FanPost

What Does Strength of Remaining Schedule Say About Devils Playoff Chances?

In Cherno77's recent scoreboard watch post, I made a comment about putting together a matrix of all the teams' remaining games. I took it a couple steps further and used it to put together a summary of the strength of every teams' remaining schedule. Unfortunately, a 30x30 matrix is not going to copy well into here, so I put it here. Actually, there are 3 30x30 matrices in the spreadsheet. But for now; what do the numbers say?

I don't think there's a flaw in my calculation on SORS% (Strength Of Remaining Schedule %). I linked the matrix of who plays whom (and in some cases multiple times), to a points percentage table calculated from a snapshot of nhl.com's league standings. Then I added up all the points percentages of every team's opponents (counting multiple games as many times as necessary), and divided by the number of remaining games. Here's what I came up with:

Team

Win %

SORS%

Conf Rank

BOSTON

0.676

0.546

5

BUFFALO

0.352

0.555

7

CAROLINA

0.546

0.540

3

COLUMBUS

0.545

0.576

14

DETROIT

0.545

0.568

12

FLORIDA

0.445

0.554

6

MONTRÉAL

0.571

0.567

11

NEW JERSEY

0.518

0.533

2

NY ISLANDERS

0.439

0.518

1

NY RANGERS

0.563

0.555

8

OTTAWA

0.527

0.556

9

PHILADELPHIA

0.536

0.601

16

PITTSBURGH

0.709

0.576

13

TAMPA BAY

0.627

0.545

4

TORONTO

0.579

0.565

10

WASHINGTON

0.527

0.590

15

ANAHEIM

0.746

0.557

4

CALGARY

0.445

0.541

1

CHICAGO

0.702

0.590

12

COLORADO

0.694

0.597

14

DALLAS

0.536

0.572

9

EDMONTON

0.368

0.570

7

LOS ANGELES

0.579

0.557

3

MINNESOTA

0.570

0.571

8

NASHVILLE

0.518

0.590

11

PHOENIX

0.564

0.569

6

SAN JOSE

0.679

0.546

2

ST. LOUIS

0.731

0.573

10

VANCOUVER

0.563

0.561

5

WINNIPEG

0.518

0.594

13

League Average

0.564

So looking at these numbers, the Devils have the second easiest schedule based on their remaining games (ignoring home/road discrepancies) in the Eastern Conference. The hardest 3 are teams the Devils are fighting with for one or more of the last playoff spots, Philadelphia, Washington and Columbus. I'll keep the yolasite page updated as long as there's interest.

All FanPosts and FanShots are the respective work of the author and not representative of the writers or other users of In Lou We Trust.

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