions
Time for line changes...
Parise – Henrique – Clarkson
Kovalchuk – Elias – Sykora
Tedenby – Carter – Zubrus
Boulton – Sestito – Janssen
I'm not a fan of Tedenby, but that PDB is playing people like Sestito, Zalewski and Janssen over him
is just mystifying, plain and simple.
Oh pissing blimey there's jam coming out of the walls!
It's not not mystifying
If that’s what you mean.
Baseball players are smarter than football players. How often do you see a baseball team penalized for too many men on the field? ~Jim Bouton
by LaserVortex888 on Jan 6, 2012 12:52 PM EST up reply actions
Going to be my first game of the new year. Gotta find a good site to watch it on
Stupid Timewarnermsg.

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